Is Volatility for Misguided Geeks?

Is Volatility for Misguided Geeks?

Posted DEC 18 2013 by DAVID FOULKE in TURNKEY BEHAVIORAL FINANCE, UNCATEGORIZED

Warren Buffett doesn’t like it when people use volatility to measure risk. He succinctly describes his criticism:

We bought The Washington Post Company at a valuation of $80 million back in 1974. If you’d asked any one of 100 analysts how much the company was worth when we were buying it, no one would have argued about the fact that it was worth $400 million. Now, under the whole theory of beta and modern portfolio theory, we would have been doing something riskier buying stock for $40 million than we were buying it for $80 million, even though it’s worth $400 million — because it would have had more volatility. With that, they’ve lost me. Read more of this post

Adults Are Increasingly Reading Children’s Books

Adults Are Increasingly Reading Children’s Books

ALEXANDRA ALTER

Dec. 5, 2013 7:40 p.m. ET

R.J. Palacio’s best-selling novel “Wonder” was born in a moment of panic. She was getting milkshakes with her two sons in Brooklyn when she saw a little girl with a severe facial deformity. She rushed her sons away as her three-year-old began to cry. She instantly regretted it, and wished she’d stayed to talk to the girl. That night, she scribbled the first sentence of a novel on a Post-it Note: “My name is Ian. To me, I’m an ordinary kid.” Read more of this post

James Montier on Today’s Investment Fashions; Montier snaps at smart beta and risk parity

James Montier on Today’s Investment Fashions

Montier snaps at smart beta and risk parity.

By John Rekenthaler | 12-11-13 | 02:25 PM | Email Article

(Maxwell) Smart Betas
James Montier of GMO’s asset-allocation team (striking a blow against grade inflation, that appears to be his official title) is among the fund industry’s top writers. He tackles important subjects, glides past the distracting details without oversimplifying, and knows his material. His letters are on my short list. Read more of this post

A Noble Lie: Why it’s OK to sin a little and “market-time”–provided you do it in a contrarian fashion.

A Noble Lie: Why it’s OK to sin a little and “market-time”–provided you do it in a contrarian fashion.

By Samuel Lee | 12-10-13 | 06:00 AM | Email Article

A common nugget of wisdom passed down from on high to the masses is to “buy and hold,” which really means several things: Set fixed allocations to stocks, bonds, and cash; dollar-cost average into the portfolio with periodic purchases; and, above all, stay the course. I tell investors to do these things all the time, too, because on the whole it’s good advice. Read more of this post

Meet Sir William Petty, the man who invented economics

Meet Sir William Petty, the man who invented economics

Dec 21st 2013 | From the print edition

WILLIAM PETTY was an innovation machine. He designed an early form of catamaran, conceived of a mechanical grain planter, proposed attaching engines to boats and patented a “double-writing” instrument (it produced an extra copy of whatever a writer put down on paper). Petty, who died at Christmas in 1687, was also an innovator in the world of theories. By tinkering with data and simple models, this little-known Englishman came up with many of the ideas—how to measure GDP, why the money supply and banks matter, how lasting unemployment affects the economy—that form the bedrock of modern economics. Read more of this post

Scientific publication: A Nobel prize-winner attacks elite journals

Scientific publication: A Nobel prize-winner attacks elite journals

Dec 14th 2013 | From the print edition

BLUNT criticism is an essential part of science, for it is how bad ideas are winnowed from good ones. So when Randy Schekman, one of the 2013 crop of Nobel prize-winners (for physiology or medicine, in his case), decided to criticise the way scientific journals are run, he did not hold back. Read more of this post

Glorious revolutions and their discontents

Glorious revolutions and their discontents

Dec 4th 2013, 13:05 by C.R. | LONDON

IN THE past two decades, economists have become increasingly interested in how institutions contribute to economic growth. They are particularly enthused by the view that institutions guaranteeing a “credible commitment” to liberal limits on state action—and repayment of the national debt—caused the industrial revolution to get off the ground in 18th-century England. This may at first appear to be an academic debate of only esoteric interest. But such views have quickly become dominant within economics. And some related conclusions—such as an emphasis on democracy and property rights as necessary prerequisites for sustained economic growth—came to influence the so-called Washington consensus of global economic governance. Read more of this post

Temples of delight: Museums the world over are doing amazingly well, says Fiammetta Rocco. But can they keep the visitors coming?

Temples of delight: Museums the world over are doing amazingly well, says Fiammetta Rocco. But can they keep the visitors coming?

Dec 21st 2013 | From the print edition

MUSEUMS USED TO stand for something old, dusty, boring and barely relevant to real life. Those kinds of places still exist, but there are far fewer of them, and the more successful ones have changed out of all recognition. The range they cover has broadened spectacularly and now goes well beyond traditional subjects such as art and artefacts, science and history (for a sample of oddball specialities, see chart). One of the biggest draws is contemporary art. Read more of this post

Solina Chau: the woman behind HK tycoon Li Ka-shing

Solina Chau: the woman behind HK tycoon Li Ka-shing

Staff Reporter

2013-12-18

An interview with Hong Kong property tycoon Sir Li Ka-shing by Guangzhou’s Southern Metropolis Daily has inadvertently thrown Solina Chau Hoi-shuen, a partner in Li’s Cheung Kong Group and director of the Li Ka Shing Foundation, into the spotlight. Read more of this post

Champagne was one of the first industries in the modern world that women shaped

Champagne was one of the first industries in the modern world that women shaped

How widows broke the glass ceiling

BY THOMAS ADAMSON

AP

DEC 15, 2013

REIMS, FRANCE – For Champagne to become the tipple it is today — popped at weddings, quaffed in casinos and smashed against ships — a few men had to die: young ones married to clever women. Read more of this post

Being auditor is about serving people’

013-12-20 19:32

‘Being auditor is about serving people’

Ko Dong-hwan
Shim Ho, director general at the Board of Audit and Inspection, firmly believes that auditors are to serve the nation and the people by conducting fair and objective audits. Read more of this post

First Malaysian to head to Harvard since 2010

First Malaysian to head to Harvard since 2010

Saturday, December 21, 2013 – 18:25

The Star/Asia News Network

PETALING JAYA – Former St George’s Girls’ School student Eleasha Chew (pic) received the best Christmas present this year when she received an offer from Harvard University in her email. The 19-year-old from Penang ended the “drought” by being the first Malaysian to be accepted into the prestigious institution since 2010. Read more of this post

Who Says Laughter’s the Best Medicine? A new scholarly review from a British medical journal describes many harmful effects wrought by laughter

DECEMBER 20, 2013, 12:01 AM

Who Says Laughter’s the Best Medicine?

By JAN HOFFMAN

Just in time to protect patients from the dangers of holiday cheer, a new scholarly review from a British medical journal describes many harmful effects wrought by laughter. Read more of this post

Serendipity surrounds us in modern life, even though we don’t often think about the serendipity involved in so many inventions that changed the world

2013-12-06 17:08

Serendipity

Hyon O’Brien
The 18th century litterateur Horace Walpole was taken by a Persian fairy tale called “The Three Princesses of Serendip,” whose heroes, as he said, “were always making accidental discoveries of things they were not in quest of.”   Read more of this post

The Financial Crisis: Why Have No High-Level Executives Been Prosecuted?

The Financial Crisis: Why Have No High-Level Executives Been Prosecuted?

Jed S. Rakoff

January 9, 2014 issue

Five years have passed since the onset of what is sometimes called the Great Recession. While the economy has slowly improved, there are still millions of Americans leading lives of quiet desperation: without jobs, without resources, without hope. Read more of this post

The Downfall of John Taylor and FX Concepts, the Largest FX Hedge Fund

Tuesday, December 10, 2013 2:57:48 PM

The Downfall of John Taylor

From aiCIO magazine’s December issue: Generations of hedge funds rose and fell; FX Concepts endured. Then, the unshakeable disintegrated. So how did John Taylor’s steady reign end in ruin? Leanna Orr reports.

The Champagne was flowing at the 21 Club in New York City. It had been a good year. FX Concepts employees, gathered at the 2006 holiday dinner party, quieted down as the firm’s founder, chairman, and CEO took to the front of the room for his address. He held up a brick. Did anyone know what it meant, John Taylor asked. Then he filled them in: On top of the performance and trading bonuses, which promised to be bountiful, FX Concepts was sending all 60 or so staff members and their partners to the BRIC country of their choosing—first class all the way. Read more of this post

Geography and American Destiny; How the American economy was built on smuggling.

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 21, 2013

Geography and American Destiny

By JOHN STEELE GORDON | MORE ARTICLES BY AUTHOR

How the American economy was built on smuggling.

Imagine that North America was somehow flipped, so that East was West and West was East. The continent’s West Coast, as we know it, would face the Atlantic and Europe. That would have greatly affected the history of this country. Read more of this post

U.S. Military Lingo: The (Almost) Definitive Guide; Oxygen Thief: A useless soldier, or one who loves to hear himself or herself talk

U.S. Military Lingo: The (Almost) Definitive Guide

by BEN BRODY Read more of this post

Confessions of an Institutional Investor

Confessions of an Institutional Investor

by Downtown Josh Brown – December 6th, 2013, 7:00am

Josh here – the other day I did a post about the amazing complexity and obsession with tail risk that’s caused so many professionally-managed investment pools to miss the market over the last few years (see: I don’t understand). Every general fights the last war, as they say, and a portfolio geared toward having a 2008-like event every year is a loser. Why invest at all if that’s your expectation? I was inundated with responses to this –  from professional investors to fiduciaries who sit on board and councils to my colleagues who advise these gargantuan pools of assets.  One incredible response I share with you below. I am leaving the author of this anonymous given their current position, but this is about as raw and honest a take from the inside as you will ever come across. No one working in the field would ever be able to say this out loud. The intent of this author is to (hopefully) influence the current investment management debate. At the institution the author works for, no one is interested in deviating from the status quo, no one wants the risk of picking their heads up and trying something new. The author believes that the consequences of these systemically failed investment policies will ultimately represent a tragedy of lost opportunity and perhaps even unfunded needs. Enjoy! – JB Read more of this post

Hong Kong regulator shows its claws in $45m ruling against Tiger Asia fund managers to compensate investors for insider trading

December 20, 2013 6:41 pm

Hong Kong shows its claws in $45m ruling against Tiger Asia

By Paul J Davies in Hong Kong

Two US-based hedge fund managers have been ordered to pay HK$45m (US$5.8m) to compensate investors, having admitted to insider trading in Hong Kong after a fight to block the regulator from taking action against them. Read more of this post

Local Government Handbook: How to Create an Innovative City

Local Government Handbook: How to Create an Innovative City

Dec 20, 2013 Latin America

In 2012, Citibank and The Wall Street Journal awarded Medellín, Colombia, the prestigious title of “Innovative City of the Year.” In just a short period of time, Medellín has transformed itself from a violence-ridden, global drug capital to a model cosmopolitan metropolis with an award-winning public transportation system, a growing entrepreneurial ecosystem, and an increasingly attractive environment for foreign investment. How did Medellín, the second-largest city in Colombia, with more than 2.7 million residents, make this quantum leap forward? What factors are necessary to ensure the success of such a large-scale effort? What lessons from Medellín’s example can other emerging cities adopt to execute this type of sustainable change? Read more of this post

Seeking driven soulmates

Seeking driven soulmates

He was first sent to Asia to “turn around a crisis of confidence” at public relations and advertising firm Ogilvy & Mather’s Taiwan office. He did so well that in two-and-a-half years — a relatively short period of time — adman Stephen Mangham was sent to lead the Singapore regional office.

BY ALICIA WONG –

5 HOURS 10 MIN AGO

He was first sent to Asia to “turn around a crisis of confidence” at public relations and advertising firm Ogilvy & Mather’s Taiwan office. He did so well that in two-and-a-half years — a relatively short period of time — adman Stephen Mangham was sent to lead the Singapore regional office. Read more of this post

Who invented crosswords?

Who invented crosswords?

Dec 19th 2013, 23:50 by T.S.

THEY are a fixture in daily newspapers, varying enormously in difficulty and complexity. Crosswords range from simple puzzles that provide amusement in waiting rooms and coffee-breaks to fiendish tests of intelligence that were even used to recruit codebreakers during the second world war. But where and when did the modern crossword originate? Read more of this post

A dean who admits law schools’ major flaws; UC Hastings’ Frank Wu has opted to slash enrollment at the prestigious law school by 20%, citing the glut of law schools and students

A dean who admits law schools’ major flaws

December 17, 2013: 2:37 PM ET

UC Hastings’ Frank Wu has opted to slash enrollment at the prestigious law school by 20%, citing the glut of law schools and students.

By Lauren Everitt

(Tipping the Scales) — “You’re going to make me sound either like a visionary or a nut,” quips Frank Wu in the conference room of his San Francisco office. “I’m good with that … it’s hard to tell the difference.”

As chancellor and dean of the University of California’s Hastings College of the Law, Wu has certainly been called both. It’s not because he walks through San Francisco’s legendarily sketchy Tenderloin neighborhood every day on his way to work — he even sent out a campus-wide email inviting students to join him. Or because he’s watched a full episode of “The Real Housewives of Atlanta” and deemed it “poignant, funny, and touching,” mainly because it featured “blasian” (black-Asian) Lisa Wu Hartwell — interracial dynamics are a favorite topic of his. Or because he zips around on a motorcycle and blogs about it. No, the reason people have called him nuts goes beyond all that. Read more of this post

Ghostwriting for a celebrity can pay as much as $300,000 a year to those who can accept obscurity

December 19, 2013 3:10 pm

Memoirs written by a hired pen

By Emma Jacobs

Well-read ‘Red’: a ghostwriter helped with Sir Alex Ferguson’s autobiography

As a prolific ghostwriter, Andrew Crofts is used to lurking in the literary shadows. If they are very lucky, ghostwriters may be acknowledged on the cover as a co-author. More often they are invisible to the reader. Read more of this post

When You Criticize Someone, You Make It Harder for that Person to Change; don’t focus on only on weaknesses, but on hopes and dreams. It’s what our brains are wired to do

When You Criticize Someone, You Make It Harder for that Person to Change

by Daniel Goleman  |   12:00 PM December 19, 2013

“If everything worked out perfectly in your life, what would you be doing in ten years?”

Such a question opens us up to fresh possibilities, to reflect on what matters most to us, and even what deep values might guide us through life. This approach gives managers a tool for coaching their teams to get better results. Read more of this post

Man Who Said No to Soros Builds BlueCrest Into Empire

Man Who Said No to Soros Builds BlueCrest Into Empire

When BlueCrest Capital Management LLP founder Michael Platt expanded into stocks this year to compete with Millennium Management LLC and SAC Capital Advisors LLP for traders, he tapped an unusual funding source: his banks.

He received a $750 million loan from 16 banks in July, enabling his hedge-fund firm, which oversees $34.2 billion, to hire at least 25 equity money managers and provide them with capital to start trading immediately, said two people with knowledge of the loan, who asked not to be identified because it isn’t public. Typically, hedge funds need to persuade clients to invest in new ventures and expand gradually, the people said. Read more of this post

You Can Get Some Big Things Done When It’s Not All About You

You Can Get Some Big Things Done When It’s Not All About You

by Justin Fox  |   9:00 AM December 13, 2013

There was a lunch held last week in New York to celebrate one of the most important American business leaders of the past half-century. It started off conventionally enough: the host and four prominent speakers recounted the deeds and impact of the honoree, at some length. When they had finished, the great man himself, who had been sitting at a table in the audience eating a peanut butter and jelly sandwich, walked to the front of the room. After a few jokes and preliminary remarks, he spent the next ten minutes detailing the accomplishments, in particular the writings, of the people who had just praised him, with specific reading recommendations (the ones I remember are Alan Blinder’s After the Music Stopped, James Grant’s Mr. Speaker!, and Cliff Asness’s “My Top 10 Peeves” in the next issue of the Financial Analysts Journal). Then 84-year-old Jack Bogle walked back to his chair and sat down. Read more of this post