Morning Bamboo Insight: 31 Jul 2014

Morning Bamboo Insight: 31 Jul 2014

Asia Pacific

  1. (China) – China Probe of Ex-Security Chief Cracks Immunity for Elite Families; Takedown of Zhou Yongkang Sets Potential Precedent as It Goes After His Relatives

http://online.wsj.com/articles/china-probe-of-ex-security-chief-cracks-immunity-for-elite-families-1406719244

  1. (India/Japan) – Could India Be Japan Inc.’s Next Big Investment Target?

http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2014/07/29/could-india-be-japan-inc-s-next-big-investment-target/

  1. (Japan) – Saving Abenomics; Abe has rolled out a tranche of corporate-governance reforms that give institutional investors greater sway over management. This marks a new transmission mechanism for spreading corporate earnings through the economy

http://online.wsj.com/articles/joseph-sternberg-saving-abenomics-1406736728

  1. (China) – China’s Campaign Against Leftovers; To Beijing, declining marriages is not just a demographic concern -it’s a national crisis.

http://online.wsj.com/articles/anjie-zheng-chinas-campaign-against-leftovers-1406736849

5. (Korea) – S. Korean ‘Choco Pie’ balloons launched into North

http://news.asiaone.com/print/news/asia/s-korean-choco-pie-balloons-launched-north

  1. (Msia) – Norwegian fund Norges allots RM800mil to invest in Malaysian small, mid-cap stocks

http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2014/07/31/Norges-allots-RM800mil-for-small-midcap-stocks/

  1. (Philippines) – Who Believes Philippines Are Worth Fighting For?

http://www.thejakartaglobe.com/opinion/believes-philippines-worth-fighting-william-pesek/

  1. (Spore) – No-commission life insurance up ahead in Singapore

http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/premium/top-stories/no-commission-life-insurance-ahead-20140731

  1. (China) – Microsoft Aspirations in China Meets Perilous Climate prone to protectionism, unpredictable laws and unreliable suppliers.

http://www.businessweek.com/news/2014-07-29/microsoft-latest-company-finding-china-climate-arduous

10. (Spore) – S’pore’s savvy tax strategy keeps economy vibrant; This sets it apart from other jurisdictions regularly identified as tax havens

http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/premium/editorial-opinion/opinion/spores-savvy-tax-strategy-keeps-economy-vibrant-20140731

Life

  1. Tony Fernandes on driving ASEAN entrepreneurship

http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/public_sector/Tony_Fernandes_on_driving_ASEAN_entrepreneurship?cid=other-eml-alt-mip-mck-oth-1407

  1. The best performers do orders of magnitude better than the average, but how do you get them to work for your company?

http://ww2.cfo.com/hiring/2014/07/hire-simply-best

  1. Entrepreneurs are misunderstood; Unless we appreciate the value they create we can’t appreciate their contribution to society

http://www.theage.com.au/small-business/entrepreneur/entrepreneurs-are-misunderstood-20140723-3cecw.html

  1. The secret to Warren Buffett’s success: Charlie Munger; Munger is known for running a tight ship and training his executives on the “why” principle. This why-led strategy is responsible for the famous resurgence of Apple

http://www.theage.com.au/small-business/startup/the-secret-to-warren-buffetts-success-20140716-3c1ll.html

  1. Dilmah’s founder Merrill Fernando’s idea to produce and sell single-origin pure Ceylon tea helped to stop the trend towards the commoditisation of tea

http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/SME/2014/07/31/Tea-leads-to-philanthropy-Planters-success-allows-him-to-venture-on-to-bigger-things/

TMT

  1. Amazon Ups the Ante in India With $2 Billion Investment; Amazon Ups the Ante in India With $2 Billion Investment

http://online.wsj.com/articles/amazon-to-invest-2-billion-in-india-1406700828

2. (China/Tech) – Alibaba in Talks to Invest in Snapchat; New Round of Financing Could Value the Messaging App at $10 Billion

http://online.wsj.com/articles/alibaba-in-talks-to-invest-in-messaging-app-snapchat-1406746438

  1. (China/Tech) – Alibaba Entertains Chinese Willingness to Pay; Chinese Consumers Aren’t Accustomed to Paying for Home Entertainment

http://online.wsj.com/articles/heard-on-the-street-alibaba-entertains-chinese-willingness-to-pay-1406709568

  1. (China/Korea/Tech) – Is Huawei Eating Samsung’s Lunch?

http://blogs.wsj.com/digits/2014/07/30/is-huawei-eating-samsungs-lunch/

  1. Tech Companies’ Secret Weapon: Animal Logos

http://blogs.wsj.com/digits/2014/07/30/tech-companies-secret-weapon-animal-logos/

Consumer

  1. In New Zealand, All Eyes on Milk Prices; Dairy forms the backbone of the New Zealand economy, representing around 25% of exports

http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2014/07/30/in-new-zealand-all-eyes-on-milk-prices/

  1. As Sales Flag Abroad, Coke Refocuses on Home Turf; Old Playbook May Not Work When Americans Are Rethinking Soda Consumption

http://online.wsj.com/articles/as-sales-flag-abroad-coke-refocuses-on-home-turf-1406765563

Healthcare

  1. World Ebola fears grow, with Europe and Asia on alert

http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/health/world-ebola-fears-grow/1289770.html

  1. Drug-resistant malaria spreading fast in Southeast Asia

http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/health/drug-resistant-malaria/1289992.html

Investing Process

  1. East Coast Asset Management Q2 Letter – Horse in Motion

http://cdn1.valuewalk.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/East-Coast-Q2-2014-Letter_-Horse-in-Motion.pdf

  1. Research – Opting Out of Good Governance

http://www.nber.org/papers/w19953

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Evening Bamboo Insight: 30 Jul 2014

Evening Bamboo Insight: 30 Jul 2014

Macro

  1. Aerospace Aftermarket On the Rise; Spares and service demand has marked positive growth in the sector

http://online.barrons.com/news/articles/SB50001424053111903849404580057883763204458

  1. The Family Dollar deal embodies everything wrong with American capitalism

http://qz.com/241505/the-family-dollar-deal-embodies-everything-wrong-with-american-capitalism/

  1. Upstart trading venue IEX may prompt U.S. market rule change

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/07/30/us-markets-regulations-iexgroup-idUSKBN0FZ09J20140730

  1. Fear of bubbles hides the danger of stagnation; The gloomier economic outlook is that interest rates are low for good reason

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/06a6194c-1683-11e4-8210-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38vYpOhrD

  1. Why there is never such a thing as a single true and fair view; The absurdity whereby a fall in a bank’s credit standing becomes a source of profit

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/73582ce2-167e-11e4-8210-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38vYpOhrD

  1. Financial window closes for Moscow businesses

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/8f054d20-1733-11e4-87c0-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38vbRzwTD

Asia Pacific

1. (Japan) – Investors Should Yen for Japanese Stocks

http://online.wsj.com/articles/investors-should-yen-for-japanese-stocks-1406600582

  1. (China) – Xi Rides the Tiger; The return to one-man rule will bring costs and risks to China

http://online.wsj.com/articles/xi-rides-the-tiger-1406653411

  1. (China) – Default settings in China

http://ftalphaville.ft.com/2014/07/29/1911482/default-settings-in-china/

  1. (India) – Nutrition Is A Silent Emergency In India: Vinita Bali, who recently stepped down as the MD of Britannia Industries, now wants to focus on the creative lateral part of solving social problems

http://forbesindia.com/article/real-issue/nutrition-is-a-silent-emergency-in-india-vinita-bali/38315/1

  1. (India) – How cool! Daikin eyes Indian market using Japanese technology; Daikin, the global leader in ACs, is betting on energy efficient technology and entrepreneurial dealers to succeed in India

http://forbesindia.com/printcontent/38305

  1. (China) – With China’s meat scandal, U.S. burger tycoon faces his biggest test yet

http://business.financialpost.com/2014/07/29/with-chinas-meat-scandal-u-s-burger-tycoon-faces-his-biggest-test-yet/

  1. (Korea) – Restructuring urgent for big Korean companies

http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/tech/2014/07/133_161893.html

  1. (China) – Will China ever have its own Harvard?

http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/opinon/2014/07/162_161914.html

  1. (China) – Ending the era of the untouchables

http://www.thestandard.com.hk/news_detail.asp?we_cat=17&art_id=147842&sid=42710162&con_type=1&d_str=20140730&fc=4

  1. (China) – Nobel laureate Thomas Sargent optimistic about Silk Road Economic Belt

http://www.wantchinatimes.com/news-subclass-cnt.aspx?id=20140730000001&cid=1202

  1. (India) – India must tackle bad bank debts to grow; Lenders need to deal with $60bn in problem loans

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/a6937546-1348-11e4-8244-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38vYpOhrD

  1. (India) – India struggles to build up infrastructure dream

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/a4152f94-1627-11e4-93ec-00144feabdc0.html?siteedition=intl#axzz38vYpOhrD

  1. (Japan) – Sony set to fail Japan index test

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/4aa30c62-1706-11e4-8617-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38vYpOhrD

  1. (India) – India’s Tata Group earmarks $35bn for global expansion plan

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/7348fea8-179a-11e4-87c0-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38vbRzwTD

  1. (China) – Xi’s ‘tiger’ hunt breaks Communist party taboo; Xi Jinping takes risky path in disposal of ‘tiger’ Zhou Yongkang

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/708c3c4e-1735-11e4-b0d7-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38vbzllhl

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/f1999c0a-172b-11e4-b0d7-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38vbRzwTD

  1. (China) – China’s Going After Zhou Yongkang For Corruption – Here’s Everyone In His Inner Circle

http://www.businessinsider.sg/zhou-yongkang-political-aides-graphic-2014-7/#.U9iK3PmSxqU

Life

  1. The Power of the Doodle: Improve Your Focus and Memory; Research Shows That Doodling Helps People Stay Focused, Grasp New Concepts and Retain Information

http://online.wsj.com/articles/the-power-of-the-doodle-improve-your-focus-and-memory-1406675744

  1. Sealed Air, the company behind Bubble Wrap, the packing material that never seems to get old

http://online.wsj.com/articles/novelty-of-bubble-wrap-never-seems-to-get-old-1406681390

  1. No CEO Is Special Forever: Their customers might love them, but shareholders not so much

http://online.wsj.com/articles/holman-w-jenkins-no-ceo-is-special-forever-1406675198?mod=Opinion_newsreel_10

  1. How To Start Doing Work You Love And Illuminate The World With It

http://www.forbes.com/sites/kathycaprino/2014/07/29/how-to-start-doing-work-you-love-and-illuminate-the-world-with-it/

  1. How Loneliness Can Make You Sick — and Might Even Kill You

http://op-talk.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/07/29/how-loneliness-can-make-you-sick-and-might-even-kill-you/?ref=opinion

  1. The Former CEO of Ogilvy & Mather on Personal Branding

http://blogs.hbr.org/2014/07/the-former-ceo-of-ogilvy-mather-on-personal-branding/

  1. Beyond technology: Why one Canadian company chooses to innovate the old fashioned way

http://business.financialpost.com/2014/07/28/beyond-technology-why-one-canadian-company-chooses-to-innovate-the-old-fashioned-way/?__lsa=a503-9194

  1. An idiot’s guide to an argument: How to not offend

http://www.brw.com.au/p/leadership/an_idiot_guide_to_an_argument_how_JeaAwt7hjSkMLY4E5GkvYO

  1. A 15th century lesson: In the early 15th century, Korea possessed one of the most revolutionary technologies of its day: printing with moveable type. Although invented in China, Korea was the world’s leader in the application of the technology

http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/opinon/2014/07/396_161126.html

  1. Contenders for the patron saint of entrepreneurs: The greatest advocates for the entrepreneurial life from the humanities and social sciences; Nietzsche was a fierce proponent of humans living to their full potential, and taking risks in life

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/b0532ee4-1651-11e4-8210-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38vYpOhrD

  1. A French revolution in work at O2: Creating jobs has made Guillaume Richard a business celebrity

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/e0376352-1654-11e4-93ec-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38vYpOhrD

  1. Ebola stirs noise while silence greets other killers; Both the deadly virus and old scourges can be stopped by long-term strategies

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/c3088086-1708-11e4-b0d7-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38vbzllhl

  1. 5 Brilliant Strategies That Make Honda One Of The World’s Most Innovative Companies

http://www.businessinsider.sg/strategies-that-make-honda-innovative-2014-7/#.U9iJKvmSxqU

  1. 5 Tricks To Instantly Appear Competent

http://www.businessinsider.sg/tricks-to-appear-competent-2014-7/#.U9iJaPmSxqU

  1. 22 Quotes By Richard Branson That Take You Inside The Mind Of The Self-Made Billionaire

http://www.businessinsider.sg/quotes-from-richard-branson-2014-7/#.U9iJ3vmSxqU

  1. Fascinating Facts About 10 Of The World’s Best-Selling Products

http://www.businessinsider.sg/10-of-the-worlds-best-selling-items-2014-7/#.U9iKePmSxqU

  1. 9 Subtle Things Leaders Do That Show They Have Integrity

http://www.businessinsider.sg/subtle-things-leaders-with-integrity-do-2014-7/#.U9iLQPmSxqU

  1. The 6th Mass Extinction Could Destroy The Future Of Medicine; The potent and diverse chemicals created by nature might hold the key to better treatments for cancer, many other diseases that stymie doctors – but only if we can reach them in time

http://www.businessinsider.sg/how-climate-change-could-destroy-medicine-2014-4/#.U9iLTPmSxqU

TMT

  1. Cheap Tablets Crack Corning’s Stock; lower-end devices less likely to use Gorilla Glass

http://online.wsj.com/articles/heard-on-the-street-cheap-tablets-crack-cornings-stock-1406657868?mod=yahoo_hs

  1. Researchers Fret as Social Media Lift Veil on Drug Trials; Online Chatter Could Unravel Carefully Built Construct of ‘Blind’ Clinical Trials

http://online.wsj.com/articles/researchers-fret-as-social-media-lift-veil-on-drug-trials-1406687404

  1. For Liberty Global, the Next Step Is the Content: CEO Mike Fries, Chairman John Malone Talk About Media Consolidation

http://online.wsj.com/articles/next-step-for-liberty-global-content-1406667563

  1. (Spore/Tech) – Gaming firm puts S’pore in billion-dollar club

http://business.asiaone.com/print/sme-central/prime-movers/gaming-firm-puts-spore-billion-dollar-club

  1. The New Bazaar: Online Shopping Catches On in India With Buyers and Global Investors

http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2014/07/29/the-new-bazaar-online-shopping-catches-on-in-india-with-buyers-and-global-investors/

  1. How the Internet of Things Changes Business Models

http://blogs.hbr.org/2014/07/how-the-internet-of-things-changes-business-models/

  1. (Australia/Tech) – Patrick Grove’s New York meeting with Rupert Murdoch ahead of REA investment in iProperty

http://www.brw.com.au/p/entrepreneurs/patrick_grove_investment_york_meeting_YavyYngApaByY2S2ohtRWM

  1. (Australia/Tech) – Australian duo turn uni lecture notes into cash: Online service built by an ex-AFL player and a Macquarie Bank employee lets students cash in on their notes

http://www.theage.com.au/digital-life/digital-life-news/australian-duo-turn-uni-lecture-notes-into-cash-20140730-zy2g0.html.html

  1. Why do subscription services still suck? When they do not own the content

http://www.theage.com.au/digital-life/computers/gadgets-on-the-go/why-do-subscription-services-still-suck-20140730-zyilb.html

  1. Chat app Line plans a ‘flash sales’ expansion in SE Asia

http://www.chinapost.com.tw/print/413586.htm

  1. E-Commerce Companies Have A Big Opportunity To Go After The Specialty Food Business

http://www.businessinsider.sg/e-commerce-companies-compete-against-legacy-grocers-on-specialty-food-2014-7/#.U9iK4_mSxqU

Consumer

  1. Celebrities Struggle in Prepaid-Card Business; Fortune Eludes Cards Backed by the Famous as Competition from Big Banks Mounts and Fees Come Under Pressure

http://online.wsj.com/articles/celebrities-struggle-in-prepaid-card-business-1406655667?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTWhatsNewsCollection

  1. McDonald’s Ruling Sets Ominous Tone for Franchisers; NLRB Decision Will Allow Franchise Workers to Treat McDonald’s as ‘Joint Employer’

http://online.wsj.com/articles/nlrb-decision-could-make-mcdonalds-liable-for-labor-practices-of-franchisees-1406660591

  1. (Consumer/Australia) – Claiming for a cut of the coconut water boom

http://www.brw.com.au/p/business/claiming_for_cut_of_the_coconut_rnkhzC3NAj6juQoH5fgHeI

  1. McDonald’s should be the victim of the Shanghai-based Husi Food scandal involving the supply of expired meat. Instead, McDonald’s here is now perceived in a completely different light

http://www.thestandard.com.hk/news_detail.asp?we_cat=17&art_id=147761&sid=42698716&con_type=1&d_str=20140728&fc=4

Morning Bamboo Insight: 30 Jul 2014

Morning Bamboo Insight: 30 Jul 2014

Macro

  1. One-third of people in Europe say they don’t feel European

http://qz.com/241428/one-third-of-people-in-europe-say-they-dont-feel-european/

  1. Stock Market Keeps Its Faith in Humanity; After Years of Losing Ground to Computers, Human-Based Stock Trading Is Holding Its Own

http://online.wsj.com/articles/stock-market-regains-its-faith-in-humanity-1406564845

  1. Meet the SEC’s 6,500 Whistleblowers; People Are Offering Confidential Information Under a Securities and Exchange Commission Program

http://online.wsj.com/articles/meet-the-secs-6-500-whistleblowers-1406591157

  1. Cambodia: Wave of discontent; Hun Sen’s 29-year regime is tottering as a young population, angered by corruption, seeks change

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/b01c354e-13f2-11e4-8485-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38oxKFIak

  1. Audit is no longer the chore the board dreads most; There is uncertainty about what risk committees should do, writes Howard Davies

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/284b85ca-166d-11e4-8210-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38oxKFIak

6. (Shipping/Macro) – One of the shipping industry’s most influential partnerships is set to end after 19 years, after Tor Olav Trøim said he was stepping down from his role at John Fredriksen’s main holding company

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/eae0ec20-1699-11e4-a5c7-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38p3CqhdE

  1. Jaded Argentines brace for looming debt default

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/07/29/us-argentina-debt-insight-idUSKBN0FY09U20140729

  1. VW set to overtake Toyota as global auto leader

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/07/29/us-japan-autos-idUSKBN0FY2AM20140729

Asia Pacific

  1. (Korea) – Collusion yet again in Korea: The Fair Trade Commission has imposed $424 million in fines on 28 local builders on charges of colluding on a W3.6tr state project to construct a bullet train network

http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/opinon/2014/07/202_161847.html

  1. (Australia) – All ovens blazing in Aussie pizza wars; How can small pizzerias capture a slice of the market in the face of the major chains’ $5 pizza deals?

http://www.theage.com.au/small-business/trends/all-ovens-blazing-in-pizza-wars-20140716-3c0ss.html

  1. (Korea) – If making investments in infrastructure in the North becomes possible, Korean companies must be the first.; Japan’s control of the ADB is apparent. Japan overwhelmingly won major projects

http://koreajoongangdaily.joins.com/news/article/article.aspx?aid=2992667

  1. (Australia/Commodities) – Aussie miners shift iron ore price in push back against China

http://www.theage.com.au/business/miners-shift-iron-ore-price-in-push-back-against-china-20140729-zxwzt.html

5. (China) – Policy predictions even harder in China than in a democracy

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/db8330c8-1674-11e4-8210-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38p3CqhdE

6. (China) – China Said to Allow Five Regions to Create Bad-Loan Firms

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/print/2014-07-28/china-said-to-allow-five-regions-to-create-bad-loan-firms.html

  1. (China) – China Says Zhou Yongkang, Former Security Chief, Is Under Investigation

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/30/world/asia/china-says-zhou-yongkang-former-security-chief-is-under-investigation.html

  1. (China) – Zhou Yongkang: Oil man whose well of power finally ran dry; No safe haven in China’s corruption crackdown

http://news.asiaone.com/print/news/asia/zhou-yongkang-oil-man-whose-well-power-finally-ran-dry

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/07/30/us-china-corruption-investigation-idUSKBN0FZ01Z20140730

  1. (Msia/Healthcare) – Malaysia tries to parlay appeal to Muslim visitors into medical tourism push

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/07/29/us-malaysia-medical-idUSKBN0FY2AT20140729

  1. (China) – BBC profile of China’s Billionaire Ex-National Security Chief Investigated For “Serious Disciplinary Violation”

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-07-29/chinas-billionaire-ex-national-security-chief-investigated-serious-disciplinary-viol

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-26349305?print=true

  1. (HK) – Is Hong Kong-US Dollar Link About To End? HKMA Buys $715 Million To Support Peg

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-07-29/hong-kong-us-dollar-link-about-end-hkma-buys-715-million-support-peg

  1. (Australia) – Aussie supermarket retailer giant Woolworths trademark maps out financial services ambition

http://www.theage.com.au/business/retail/woolworths-trademark-maps-out-financial-services-ambition-20140730-zy7ak.html

Life

  1. The Cardinal Sins of Innovation Policy

http://blogs.hbr.org/2014/07/the-cardinal-sins-of-innovation-policy/

  1. The Most Important Factor Of Startup Success

http://techcrunch.com/2014/07/28/the-most-important-factor-of-startup-success/

  1. Why Victorinox still screws with the Swiss Army Knife; Keeping sharp through constant innovation: “We Swiss live in a small country with no resources. In the good times we need to prepare for the bad times. Nature has forced us to use our brains.”

http://www.brw.com.au/p/business/why_victorinox_still_screws_with_SWD5e8QqsyV3wpbD5DAVeI

  1. Performance Niches in Trading: The Rage to Master; Greatness is a function of how we approach life; the rage to master is a form of obsession

http://adamhgrimes.com/blog/rage-master/

http://traderfeed.blogspot.co.uk/2014/07/performance-niches-in-trading-rage-to.html

  1. Entrepreneurs’ focus is on livelihood; Four out of 10 new businesses in Korea are started as a means to make a living

http://koreajoongangdaily.joins.com/news/article/article.aspx?aid=2992691&cloc=joongangdaily|home|newslist1

  1. Poll: How introverted are you? The results

http://blog.ted.com/2014/07/14/poll-how-introverted-are-you/

  1. How Old Industries Become Young Again: Five indicators reveal when your sector is about to be transformed by dematurity

http://www.strategy-business.com/article/00270?gko=42973&cid=20140729enews&utm_campaign=20140729enews

  1. When the Caregivers Need Healing

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/29/health/when-the-caregivers-need-healing.html?ref=health&_r=0

  1. Just as Dangerous as We Think: “The Norm Chronicles: Stories and Numbers About Danger and Death” is a kinetic trip through the percentages of risk and the primacy of perceptions

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/29/health/book-review-the-norm-chronicles.html?ref=health

  1. The Norm Chronicles: Stories and Numbers About Danger and Death

http://www.amazon.com/Norm-Chronicles-Stories-Numbers-Danger/dp/0465085709/

  1. Teaching Teaching: Teachers shouldn’t be learning on the job as they go

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/29/opinion/joe-nocera-teaching-teaching.html?ref=opinion

  1. When It’s Cool To Have Nothing: Living a stripped-down life with few possessions is becoming popular – but critics point out that getting rid of stuff looks is a status symbol only if you have stuff to begin with

http://op-talk.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/07/28/when-its-cool-to-have-nothing/?ref=opinion

  1. 6 Ways To Take Care Of Your ‘Mental Hygiene’

http://www.businessinsider.sg/how-to-take-care-of-your-mental-hygiene-2014-7/

  1. 7 Timeless Lessons On Resilience From ‘Philosopher King’ Marcus Aurelius

http://www.businessinsider.sg/marcus-aurelius-meditations-2014-7/

  1. 3 Risks Every Leader Should Take: Be alone. Be misunderstood. Don’t be like everyone else

http://www.businessinsider.sg/risks-every-leader-should-take-2014-7/#.U9dJ4vmSxqU

  1. Tom Hiddleston Sent An Amazing Email To Director Joss Whedon After Reading ‘The Avengers’ Script For The First Time

http://www.businessinsider.sg/tom-hiddlestons-avengers-email-to-joss-whedon-2014-7/#.U9dLqPmSxqU

  1. Are superstar architects, who often work in cities they know little about, creating buildings that don’t mesh well with the surroundings?

http://www.nytimes.com/roomfordebate/2014/07/28/are-the-star-architects-ruining-cities-9

  1. The Creative Art of Selling a Book by Its Cover

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/29/books/peter-mendelsund-book-designer-debuts-as-a-writer.html

  1. To Optimize Talent, Sweat the Small Stuff; Lots of little changes aimed at enhancing employee engagement and mindfulness can create a big payoff

http://ww2.cfo.com/analytics/2014/07/optimize-talent-sweat-small-stuff

  1. The Dark Triad at work

http://www.smu.edu.sg/perspectives/2014/07/30/dark-triad-work#.U9hLm_mSxqU

  1. Debunking myths in revitalising Chinese languages

http://www.todayonline.com/print/720741

TMT

  1. Here’s what automakers have to gain from connecting cars to the internet; carmakers will be able to decide whether they really need to honor a warranty claim or whether the problem was the customer’s fault

http://qz.com/240628/heres-what-automakers-have-to-gain-from-connecting-cars-to-the-internet/

  1. (China/Tech) – China’s Baidu follows Google steer with self-driving car

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/8b87c5f4-163b-11e4-93ec-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38p3CqhdE

  1. (China/Tech) – UnionPay Said to Hand Payment Firms Hefty Fines over Illegal Operations; Companies were caught charging businesses less than the agreed-upon fees to attract users

http://english.caixin.com/2014-07-28/100709780.html

  1. Facebook to shut down Gifts service in latest e-commerce shift

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/07/29/us-facebook-gifts-idUSKBN0FY2HQ20140729

  1. Does Your Company Collect Data – Or Hoard It? At what point does a company’s data collection become self-defeating?

http://sloanreview.mit.edu/article/does-your-company-collect-data-or-hoard-it/

Consumer

  1. L’Oréal make-up goes virtual for selfie age

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/e980243e-13ee-11e4-8485-00144feabdc0.html#slide0

Healthcare

  1. Drugmakers juggle non-core assets

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/94b69be8-1675-11e4-8210-00144feabdc0.html?siteedition=intl#axzz38p3CqhdE

Investing Process

  1. Polycentricity, Self-Governance, and the Art & Science of Association

http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2436647

  1. The Shorting Premium and Asset Pricing Anomalies

http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2471175

Commodities

 

Energy

 

 

When Heirs Become Major Shareholders in Asia’s Family Business Groups: Accounting Tunneling or Valuation Takeoff?

 image001

“Bamboo Innovators bend, not break, even in the most terrifying storm that would snap the mighty resisting oak tree. It survives, therefore it conquers.”

BAMBOO LETTER UPDATE | July 28, 2014
Bamboo Innovator Insight (Issue 42)

  • The weekly insight is a teaser into the opportunities – and pitfalls! – in the Asian capital jungles.
  • Get The Moat Report Asia – a monthly in-depth presentation report of around 30-40 pages covering the business model of the company, why it has a wide moat and why the moat may continue to widen, a special section on “Conversation with Management” to understand their thinking process in building up the business, the context – why now (certain corporate or industry events or groundbreaking news), valuations (why it can compound 2-3x in the next 5 years), potential risks and how it is part of the systematic process in the Bamboo Innovator Index of 200+ companies out of 15,000+ in the Asia ex-Japan universe.
  • Our paid Members from North America, Europe, the Oceania and Asia include professional value investors with over $20 billion in asset under management in equities, some of the world’s biggest secretive global hedge fund giants, and savvy private individual investors who are lifelong learners in the art of value investing.
 

Dear Friends and All,

 

Our presentation at the Value Unplugged event organized by John and Oliver in Naples and at the Value Investing Summit (VIS) by Ciccio in Trani went well based on the feedback of the participants. We are very honoured to be invited back to speak again at the event, including at a potential new event that is to be held and organized in Denmark by the country’s top value investor. It is really wonderful to be able to meet up with friends from around the world in person and to get to understand one another better. We look forward to sharing more insights with like-minded value investors who appreciate the value of having a knowledge-based process in the marathon of value investing and life. The Value Unplugged presentation material and video “To Catch an Asian Snake: Detecting Accounting Fraud Ahead of the Curve” will be made available for our Moat Report Asia Members.

 

Warm regards,
KB

The Moat Report Asia

www.moatreport.com

——–

 

When Heirs Become Major Shareholders in Asia’s Family Business Groups: Accounting Tunneling or Valuation Takeoff?

 

“For investors who do not rely on professional advisers, stocks are usually more than just the abstract ‘bundles of returns’ of our economic modes. Behind each holding may be a story of family business, family quarrels, legacies received, divorce settlements, almost totally irrelevant to our theories of portfolio selection. That we abstract from all these stories in building our model is not because the stories are uninteresting but because they may be too interesting and thereby distract us from the pervasive market forces that should be our principal concern.”

– Nobel laureate Merton Miller (1923-2000)

 

The silent but fierce battle to control one of Asia’s top family business groups with sales of over $80 billion and asset of $86 billion has intensified last week as two sons worked to become the handpicked successor of their patriarch father who turned 92 this October and who had underwent emergency surgery late last year after falling down.

 

Could this be a precursor to the succession and in-fighting risk that will take place in Asia’s family business groups which could override any advantages of the family model? Are there opportunities arising from capitalizing on the uncertainty surrounding the event?

 

The opening quote and investment insight by Merton Miller could ring true for regimes where the dominant corporate form are companies with dispersed, widely-held shareholding structure, but may be less relevant in Asia where entrepreneurial firms are typically tightly-controlled by a family. Many patriarchs in Asia built their fortunes with risky bets in the early post-war years, when Hong Kong was a desolate rock and Singapore was a swamp. They have shifted to become “rent-collectors” from property and related businesses (ports, hotels, retail) or from government concessions (electricity, telco, gas, casino licences). The simplicity of the underlying businesses may account for the ferocity of the family battles since it does not require sacrifice and knowhow for those who take over the business to continue to make money. Asian patriarchs and matriarchs add value in ways that do not appear on balance-sheets through their relationship-based deal-making capabilities. These strengths and tacit knowledge are difficult to bequeath or transfer to one’s children, and these specialized and intangible assets cannot be capitalized easily in the markets. This is why Asian empires systematically struggle to outlive their founders and succession tended to coincide with tremendous destruction of value.

 

Importantly, many of the crown-jewel assets in Asia are either not in the listed vehicles (these are in the private holdings of the tycoons) or that a tycoon has multiple vehicles through complicated shareholding structure for the family to exercise controlling rights with minimal capital. Thus the questions: Why is it that when heirs become major shareholders in Asia, the succession of controlling equity stake to next generation is often associated with tunneling of resources through related-party transactions to firms where the heir holds significant equity stake? What are the accounting properties around the leadership/ownership succession? We will examine these issues, which have important implications for value investors in Asia in the next decade, through the case of Korean and Hong Kong family business groups and two accounting research papers.

 

But first, back to the silent battle. Last week, more than 10 affiliates of Lotte Group exchanged part of their shares with one another to streamline the complex cross-shareholding structure ahead of the implementation of a law banning it. Early this month, the Fair Trade Commission (FTC) had rebuked Lotte Group for having cyclical shareholding structures within the group that form an intricate web for controlling its affiliates. Among the 74 affiliates, Lotte Confectionery (004990 KS, MV $2.8bn), Lotte Shopping (023530 KS, MV $9.4bn) and the unlisted Lotte Hotel, Asia’s third largest hotel chain, are the most important assets in terms of business and the governance structure. Lotte is one of the top conglomerates in Korea and Asia, thanks to its stable cash flow and unique portfolio composed of cash-rich industries. The two successors to the Lotte empire have been accumulating stakes in the key affiliate Lotte Confectionery since last year. Lotte Confectionery is up 31% this year and still trades at price-to-book of 1x. The power struggle and sibling rivalry was started decades ago when the patriarch Shin Kyuk-ho sent the elder son Shin Dong-ju to Japan and the younger Shin Dong-bin to stay in Korea. But the Korean operations have grown ten times bigger than the Jap ops in the past decades. The cooperative relationship between Japan’s and South Korea’s Lotte groups is cemented only by a marginal capital tie-up, so it could be terminated if the balance of power, underpinned by this capital alliance, tilts too far to one side.

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Lotte Confectionery (Kospi: 004990 KS) – Stock Price Performance, 1983-2014

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Inspired by the German author Goethe’s novel The Sorrow of Young Werther which Napoleon Bonaparte considered as one of the great works of European literature, Shin Kyuk-ho named Lotte Group after the character Charlotte in the book. Founded in 1948 as a chewing gum maker in Tokyo, Shin built Lotte with his marketing flair. Lotte later expanded to Korea with the establishment of Lotte Confectionery in Seoul in 1967, after Korea and Japan re-established diplomatic ties in 1965. Shin had gone to Japan in 1942 during the Japanese occupation period to study. Desperately wanting his career in literature, Shin overcame the disadvantage as ‘a Korean’ through his extraordinary diligence. He obtained investment from a Japanese who witnessed his diligence and built a factory that manufactured cutting oil in 1944. It was his first step as a businessman. However, he had to suffer hardships as his factory was completely destroyed by the bombs in the chaos of World War II. He was able to bounce back from the failure and now, Lotte grew to become Korea’s fifth largest chaebol in businesses ranging from snacks, beverages, department stores, to insurance, construction, amusement parks and hotels.

 

<Article snipped>

 

Is there an opportunity for value investors to accumulate Lotte Group’s key affiliates in the governance battle for control in the succession ahead?…… But first, we need to understand the accounting issues, specifically why the succession of controlling equity stake to next generation is often associated with tunneling of resources through related-party transactions to firms where the heir holds significant equity stake.

 

<Article snipped>

 

Lotte reminds us of the case of Vitasoy (345 HK, MV $1.3bn), in that most succession events are not smooth and that it takes an idea greater than oneself for different parties to work together harmoniously, especially during crisis periods.

 

Vitasoy was started by Dr. KS Lo with a little bean in 1940 at a factory located at Causeway Bay. KS (Kwee-seong) was the eldest son of Lo Chun-hing, a loyal employee of Eu Tong-sen, patriarch of Singapore’s Eu Yan Sang (SGX: EYSAN SP, MV $290m). In the late 1930s, KS returned to the Chinese mainland and HK to seek out opportunities and was surprised to see severe malnutrition in children caused by diseases in both places. Having got the idea that soybeans could be turned into a milk-like drink with high protein content after attending a talk entitled “Soya Bean: The Cow of China” presented by the American Julean Arnold, KS experimented in 1939 and successfully produced a cheap, nutritious, high-protein soya milk.

 

<Article snipped>

 

Both Shin and KS were inspired by the idea larger than oneself: to bring about kindness and betterment to children and people in ruined lands through food technology and quality products and services. This larger idea has galvanized the trust and support among the community of customers, business partners and suppliers throughout the years. Whenever this core value is diluted, without the accompanying culture of trust and decentralization to empower the people in the pursuit of growth, globalization, size and diversification, chinks in the mighty armour start to appear and can deteriorate quickly into major problems that would bring down the organization.

 

As value investors in Asia over the decade plus, we have often observed that the emperor-like and FFF (fight-for-favors) culture in companies is the #1 factor that has resulted in tremendous value destruction around the succession event and why the business does not scale further. There will be doubts about the ability, intention, motivation and fairness in rewards with people not trusting another to act in good faith; there will be envy, anger, and schadenfreude (joy at someone’s misery). How can a system be in place to eliminate doubt, envy, and schadenfreude?

 

<Article snipped>

 

Beyond the financial numbers, we like to look for this intangible idea larger than oneself to overcome and transcend beyond the vicious political fight for distributive tangible pools of money and power in Asia’s family business groups. Only then can we be more certain that accounting tunnelling is less likely to occur and valuation takeoff will take place.

 

To read the exclusive article in full to find out more about the accounting tunneling risks when heirs become major shareholders, as well as the inspiring stories of Korea’s Lotte Group/Shin and HK’s Vitasoy/KS, please visit:

 

  • When Heirs Become Major Shareholders in Asia’s Family Business Groups: Accounting Tunneling or Valuation Takeoff?, Jul 28, 2014 (Moat Report AsiaBeyondProxy)

 

The Moat Report Asia
 

“In business, I look for economic castles protected by unbreachable ‘moats’.”

– Warren Buffett

 

The Moat Report Asia is a research service focused exclusively on competitively advantaged, attractively priced public companies in Asia.Together with our European partners BeyondProxy and The Manual of Ideas, the idea-oriented acclaimed monthly research publication for institutional and private investors, we scour Asia to produce The Moat Report Asia, a monthly in-depth presentation report highlighting an undervalued wide-moat business in Asia with an innovative and resilient business model to compound value in uncertain times. Our Members from North America, the Nordic, Europe, the Oceania and Asia include professional value investors with over $20 billion in asset under management in equities, secretive global hedge fund giants, and savvy private individual investors who are lifelong learners in the art of value investing.

 

Learn more about membership benefits here: http://www.moatreport.com/subscription/

 

  • Individual subscription at $1,994 per year:

https://www.moatreport.com/individual-subscription/?s2-ssl=yes

 

Our latest monthly issue for the month of July investigates an Asian-listed company who’s the global #1 and #2 maker of two types of patient monitoring devices for both clinical- and home-use. Founded in 1981 and listed in 2001, the company’s reliable manufacturing technology platform for over 30 years has enabled it to build a global durable franchise in the niche patient monitoring device market that has stable resilient growth and yet is experiencing potential disruptions led by its new innovation. A secret to its success is its in-house capabilities to combine Swiss design, high-precision electronics and sensors components with clinical healthcare to produce world-class products with cost competitiveness.The firm has competitive technology and patents especially its core competence of having an algorithm to allow fast reading/filtering of signals and outputting the accurate results in a short period of time. The company has the potential to consolidate the market further. The company is also a sticky ODM partner to reputable companies including Wal-Mart, Costco, CVS and it has a diversified customer base with none of the customers accounting for more than 10% of its sales. The company demonstrated that it has bargaining power over its powerful customers with the ability to build its own brand since 1998 (62% of overall sales). 91% of its sales are to developed markets in US and Europe. The company is trading at EV/EBIT 9.7x and EV/EBITDA 8.8x and has an attractive dividend yield at 5.6% and a strong balance sheet with net cash as percentage of market value and book equity at 23% and 47% respectively. The firm has also undertaken the unusual capital management program to reduce 10% of its shares outstanding in Sep 2012 to boost capital efficiency by utilizing the comfortable net cash position. The proactive shareholder-friendly stance backed by its strong net cash position should limit any downside in share price. The company’s terminal value and downside risk will be protected by giants such as J&J, Bayer, Abbott etc who wish to swallow it up to possess its valuable manufacturing technology platform and worldwide patents in algorithm-technology. The company’s worldwide patents in algorithm-technology has been commercialized into an innovative product series that is at the heart of its total solution service business model. This valuable intangible asset is not factored into long-term valuation. The innovative product with the algorithm measurement technology are not merely additional features; it “forces” the clinical community to adopt them as the standard, which in turn helps drive home-use penetration as patients seek a consistent and integrated healthcare experience. It transforms the product into a unique strategy that incorporates software development to create value-added services for health monitoring and collaborating with hospitals and governments on tele-healthcare projects. As a result of its wide-moat, the company has a far superior ROE at 20.9% that is nearly double that of its key giant conglomerate rival. When we compare EV/EBIT relative to ROE and ROA, the company is cheaper by as much as 120-150% when compared to its key giant conglomerate rival. The stock price of the company is down nearly 20% from its recent high in end March 2014 on profit-taking by short-term investors. Share price is back to May 2013 level, representing an attractive opportunity to take position in this long-term durable franchise. The stable long-term shareholdings and patient capital by the founder and the management team who together own around 48% of the equity has enabled the firm to adopt a very long-term approach to building its business and cultivating new growth areas. While he may sometimes be slightly over-optimistic and thinking too far ahead with his long-term opinions, this  idealistic engineer-visionary-philosopher has done a fantastic job in continuously defying the odds of many skeptics by growing the company from a small startup into one of the world’s leading patient monitoring equipment company. He is the rare Asian entrepreneur who was persistent in building his own brand despite the threat of offending his ODM customers. He was also early in cultivating and coordinating a global network with high-tech component, R&D and manufacturing in his home country, manufacturing, assembly and packaging in Shenzhen, China and medical R&D and clinical testing center in Europe, including making the difficult decision to establish a direct marketing sales force in Europe and North America given the high cost. Unlike most Asian business owners whose interest and focus in the core business starts to wane due to complacency from growing personal wealth and the inability to scale the core business, the founder is genuinely passionate in the company’s ability to add value to the patients and society. The firm can effectively run without the founder with the long-term corporate culture and management system in place, yet he can inject great value as the steward in new innovations; we believe that this combination is rare for an Asian company and deserves a valuation premium.

 

Our past monthly issues examine:

 

  • The world’s #1 ODM (Original Design Manufacturer) and global #5 manufacturer of a consumer healthcare device product that is used frequently, even daily, thus providing the foundation for stable recurring cashflow. This company is also a hidden champion in a niche product segment (50-55% of group’s sales) that has become a high-growth fashion product currently accounting for less than 10% of the overall industry. The company is able to mass-manufacture this niche product, but not the giants, because of its unique process IP in flexible manufacturing system and know-how to handle large-scale complex orders. The manufacture of this product itself is difficult to replicate and requires FDA/CE licenses because of its medical device nature and the entry barrier is not capital but the know-how and R&D expertise. In particular, the manufacturing integrates different fields of science including polymer chemistry, physics, optics, engineering, materials control, process control, microbiology, and, injection molding. The firm has also developed a proprietary system of tracking the manufacturing process of different sets of product so that if a quality issue arose, when and where the problem set of products was being produced could be swiftly identified, thus diminishing the scale and cost of product recall. This system has helped the firm win the long-term trust of its ODM customers to place stable large orders. The Big Four giants do not have such a system and have to incur substantial losses from product recalls. The company also possess its own brand which has many loyal followers and support in its home market where it enjoys a 30% market share and contributes to 25% of group’s sales while sticky ODM customers account for 75% of group’s sales, mainly from the Japan market. As a result of its wide-moat advantages, the firm enjoys a consistently high ROE of 41%, double or triple that of the giants. From FY07 onwards, even during the depths of the Global Financial Crisis in 2007/09, the firm has not raised equity. Since listing in Mar 2004, the company has only done one rights issue in May 2005. Also, it is able to sustain a strong stable cash dividend payout (>70% with 3% yield) with its healthy net-cash balance sheet (net cash $30m; net cash-to-equity ratio 23%) and proven management execution in prudent capex expansion to support sustainable quality earnings growth. M&A deals in the healthcare and medical device sector has been growing due to their strong defensive nature and giants seeking growth to overcome their own patent cliff. The firm will always be an attractive takeover target by giants who wish to swallow it up to possess its valuable flexible manufacturing system and know-how to fill their own missing competency gap and hence will enjoy long-term downside protection in its terminal value. In the battle between “ODM vs Brand”, we find the story of the company to be quite similar to that of TSMC (2330 TT, MV $103bn), now the largest ODM foundry in the world. “Skate to where the puck is going to be, not where it has been,” as hockey legend Wayne Gretzky advised. In our view, the profit and valuation premium in the value chain will start to skate to the “Inno-facturers” who are the hidden ODM innovators (the brand behind brands) consolidating the industry, such as TSMC and this company. While its valuation is not cheap with EV/EBIT (FY13) at 20.6x, when we compare EV/EBIT relative to ROE, the company is relatively cheap, by as much as 130-220% when compared to giants and other comparables. When we compare EV/EBITDA relative to ROE, the valuation gap is 90-160%. This long-term valuation gap implies that the company, with its far superior and sustainable ROE, could potentially double to $2.4bn, as it continues to consolidate its niche product segment and enter into a new product cycle of an innovative product whose patents are expiring in 2014/15 (US/worldwide) to make ASP/margin improvements in sustaining quality profits and cashflow. Its share price has dropped 18% from its recent high and underperformed the index by 26% in the last six months. This will present a buying opportunity for long-term value investors who can penetrate beyond conventional valuation metrics because of a deep understanding of its business model and underlying source of its wide-moat advantages. In Asia, many firms break apart or become value traps due to shareholder conflict, envy and differences in opinion on the business direction of the company. The stable long-term corporate culture infused by the late founder, who established the company in 1986 with the current executive chairman and 2 other key shareholders, to combine the energy and ideas of everyone to work hard to keep the business running forever is underappreciated.

 

  • The Home Depot of Asia which has the largest market share in its home country and now seeks to expand regionally. It is one of the few home improvement retailers in the world which is able to achieve a structural negative cash conversion cycle (CCC) at -39 days for resilient, recurring and sustainable operating cashflow to enable the expansion of its store network while keeping a healthy balance sheet. It is hard to achieve negative cash conversion cycle (CCC) as a home retailer as compared to a supermarket retailer as the product nature is more durable. Even Home Depot, Lowe’s and Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) are not able to achieve a negative CCC. Led by the capable owner-operators since 1995, the company is a pioneer in proactively creating awareness and demand in the minds of consumers that upgrading your home can be fun and in incremental affordable steps. Its creative branding has resulted in the firm to become the “first on customers’ mind”, or what Charlie Munger elucidated as the “psychological wide-moat” advantage. 80% of sales are generated customers looking for home improvement and renovation ideas and solutions.  Growth is supported by the management’s proven ability to identify and cater to dynamic changes in customer preferences. The firm’s comprehensive pre and aftersales service creates brand loyalty and sustains long-term sales. The merchandizing management is tailored to the peculiarities of customer preferences in each area to drive same store sales growth with creative customization by store, location, season and events. Its key strategy to expand its profit margin is to increase its higher-margin house brands and product-mix management. Its EBITDA/sqm of $400/sqm was higher than Home Depot until Home Depot experienced a rebound last year to $500/sqm. The firm’s resilient sales are supported by its unrivalled network of diverse locations throughout the country. Its bold vision and successful “Blue Ocean” execution in the highly fragmented second-tier markets has created a powerful wide-moat advantage that will last for many years to come. In short, the management have proven their ability to execute in difficult market and industry conditions especially in the past 5 to 7 years during the 2007/09 global financial crisis with the firm emerging much stronger. The Illinois Institute of Technology engineering graduate and quiet billionaire owner behind the home retailer is one of the few Asian business tycoons who has the thirst to scale up the business in a sustainable way, as opposed to opportunistic ventures, having been largely influenced by his early years experience observing the success of American wide-moat firms. If we can adjust the EV/EBITDA valuation metric to reflect the CCC, the company’s EV/EBITDA of 18.5x will be lower at 10-11x, while Home Depot’s EV/EBITDA 11x will be higher at 13x. Noteworthy is that Home Depot has a negative free cashflow throughout FY1989-2001 (13 consecutive years!) and yet market cap has climbed from $1.5bn to $103bn. Home Depot compounded despite the ugly valuations during the capex ramp-up. This once again highlights that the power of wide-moat is often underappreciated, misunderstood and overlooked. When Home Depot generated $180m in operating cashflow in FY1992, quite similar to this Asian firm now, Home Depot is valued at $5bn (vs $3bn). Store network is expected to double in the next 4-5 years, representing a potential doubling in market value.

 

  • The Northeast Asian-listed company who is the world’s largest maker of an essential component with applications in apparel, shoes, diapers, car seats etc. All top 20 global athletic shoe brands, including Nike, Adidas, Reebok, Sketchers, UnderArmor are customers and this Asian innovator with R&D capabilities has forged long-term “spec-in” partnerships with them. Its broad product offering is protected by over 110 patents. By locating its Pan-Asian production plant network in China, Taiwan, Vietnam and Indonesia close to its major clients, including sales/customer service centers and warehouses in US and Europe, the firm is better positioned to understand their requirements, deliver fast and meet their needs. While top 10 athletic shoe brands account 40% of its revenue, the firm has a diversified clientele base of over 10,000 customers, giving it resilience and growth with both the established and emerging brands as clients. The company is trading at PE14e 12x, EV/EBITDA 7.1x and EV/EBIT 10.6x with a dividend yield of 3.9%. Interestingly, its EBITDA margin is double that of Adidas and its 8.7% net margin is higher than Adidas’ 5.4%, though below Nike’s 9.8%. Given the tipping point of its Pan-Asian production network and contributions from its new products and as capex tapers off in the next few years, free cashflow could be around $50-60m and applying a P/FCF of 15x would yield a market value of $750-900m,, representing apotential upside of 100-150%. Thus, the firm offers a similar quality growth trajectory to Nike/Adidas with its unique knowledge-based business model and yet trades at a more attractive valuation and higher dividend yield as downside protection.

 

  • The Middleby of Asia commanding a dominant market share of over 80% in hypermarkets, 50% in chain outlets, 30% in 4- to 5-star hotels in China and an overall 30% in its home market. Yet, no single customer accounts for more than 5% of its revenue. Just to recall for value investors, NYSE-listed Middleby, with its sleepy and boring business, has compounded 100-fold from around $50m to $5.7bn since its tipping point in 1999. The founders of this Asian family business demonstrated clear dedication in building up the company with its wide-moat business model backed by a strong and unique distribution/marketing network in finding, winning and binding new customers to build massive brand equity and long-lasting relationships with clients over time. Their devotion to its core product for nearly 20 years results in maximum problem-solving skills, innovative strength and product leadership and hence, to ever greater customer benefit that will protect the company to consolidate the fragmented market and provide ample opportunities to continue its profitable growth. The company is currently trading at PE13e 15.8x and an undemanding EV/EBIT 10.1x and EV/EBITDA 9.5x and its growth potential based on its unique business model is not priced in. There is a structural re-rerating of niche business models with (1) diversified client base, (2) steady revenue streams, (3) lean capex requirements that creates ample free cashflow and defensive growth. Based on PE, P/CFO and EV/EBIT, the company is trading at a 40-50% discount to the foreign listed comparables despite more efficient use of assets in generating profits and cashflow. It has an attractive 7% earnings yield growing at 20% over the next 3-5 years and a 3.8% dividend yield that is supported by its strong cashflow generation ability, steady revenue stream and lean capex requirements to limit downside risks in valuation. Based on the growth plans to penetrate new product and customer segments; build its third plant in India in addition to the ones in its home market and in China; and potential bolt-on acquisition opportunities with its healthy balance sheet in net-cash position, it has the potential to double its operating cashflow in the next 3-5 years and market value could double, representing an upside potential of 100-140%.

 

  • An emerging Asian Walgreens which is a top 3 community pharmacy operator in its home market. Walgreens is a classic neglected American compounder up over 272-fold to $54 billion from under $200m as it quietly consolidates the market. Over the decade, we observed that it is difficult to scale services-based businesses without an entrepreneurial mindset, committment and execution and thebold and unique management system of the company since 2000 allowed the pharmacists to be part-owner of the business which will lead to increased level of commitment and an owner’s mindset in growing the business for the long-term in the community. The firm has strong cash generation ability due to its negative cash conversion cycle (CCC) in the business model to help the business stay resilient during difficult times and to fund capex needs internally without straining the business model scalability as the network expands. The centralized logistics system provide regular deliveries to all of its community pharmacies enables the outlets to maximize retail space without the need to have space to keep stocks. This also enables the community pharmacies to optimize retail space to carry a wide range of products which is important as consumers increasingly have top-of-mind recall for the company as the destination to go to for their healthcare needs. Like Walgreens, the company believed in the power of embedding technology into the business model to better compete and its financial and warehousing/inventory management systems are integrated with its in-house POS (point-of-sale) system which is linked among all its community pharmacies and head office via virtual private network. The company is founded by fivecollege friends who were somewhat frustrated that their pharmacy degrees were underappreciated and under-rewarded as compared to their medical degree counterparts even though they had studied hard for 4-5 years and had in-depth medical knowledge. They were eager to prove themselves that they are as capable, if not more so. This restless spirit to prove their capabilities resulted in them coming together to be entrepreneurs and they wish to provide the platform for similar restless pharmacists to apply their hard-earned knowledge acquired in the university. We find that this common purpose and camaraderie spirit is rare in Asian companies and makes the company unique to scale up sustainably. The company is currently trading at a EV/EBIT of 13.9x and EB/EBITDA 12.6%. In the next two to three years as the company expands its network of outlets, operating cashflow (CFO) could increase 50-60% and a re-rerating could result in a doubling in market value.

 

  • An Asian-listed pharmaceutical company which has a dominant franchise in a neglected but growing disease and is a leader with a domestic market share of 49% in this niche segment and is the only fully-integrated player amongst the few pre-qualified WHO firms,giving it >30% EBITDA margin, better pricing power compared to the competition, and significant advantage over other players in ramping up the global business from the current 30% market share in the most-common treatment drug (vs Novartis 50%). Furthermore, the pharma company has the second-highest GP/TA (gross profit/ total asset) ratio in the industry at 56.3% and the most conservative accounting practice in the industry which “depresses” earnings relative to its peers i.e. it is the only domestic firm which expenses, and does not capitalize, all R&D. With the new plant for formulations export to US, the deepening of the niche drug franchise, growing wins in chronic pain and other niche areas and the commercialization of the potential blockbuster product of blood thinner by FY16/17, EBITDA could potentially double to $200m in the next 4-5 years, triggering a valuation re-rating to a market value of $3.4bn, a 130% upside.

 

  • An Australian-listed company with market value $405m, EV/EBITDA 7.5x, EV/EBIT 10x, div 3%, 70% domestic market share whose management made the controversial bold decision to stop overseas exports in order to focus on cultivating the higher-margin domestic market with innovative marketing strategy and new products and is potentially doubling its supply in the next 3-5 years. It is in its 10thyear of listing after piling the foundation in consolidation, investment, rationalization for its next stage. It has an all-time low debt-equity position 18.6% with healthy balance sheet. “Buffett of Nordic” recently increased position between Apr-Sep this year in the peer comparable of the company and the billionaire investor announced in Nov an acquisition of a rival in a wave of global consolidation andwith the view on a sustained recovery in product prices.

 

  • Northeast Asia-listed company with global #1 market share leadership in 4 different products, including making the components for an innovative consumer product whose sales have climbed from $90 million to $526 million in the recent three years. The company is a hidden global consolidator with underappreciated growth. The stock is trading at PE 11.5x, EV/EBITDA 9x and generates a sustainable dividend yield 5.75%.

 

  • Taiwan and Southeast-Asian-listed entrepreneurial company, both with a dominant 80% domestic market share and have innovative business models to generate substantial cashflow to support both expansion and a 4-5% dividend yield.

 

  • There is also a behind-the-scene conversation with the CEOs of the companies to understand their thinking process in building up the business.

 

The Moat Report Asia Members’ Forum has been getting penetrating quality dialogues from our subscribers. Questions range from:

 

  • The nuances of internal dealings in Asia, including the case discussion of the recent deal in which HK billionaire’s Lee Shau-kee Henderson Land acquiring Towngas or Hong Kong & China Gas (3 HK) from his family holdings, seemingly déjà vu from the early Oct 2007 transaction when the market peak.
  • The case of F&N Singapore spinning out its property unit FCL Trust and getting “free” special dividend-in-specie and the potential risk in asset swap restructuring to deleverage the hidden debt in the entire Group balance sheet.
  • The dilemma of whether to invest in a Southeast Asian-listed company and hidden champion with a domestic market share of 60% due to family squabbles and a legal suit over the company’s ownership.
  • Discussion of the wise and thoughtful 107-year-old Irving Kahn’s investment into a US-listed but Hong Kong-based electronics company with development property project in Shenzhen’s Qianhai zone and the possible corporate governance risks that could be underestimated or overlooked, as well as their history of listing some assets in HK in 2004.. This is also a case study of “buy one get one free” in John’s highly-acclaimed book The Manual of Ideas in which the “free” property is lumped together with the (eroding) core business to make the combined entity look cheap and undervalued. What are the potential areas that value investors need to watch out for when adapting the SOTP (sum-of-the-parts) valuation method in Asia?
  • And many more intriguing questions.

 

Do find out more in how you can benefit from authentic and candid on-the-ground insights that sell-side analysts and brokers, with their inherent conflict-of-interests, inevitable focus on conventional stock coverage and different clientele priorities, are unwilling or unable to share. Think of this as pressing the Bloomberg “Help Help” button to navigate the Asian capital jungle. Institutional subscribers also get access to the Bamboo Innovator Index of 200+ companies and Watchlist of 500+ companies in Asia and the Database has eliminated companies with a higher probability of accounting frauds and  misgovernance as well as the alluring value traps.

 

Professional Development Workshops for Executives and Lifelong Learners
 

Our 8th run of the series of workshop From the Fund Management Jungles: Value Investing Exposed and Explored – (Part 1) Moat Analysis, (Part 2) Tipping Point Analysis and (Part 3) Detecting Accounting Fraud – on 14 June 2014 has been well-received with serious value investors, professionals, and serious lifelong learners attending, with some who flew in from Jakarta and KL!..

 

Our 9th workshop will be on Detecting Accounting Fraud Ahead of the Curve sometime later in the year.

 

Thank you for your support all this while!

 

 

Thank you so much for reading as always.

 

Warm regards,

KB Kee

image004

Managing Editor

The Moat Report Asia

Singapore

Mobile: +65 9695 1860

 

A Service of BeyondProxy LLC

1608 S. Ashland Avenue #27878

Chicago, Illinois 60608-2013

Other offices: London, Singapore, Zurich

 

 

P.S.1 Here is a little more about my background:

KB Kee has been rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as an analyst in Asian capital markets. He was head of research and fund manager at a Singapore-based value investment firm. As a member of the investment committee, he helped the firm’s Asia-focused equity funds significantly outperform the benchmark index. He was previously the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company.

 

He holds a Masters in Finance and degrees in Accountancy and Business Management, summa cum laude, from Singapore Management University (SMU) and had also published articles on governance and investing in the media, as well as published an empirical research paper Why ‘Democracy’ and ‘Drifter’ Firms Can Have Abnormal Returns: The Joint Importance of Corporate Governance and Abnormal Accruals in Separating Winners from Losers in the Special Issue of Istanbul Stock Exchange 25th Year Anniversary Best Paper Competition,Boğaziçi JournalReview of Social, Economic and Administrative Studies, Vol. 25(1): 3-55. KB has also presented his thought leadership as a keynote speaker in global investing conferences. KB has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy, value investing, macroeconomic, industry trends, and detecting accounting frauds in Singapore, HK and China, and had taught accounting at the SMU where he is currently an adjunct lecturer.

 

P.S.2  Why do I care so much about doing The Moat Report Asia for you?

My personal motivation in embarking on this lifelong journey has been driven by disappointment from observing up close and personal the hard-earned assets of many investors, including friends and their families, burnt badly by the popular mantra: “Ride the Asian Growth Story!” Iwitnessed firsthand the emotional upheavals that they go through when they invest their hard-earned money – and their family’s – in these “Ride The Asian Growth Story” stocks either by themselves or through money managers, and these stocks turned out to be the subject of some exciting “theme” but which are inherently sick and prey to economic vicissitudes. They may seem to grow faster initially but the sustainable harvest of their returns is far too uncertain to be the focus of a wise program in investment. Worse still, the companies turned out to be involved in accounting frauds. Their financial numbers were “propped up” artificially to lure in funds from investors and the studiously-assessed asset value has already been “tunnelled out” or expropriated. And western-based fraud detection tools and techniques have not been adapted to the Asian context to avoid these traps.

 

After a decade-plus journey in the Asian capital jungles, it has been somewhat disheartening as I observe many fraud perpetrators go away scot-free and live a life of super luxury on minority investors’ hard-earned money. And these perpetrators make tempting offers to various parties in the financial community to go along with their schemes. When investors have knowledge in their hands, we have a choice to stay away from these people and away from temptations and do the things that we think are right. With knowledge, we have a choice to invest in the hardworking Asian entrepreneurs and capital allocators who are serious in building a wide-moat business.

 

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Morning Bamboo Insight: 29 Jul 2014

Morning Bamboo Insight: 29 Jul 2014

Macro

1. Asset bubbles could deflate global recovery

http://www.afp.com/en/news/asset-bubbles-could-deflate-global-recovery

2. The Real Raw Material of Wealth; The moral of the story is that adding value to raw materials is one path to diversification, but not necessarily a long or fruitful on

http://www.project-syndicate.org/print/ricardo-hausmann-advises-poor-countries-not-to-focus-solely-on-adding-value-to-natural-resource-exports

3. How Risk Management Can Spawn Competitive Advantage; CFOs should have the notion of competitive advantage on their minds when they consider the values and goals of their companies’ enterprise risk management

http://ww2.cfo.com/risk-management/2014/07/risk-management-can-spawn-competitive-advantage/

Asia Pacific

1. (Japan) – Abenomics Leading To Crisis? Post-‘Collective Security,’ With Support Plunging, Abe Gambles On Casinos

http://www.forbes.com/sites/stephenharner/2014/07/27/abenomics-leading-to-crisis-post-collective-security-with-support-plunging-abe-gambles-on-casinos/print/

2. (HK/China) – Two Disappearing Chairmen At Hong Kong Stock Exchange Underscore Investment, Governance Risks

http://www.forbes.com/sites/russellflannery/2014/07/27/two-disappearing-chairmen-at-hong-kong-stock-exchange-underscore-investment-governance-risks/print/

3. (China) – China’s Solution To “Property Companies Facing Huge Debt Burdens”: Much More Debt

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-07-28/chinas-solution-%E2%80%9Cproperty-companies-facing-huge-debt-burdens%E2%80%9D-much-more-debt

4. (India/Tech) – Tata Consultancy Services Manages Its Size to Stay Agile; CEO Natarajan Chandrasekaran Promotes Democratic Decision-making Within Units

http://online.wsj.com/articles/tata-consultancy-services-manages-its-size-to-stay-agile-1406474692

5. (India) – New Poverty Formula Proves Test for India; Country Struggling With How To Define Poverty

http://online.wsj.com/articles/new-poverty-formula-proves-test-for-india-1406487289?tesla=y&mg=reno64-wsj&url=http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304581004580055602538598566.html

6. (Australia/Consumer) – Solomon Lew accepts Country Road $200m offer, ending 17 year battle with South African retailer Woolworths

http://www.theage.com.au/business/retail/solomon-lew-accepts-country-road-offer-ending-17-year-battle-20140725-zwyys.html

7. (Isia) – Indonesia’s Widodo faces huge reform challenge; “The parliament is very hostile – if Jokowi wants good government, he would have to imprison half the lawmakers. He could easily be blocked by them,”

http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asiapacific/indonesia-s-widodo-faces/1284704.html#

8. (Korea) – S. Korean carmakers have succeeded in their game plan

http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Business-News/2014/07/26/S-Korean-carmakers-have-succeeded-in-their-game-plan/

9. (China) – Probes and propaganda: Xi’s double strategy to consolidate power

http://www.wantchinatimes.com/news-subclass-cnt.aspx?id=20140728000004&cid=1101

10. (Taiwan) – Taiwan Minister presses for real estate transaction tax to prevent speculative investment in the housing market

http://www.chinapost.com.tw/print/413436.htm

11. (China) – China launches global ‘fox hunt’ for corrupt officials; Beijing vows to drive corrupt officials from their overseas refuges in a bid to save the Chinese Communist Party from extinction

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/china/10991255/China-launches-global-fox-hunt-for-corrupt-officials.html

12. (China) – Petitioners can no longer ‘seek the emperor’; A group of villagers from Fujian province found out the hard way that they no longer can petition the central government for help directly

http://news.asiaone.com/print/news/asia/petitioners-can-no-longer-seek-emperor

13. (China) – Chinese Corruption Probe Stretches Into Canada; Billion-Dollar Oil-Sands Project Is Left in Limbo

http://online.wsj.com/articles/chinese-corruption-probe-stretches-into-canada-1406588882

14. (Korea) – Seoul’s Economics Go Flat; Another major metropolis fails the Uber test

http://online.wsj.com/articles/seoul-s-economics-go-flat-1406566298

15. (Asean) – Asean’s Infrastructure Crisis; Leaders need to step up before inadequate infrastructure cripples the region’s economic potential

http://online.wsj.com/articles/groff-aseans-infrastructure-crisis-1406566174

Life

1. Book Review: ‘Rogue Elephant’ by Simon Denyer; The average Indian earns less than the average Chinese. But it’s in New Delhi-not Beijing-where you can call the prime minister an idiot without worrying about a knock on the door

http://online.wsj.com/articles/book-review-rogue-elephant-by-simon-denyer-1406496211

2. What The Wright Brothers Could Teach Today’s Innovators About Solving Problems

http://www.fastcodesign.com/3033613/what-the-history-of-aviation-could-teach-todays-innovators-about-solving-problems

3. European lessons for S’pore’s apprenticeship system

http://www.todayonline.com/print/717076

4. 8 Top Business Books From 2014 Summed Up In A Paragraph

http://www.valuewalk.com/2014/07/top-business-books

5. Michael Mauboussin: The True Measures Of Success

http://www.valuewalk.com/2014/07/michael-mauboussin-true-measures-success

http://cdn1.valuewalk.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/HBR_True-Measure-of-Success.pdf

6. Heads or Tails? Either Way, You Might Beat a Stock Picker

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/27/your-money/heads-or-tails-either-way-you-might-beat-a-stock-picker.html?ref=business

7. How To Get Your Confidence Back

http://www.forbes.com/sites/work-in-progress/2014/07/24/how-to-get-your-confidence-back/print/

8. Why the Last Five Years of Your Life Have Disappeared? Feel Like Time Is Flying By and You’ve Got Nothing to Show for It? There Are Scientific Reasons for That

http://www.fastcompany.com/3032980/work-smart/why-the-last-five-years-of-your-life-have-disappeared

9. The VP of Devil’s Advocacy; The tenth man. If nine of us look at the same information and arrive at the exact same conclusion, it’s the duty of the tenth man to disagree

http://techcrunch.com/2014/07/27/the-vp-of-devils-advocacy/

10. A head for Ferragamo footwear: Members of the Italian shoemaking dynasty use strict rules to protect their father’s legacy

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/1cea2a1c-13e6-11e4-b46f-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38iqWKxc5

11. ‘Hello there’: eight lessons from Microsoft’s awful job loss memo; Elop’s job-loss announcement is a case study in how not to write, think or lead

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/013511fa-13dd-11e4-8485-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38iqWKxc5

12. The Upside to Morning Sickness; Uncomfortable symptoms of pregnancy linked to healthier babies, study finds

http://online.wsj.com/articles/the-upside-to-morning-sickness-1406563253

13. How to Cope When You and Your Partner Are Falling out of Love; Experts say when a trait you used to adore in your partner starts driving you away, it’s a “fatal attraction”

http://online.wsj.com/articles/how-to-cope-when-you-and-your-partner-are-falling-out-of-love-1406588472

TMT

1. (India/Tech) – India prepares for ‘big bang’ in smartphone use

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/15942a48-0e2c-11e4-85ab-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38kSdAuDS

2. Cisco CEO: Why the future of the Internet is already here

http://fortune.com/2014/07/16/cisco-ceo-why-the-future-of-the-internet-is-already-here/

3. (China/Tech) – Qualcomm’s Problems Just Got Worse As China Builds Chip Giant

http://www.forbes.com/sites/oliverbarron/2014/07/27/qualcomms-problems-just-got-worse-as-china-builds-chip-giant/print/

4. Can Reddit Grow Up? Efforts by the freewheeling online community to monetize without driving away its 114 million monthly users will require appealing to advertisers without sacrificing values like personal data privacy.

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/28/technology/can-reddit-grow-up.html?ref=business&_r=0

5. Tencent Holdings Gets Approval For New Private Bank; Did the New York Times Get Alibaba Excluded From China’s Private Bank Pilot?

http://www.forbes.com/sites/oliverbarron/2014/07/27/did-the-new-york-times-get-alibaba-excluded-from-chinas-private-bank-pilot/print/

http://www.forbes.com/sites/ywang/2014/07/25/tencent-holdings-gets-approval-for-new-private-bank/print/

6. (China/Tech/Healthcare) – Baidu’s Health Cloud Aims To Be The App Store For Distance Health Management

http://www.forbes.com/sites/ericxlmu/2014/07/25/baidus-health-cloud-aims-to-be-an-app-store-for-distance-health-management/print/

7. How Blynk, the fashionista of mobile apps, is stealing the startup spotlight

http://business.financialpost.com/2014/07/27/how-blynk-the-fashionista-of-mobile-apps-is-stealing-the-startup-spotlight/?__lsa=46a3-0f67

8. (Korea/Tech) – ‘Made in Korea’ revives in wearable device

http://news.mk.co.kr/breakingnews/view.php?no=1035320&year=2014&categorycode=MK400104

9. (China/Tech) – When China stops copying Western tech giants is when they should start worrying

http://qz.com/240943/when-china-stops-copying-western-tech-giants-is-when-they-should-start-worrying/

10. (Tech) – Fairchild is the Valley’s first trillion-dollar startup. It might even be the most important entrepreneurial company of the last hundred years

http://techcrunch.com/2014/07/26/the-first-trillion-dollar-startup/

11. Startups Are Finally Hacking Healthcare

http://techcrunch.com/2014/07/26/startups-are-finally-hacking-healthcare/

12. (China/Tech) – Tencent reportedly downsizing microblogging platform

http://www.wantchinatimes.com/news-subclass-cnt.aspx?id=20140727000094&cid=1103

13. (Taiwan/Tech) – Taiwanese companies are showing an increasing interest in building an industrial cluster to produce robots amid favorable global market conditions, but they still face challenges in integrating the supply chain

http://www.chinapost.com.tw/print/413446.htm

14. CIOs, Companies Sharpen Skills for ‘Internet of Things’ Future

http://blogs.wsj.com/cio/2014/07/28/cios-companies-sharpen-skills-for-internet-of-things-future/

15. What Amazon’s foray into 3D printing means for the industry

http://fortune.com/2014/07/28/what-amazons-foray-into-3d-printing-means-for-the-industry/

16. The Bear Case For Uber (Yes, There Is One)

http://www.forbes.com/sites/jeffbercovici/2014/07/28/the-bear-case-for-uber/print/

Consumer

1. Trendy Chipotle burritos show how pricing power belongs to the hip

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/07/27/us-chipotle-mexican-prices-analysis-idUSKBN0FW0DE20140727

2. The girls’ construction toy taking America by storm; GoldieBlox founder Debbie Sterling is trying to quash gender norms; The toy system is based around a central character, Goldie, who “is not a genius but tries really hard”

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/retailandconsumer/10994395/Goldieblox-The-girls-construction-toy-taking-America-by-storm.html

3. How the business of golf got stuck in the rough

http://business.financialpost.com/2014/07/26/how-the-business-of-golf-got-stuck-in-the-rough/

4. (China/Consumer) – Can Shenzhen handle two luxury good malls?

http://www.wantchinatimes.com/news-subclass-cnt.aspx?id=20140728000001&cid=1202

5. Britain’s turbulent shopping aisles; Change at Tesco reflects shifts in consumers’ behavior

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/91ccbc9a-13f6-11e4-8485-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38iqWKxc5

6. (China/Consumer) – Safer food is an invention that should be freely copied; Stroll through a local market in China and there is little sign of quality control or hygiene

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/1f4f5bb2-1420-11e4-b46f-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38iqWKxc5

7. Why Dollar Tree-Family Dollar Deal May Spark a Bidding War; Deal, Valued at $8.5 Billion, Comes Amid Fight for Budget-Conscious Consumers

http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2014/07/28/why-dollar-tree-family-dollar-deal-may-spark-a-bidding-war

http://online.wsj.com/articles/dollar-tree-to-buy-family-dollar-for-74-50-a-share-1406542575

http://www.businessweek.com/printer/articles/777296?type=bloomberg

8. Dollar Stores’ Growth Bill Coming Due; Together, Dollar Tree, Family Dollar and Dollar General operate about 24,000 stores, roughly one-third more than before the recession hit

http://online.wsj.com/articles/heard-on-the-street-dollar-stores-growth-bill-coming-due-1406576431

Healthcare

1. (Thai/Healthcare) – Dusit sees global room for growth; The international appeal of the Thai hospitality brand is opening opportunities for domestic chains to duplicate their success worldwide as space shrinks at home

http://www.nationmultimedia.com/business/Dusit-sees-global-room-for-growth-30239587.html

Investing Process

1. Research – Motivated Monitors: The Importance of Institutional Investors’ Portfolio Weights

http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2463718

Commodities

1. Deutsche Bank, HSBC and Bank of Nova Scotia were accused in a lawsuit of rigging the price of billions of dollars in silver, an allegation similar to earlier suits involving the London gold fix

http://www.thestandard.com.hk/news_detail.asp?we_cat=2&art_id=147768&sid=42698654&con_type=1&d_str=20140728&fc=1

Morning Bamboo Insight: 28 Jul 2014

Morning Bamboo Insight: 28 Jul 2014

Macro

1. How Krugman Fudged the Truth on U.S. Debt; By mentioning only the baseline projection from the Congressional Budget Office, he downplayed the potentially dangerous growth of U.S. debt as a percentage of GDP.

http://online.barrons.com/news/articles/SB50001424053111904780504580043323337920154?mod=BOL_hp_mag

2. Texas tycoon Sam Wyly and the estate of his late brother Charles should pay damages totaling $1.41 billion for their role in a scheme that hid trades in companies they controlled using offshore trusts, the SEC said

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/07/26/us-sec-wyly-idUSKBN0FV0ND20140726

3. Four years later, Dodd-Frank fails to turn banks into pet shops

http://fortune.com/2014/07/25/dodd-frank-volcker-risky-trading/

4. Heeding 1994’s Bond-Market Lesson

http://online.wsj.com/articles/heard-on-the-street-heeding-1994s-bond-market-lesson-1406494856

5. (Macro) – Trillion-dollar boo-boo: Bad governments cost investors a fortune

http://www.economist.com.libproxy.smu.edu.sg/news/finance-and-economics/21608754-bad-governments-cost-investors-fortune-trillion-dollar-boo-boo

6. BIG MAC INDEX: Kroners And Swiss Francs Are Still Overvalued

http://www.businessinsider.sg/big-mac-index-kroners-and-swiss-francs-are-still-overvalued-2014-7/#.U9W2H_mSxqU

7. Market mania: a ‘how-to’ guide to hot assets; From spotting the signs to timing your exit, profiting is tricky

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/36c2fb44-0c4d-11e4-9080-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38j4SYiuh

8. Germany: A nation of tenants; Only 40 per cent of Germans own their homes, compared with 70 per cent of Britons

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/14fe8e4c-1567-11e4-ae2e-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38j4SYiuh

Asia Pacific

1. (China/HK) – In Chinese shadow, HK fights for its future

http://www.bigstory.ap.org/article/chinese-shadow-hong-kong-fights-its-future-0

2. (China) – Retired military officials ordered to return extra homes

http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/china/2014-07/26/c_133512259.htm

3. (China) – State media promoting China’s leader Xi with intensity unseen since Mao era

http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/state-media-promoting-chinas-leader-xi-with-intensity-unseen-since-mao-era/2014/07/24/f5517d88-1247-11e4-8936-26932bcfd6ed_story.html

4. (China) – What Do Chinese Dumplings Have to Do With Global Warming? In the 12 years between 1995 and 2007, China’s domestic refrigerator-ownership numbers have jumped to 95 percent from just 7 percent of urban families

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/27/magazine/what-do-chinese-dumplings-have-to-do-with-global-warming.html

5. (China) – Artful Dodge: Why Chinese Collectors Are ‘Borrowing’ Their Own Pieces

http://blogs.wsj.com/chinarealtime/2014/07/28/artful-dodge-why-chinese-collectors-are-borrowing-their-own-pieces

6. (China/Asia) – Winners and losers in the great Chinese rebalancing; Slowing investment and resilient consumption in China are changing Asia’s economic order

http://www.economist.com.libproxy.smu.edu.sg/news/finance-and-economics/21608749-slowing-investment-and-resilient-consumption-china-are-changing-asias-economic

7. (China/Consumer) – Diageo to write down Chinese spirit stake

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/6ad46aa0-15a1-11e4-9e18-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38j4SYiuh

8. (Japan) – Shinzo Abe faces rising disenchantment in Japan

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/d88ec8dc-1543-11e4-85bc-00144feabdc0.html?siteedition=intl#axzz38iqWKxc5

Life

1. Where Reason Ends and Faith Begins: In the face of uncertainty, being precise about what you don’t believe in can shore up your confidence in what you do

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/27/opinion/sunday/t-m-luhrmann-where-reason-ends-and-faith-begins.html?ref=opinion&_r=0

2. Failure Is Our Muse: Writers are the professional losers. Three hundred thousand books are published in the United States every year. A few hundred could be called financial or creative successes

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/27/opinion/sunday/failure-is-our-muse.html?ref=opinion

3. Branding gone wrong: When bad logos strike back

http://fortune.com/2014/07/21/branding-gone-wrong-when-bad-logos-strike-back/

4. What Rock Concerts Teach Us About Creating Strong Customer Bonds; “Love unfolds and reverberates between and among people and thereby belongs to all parties involved, and to the metaphorical connective tissue that binds them together”

http://www.forbes.com/sites/ruthblatt/2014/07/23/what-rock-concerts-teach-us-about-creating-strong-customer-bonds/print/

5. Innovation Emerges From Stories We Tell; Plato told us that “those who tell the stories rule society

http://www.forbes.com/sites/henrydoss/2014/07/25/innovation-emerges-from-stories-we-tell/print/

6. Love 2.0: Creating Happiness and Health in Moments of Connection

http://www.amazon.com/Love-2-0-Creating-Happiness-Connection/dp/0142180475

7. Many would tell you that if you show someone your heart, especially in business – you are soft. Weak. Prey in a world of predators. In the world of artists and making a business out of artistry, sometimes all an emerging artist has is heart

http://www.forbes.com/sites/lorikozlowski/2014/07/23/talenthouse-is-technology-connecting-the-established-and-emerging/print/

8. There’s A Major Revolution In The Book Industry That’s Letting Novelists Make A Living

http://www.businessinsider.sg/publishing-industry-revolution-is-helping-indie-writers-2014-7/#.U9RkkfmSxqU

9. To live in anxiety is to be human; Paradoxically, bravery is often found in those with excessive fears over other things

http://www.straitstimes.com/news/opinion/more-opinion-stories/story/live-anxiety-be-human-20140726

10. Tailspotting: Identifying and profiting from CEO vacation trips

http://lsr.nellco.org/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1298&context=nyu_lewp

11. C.S. Lewis on Suffering and What It Means to Have Free Will in a Universe of Fixed Laws

http://www.brainpickings.org/index.php/2014/07/25/c-s-lewis-problem-of-pain-free-will/

12. Paula Scher on Process versus Outcome

http://www.farnamstreetblog.com/2014/07/paula-scher-on-process-versus-outcome/

13. Commonplace Books as a Source for Networked Knowledge and Combinatorial Creativity

http://www.farnamstreetblog.com/2014/07/networked-knowledge-and-combinatorial-creativity/

14. My Favorite Heuristic for Evaluating Relationships: The Antifragile Person

http://taylorpearson.me/the-antifragile-person/

15. Daniel Kahneman Explains The Machinery of Thought: The best we can do is a compromise: learn to recognize situations in which mistakes are likely and try harder to avoid significant mistakes when the stakes are high

http://www.farnamstreetblog.com/2014/07/daniel-kahneman-the-two-systems/

16. 75 Years In The Making: Harvard Just Released Its Epic Study On What Men Need To Live A Happy Life

http://www.feelguide.com/2013/04/29/75-years-in-th-making-harvard-just-released-its-epic-study-on-what-men-require-to-live-a-happy-life/

17. Don’t Send Your Kid to the Ivy League: The nation’s top colleges are turning our kids into zombies

http://www.newrepublic.com/article/118747/ivy-league-schools-are-overrated-send-your-kids-elsewhere

18. MasterCard’s Ajay Banga: Why ‘Yes, If’ Is More Powerful Than Saying No

http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article/mastercard-competitive-strategy/

19. Books – Decide: Work Smarter, Reduce Your Stress, and Lead by Example

http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/1118554388/

TMT

1. Flood of Rivals Could Burst Amazon’s Cloud; Large Telecom and Startups Are Forging Into the Computing Services Business

http://online.wsj.com/articles/storm-clouds-over-amazon-business-1406328539

2. Apple attempts a return to innovation; ‘Apple’s research and development spending in the three months to June represented 4 per cent of sales – the highest ratio since 2006’

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/9b615ac0-1344-11e4-8244-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38dBAEGxR

3. Advertising’s New Frontier: Talk to the Bot; Chat App Kik Unveils Feature That Lets Users Converse With Dozens of Brands

http://online.wsj.com/articles/advertisings-new-frontier-talk-to-the-bot-1406493740?mod=WSJ_LatestHeadlines

Consumer

1. The fallout after Comet crashed to earth: Claims of wrongdoing, legal short-cuts and corporate greed emerge in case over the collapse of the high street, electrical goods chain

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/retailandconsumer/10992858/The-fallout-after-Comet-crashed-to-earth.html

Commodities

1. Abundant Grain Ripples Through U.S. Farm Industry

http://online.wsj.com/articles/abundant-grain-ripples-through-u-s-farm-industry-1406505224?mod=WSJ_LatestHeadlines

Energy

1. Sun, wind and drain: Wind and solar power are even more expensive than is commonly thought

http://www.economist.com.libproxy.smu.edu.sg/news/finance-and-economics/21608646-wind-and-solar-power-are-even-more-expensive-commonly-thought-sun-wind-and

2. UK shale licences attacked as ‘reckless race’

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/5fc456c0-15ab-11e4-9e18-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38j4SYiuh

Evening Bamboo Insight: 27 Jul 2014

Evening Bamboo Insight: 27 Jul 2014

Macro

1. The Right Way to Invest Globally; U.S. Investors Have Ramped Up Their Holdings of Foreign Stocks, But Some Do It the Wrong Way

http://online.wsj.com/articles/the-right-way-to-invest-globally-1406308068

2. (Macro) – How the U.S. Stumbled Into the Drone Era; Before 9/11, Washington was still locked in debate over a now familiar weapon

http://online.wsj.com/articles/how-the-u-s-stumbled-into-the-drone-era-1406234812

Asia Pacific

1. (Isia) – President-elect Jokowi crowdsources his Cabinet

http://www.todayonline.com/print/715286

2. (China) – China’s Guangdong province removes over 850 ‘naked officials’ from their posts

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/07/26/us-china-corruption-idUSKBN0FV04F20140726

3. (Isia) – The small-town Mr Clean turned ‘accidental’ president; Many like him because he has ‘the face of someone from the village’. He also has a personal fortune of $2.5m

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/5391098c-1328-11e4-8244-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38Zq4vtCl

4. (India) – Jailed Indian tycoon seeks ‘deal room’ to negotiate hotels sale

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/319e8014-13f7-11e4-8485-00144feabdc0.html

5. (China) – Hollywood transformed: How China is changing the DNA of America’s blockbuster movies

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/2/60338b6c-1263-11e4-93a5-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38ZqmWSwE

6. (China) – Jim Chanos Has A Whole New Reason For Going Dark On China

http://www.businessinsider.sg/jim-chanos-on-china-anti-corruption-2014-7/#.U9OnFPmSxqU

7. (Korea) – SK Group in paradox; Absence of chairman felt little amid stable growth

http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/biz/2014/07/123_161707.html

8. (Isia) – A Beacon of Hope, Change to a Positive Yet ‘Exhausted’ Indonesia; New Indonesian President Jokowi Can Bring Certainty, Consistency to Mining

http://www.thejakartaglobe.com/opinion/beacon-hope-change-positive-yet-exhausted-indonesia/

http://www.thejakartaglobe.com/opinion/new-indonesian-president-jokowi-can-bring-certainty-consistency-mining/

http://www.thejakartaglobe.com/opinion/editorial-killing-new-order-good-jokowi/

9. (Korea) – CJ Group, a conglomerate engaged in diverse industries from food production to entertainment, is starting to totter more than a year after Chairman Lee Jay-hyun, 54, was arrested and sentenced to four years in prison for embezzlement

http://koreajoongangdaily.joins.com/news/article/article.aspx?aid=2992567&cloc=joongangdaily|home|newslist1

10. (Isia) – Jokowi Cabinet in Focus as KPK Pushes for Clean Line-Up

http://www.thejakartaglobe.com/news/jokowi-cabinet-focus-kpk-pushes-clean-line/

11. (China) – Top 1% Control a Third of China’s Wealth while the bottom 25 percent control just one hundredth

http://www.thejakartaglobe.com/business/top-1-control-third-chinas-wealth/

12. (China/Myanmar) – China’s cancelled Burma railway is its latest derailment in southeast Asia

http://qz.com/240436/chinas-cancelled-burma-railway-is-its-latest-derailment-in-southeast-asia/

13. (China) – PetroChina trying to trim $1.23-billion payment to Athabasca; the Chinese company, rocked by a corruption scandal, is frustrated with the high price it paid for the oil sands assets and massive cost overruns

http://business.financialpost.com/2014/07/26/petrochina-trying-to-trim-1-23-billion-payment-to-athabasca-source/?__lsa=5ec1-8bc8

14. (China) – Transformers 4: Unhappy Chinese advertisers sue

http://www.wantchinatimes.com/news-subclass-cnt.aspx?id=20140726000067&cid=1202

Life

1. Was America’s revolution driven by political philosophers, or practical men reacting to events?

http://online.wsj.com/articles/book-review-natures-god-by-matthew-stewart-independence-by-thomas-p-slaughter-1406320774

2. Engineer whose vision helped build Brazil; Norberto Odebrecht, construction executive, 1920-2014

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/54a19ed8-1344-11e4-8244-00144feabdc0.html#axzz38ZqmWSwE

3. Lions and tigers and… CEOs? ‘The Wizard of Oz’ as leadership guide

http://fortune.com/2014/07/25/wizard-oz-leadership-lessons/

4. The Life and Times of a Bamboo Artist; “Every time you work with bamboo, you get something new”

http://forbesindia.com/printcontent/38307

5. Books – Toto’s Reflections: The Leadership Lessons from the Wizard of Oz

http://www.amazon.com/Totos-Reflections-Leadership-Lessons-Wizard/dp/1478718021/

6. Powerful and Coldhearted: It’s hard for powerful people to feel empathy

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/27/opinion/sunday/powerful-and-coldhearted.html?ref=opinion&_r=0

7. No Time to Think; It could be because human beings, when left alone, tend to dwell on what’s wrong in their lives. We have evolved to become problem solvers and meaning makers

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/27/sunday-review/no-time-to-think.html?ref=opinion

8. How anti-capitalist Michael Moore built a £30m fortune

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/fameandfortune/10990422/How-anti-capitalist-Michael-Moore-built-a-30m-fortune.html

9. Fruits and Vegetables Are Trying to Kill You; Antioxidant vitamins don’t stress us like plants do-and don’t have their beneficial effect

http://nautil.us/issue/15/turbulence/fruits-and-vegetables-are-trying-to-kill-you

10. Books That Can Boost Your Portfolio: Business Classics Every Serious Investor Should Read

http://online.wsj.com/articles/books-that-can-boost-your-portfolio-1406420208

TMT

1. (India/Tech) – Text and Ride in India; A handful of start-ups in India have begun to use technology to more easily connect auto-rickshaw drivers with customers – a twist to Uber and Lyft

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/26/business/international/start-ups-in-india-streamline-auto-rickshaw-business.html

2. (China/Tech) – Baidu Finds China’s Mobile Money

http://online.wsj.com/articles/heard-on-the-street-baidu-finds-chinas-mobile-money-1406268963

3. Ready to Wear? The Internet of Things is headed for your wrist: smart watches and fitness bands. Who wins, who loses in wearable technology

http://online.barrons.com/news/articles/SB50001424053111904780504580043384005466508

4. Apple Secretly Acquired “Pandora For Books” Startup BookLamp To Battle Amazon

http://techcrunch.com/2014/07/25/apple-booklamp/

5. (China/Tech) – Qualcomm sales data seized amid antitrust probe in China

http://www.wantchinatimes.com/news-subclass-cnt.aspx?id=20140726000125&cid=1102

6. (China/Tech) – Xiaomi may have exaggerrated website hits to create hype

http://www.wantchinatimes.com/news-subclass-cnt.aspx?id=20140726000131&cid=1206

7. (China/Tech) – Alibaba maps out mobile internet strategy with AutoNavi

http://www.wantchinatimes.com/news-subclass-cnt.aspx?id=20140726000059&cid=1502

Consumer

1. How Hotcha hopes to become the Domino’s of Chinese takeaway; Chinese food over took fish and chips to became the country’s favourite takeaway this year. But there is no national rival to the big pizza chains – yet

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/retailandconsumer/10981638/How-Hotcha-hopes-to-become-the-Dominos-of-Chinese-takeaway.html

2. Koreans’ love of good coffee is getting even more intense; Seoul has 284 Starbucks-the most in the world and seven more than New York City’s 277

http://qz.com/240922/korea-love-of-good-coffee-is-getting-even-more-intense/

Healthcare

1. Hearing Aids: Mimicking a fly’s aural mechanism may replicate its acuity for humans

http://www.economist.com/blogs/babbage/2014/07/fly-inspired-hearing-aids

Investing Process

1. Finding Value Companies the Schloss Way

https://www.aaii.com/computerized-investing/article/stock-screening-with-walter-schloss.pdf

2. Research – The 52-Week High and Momentum Investing

http://basehitinvesting.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/52-Week-High-and-Momentum-Investing.pdf

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