THURSDAY, JANUARY 2, 2014
Are U.S. Stocks Cheap?
By JACK HOUGH | MORE ARTICLES BY AUTHOR
P/E ratios can make equities look cheap or pricey based on how they are calculated. How to make sense of this key question.
Based on the ratio of share prices to earnings, are U.S. stocks more expensive or cheaper than usual? That’s a simple but important question with a complicated answer. Last year, the Standard & Poor’s 500 index of large U.S. companies gained 30%, not counting dividends, its strongest result since 1997. Earnings for index members hit record highs, too. The index stands at 15.2 times forecasted operating earnings for 2014, according to S&P. (More on “operating” in a moment.) The average since 1988, when S&P began tallying operating earnings, is 18.7 times trailing earnings. That suggests that stocks could gain more than 20% in 2014 and still be reasonably priced. But there are three problems with that thinking. Read more of this post