Brazilian shampoo, Italian ice cream, and Vietnamese detergent: Unilever’s take on consumer trends

Brazilian shampoo, Italian ice cream, and Vietnamese detergent: Unilever’s take on consumer trends

By Jason Karaian @jkaraian

January 21, 2014

There are few better barometers for global consumer goods demand than Unilever, given its uniquely diverse product range and sprawling geographic presence. So when the Anglo-Dutch company reports results, analysts comb its financial statements and parse its executives’ comments for clues on broader spending trends.Unilever announced its fourth-quarter and full-year results today, beating analyst estimates thanks to stronger than expected sales in emerging markets, which account for nearly 60% of the group’s revenues. The company warned in Septemberthat slower growth in emerging markets and adverse currency movements would dent its sales, so investors were pleased when the company didn’t stumble as much as feared, even if growth overall slipped in 2013.

The really interesting stuff, though, comes from the country- and product-level details. Here are a few of the things that caught Quartz’s eye in Unilever’s latest results:

Business is better in rural India than Italy

On a conference call, Unilever CEO Paul Polman cited “rural India or Indonesia or the North or Central-West of Brazil” as the places where the company saw the best prospects to “unlock future growth.” Even when compared with these places, Europe is “probably the most challenging part of the world to do business,” he said. The company is cutting costs in response to falling sales, but Polman warned analysts: “Don’t get your expectations too high.”

Behold the power of TRESemmé

The brand that got the most love from Unilever’s CEO during his call with analysts was TRESemmé, a range of premium hair care products. The brand is having “tremendous” success in Brazil, where it launched in 2011. Last year Unilever started selling it in India and Indonesia, with plans to push it elsewhere in the future. “We think it has still a lot of legs to stand on and to expand in many other countries,” Polman said. The group’s personal care segment was its fastest growing last year, led by hair care products in emerging markets.

A chill sweeps through the market for ice cream

Polman singled out the group’s extensive ice cream portfolio as the “main culprit” holding back the group’s profitability in 2013. Sales are suffering in its two largest markets, the US and Italy, as it cuts back on the range of products it offers in America while in Italy hard-hit consumers are forgoing “largely discretionary” treats. Emerging markets comprise only 40% of Unilever’s ice cream sales, so expect the group to push the sweet stuff outside of the US and Europe in hopes of reversing its fortunes.

Other global hot spots

Unilever highlighted a few other notable pockets of strength in 2013. Knorr’s “baking bags” are particularly popular in Latin America, where it expanded the flavors on offer in Mexico to meet demand. Hand and body wash products are growing fast in China, helping Unilever pass €2 billion ($2.7 billion) in sales in the country last year. The Comfort brand’s sweet-smelling fabric softeners launched in Vietnam last year, following success elsewhere in southeast Asia—”strawberry and lily” is the most popular scent.

Unknown's avatarAbout bambooinnovator
Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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