When Rising Revenue Spells Trouble

When Rising Revenue Spells Trouble

by Scott Anthony  |   11:00 AM January 28, 2014

Readers in industries where the pace of change has slowed and ambiguity has decreased, please stop reading. This post isn’t for you.

Everyone still here? Thought so. An interconnected world where technology advances at a dizzying pace and new companies emerge, scale, and decline in the blink of an eye means never a dull moment for corporate leaders. Read more of this post

The benefits of planning really, really far ahead: Vision writing is like setting a series of very detailed 10- or 12-year goals for your career or business. It’s worked wonders for Michigan-based Zingerman’s

The benefits of planning really, really far ahead

January 28, 2014: 10:52 AM ET

Vision writing is like setting a series of very detailed 10- or 12-year goals for your career or business. It’s worked wonders for Michigan-based Zingerman’s.

By Vickie Elmer

FORTUNE — After a decade in business, Paul Saginaw could feel complacency creeping in at Zingerman’s Delicatessen, the successful gourmet eatery and market he had co-founded.

It wasn’t clear where new ideas would come from or how the Ann Arbor, Mich.-company would grow from its historic orange brick home.

So Saginaw decided he and his partner needed to stare into the future, think creatively about what they wanted to happen, and develop a vision for their business and for themselves that went far beyond serving corned beef sandwiches or imported cheese. He wanted to consider their future contributions to the world as well as to Zingerman’s advancement. His partner Ari Weinzweig’s response: “Why are you bothering me? I’ve got work to do.”

Saginaw eventually convinced him, saying, “This is the work of leaders.” In 1994, they spent weeks creating a 15-year vision that opened the door to creating related food enterprises led by Zingerman’s crew. By the end of 2013, they were overseeing a group of eight companies, doing everything from roasting coffee, training business people, shipping shortbreads and gift baskets, and making bread, candy, and cheeses, among other things. All are run using Zingerman’s brand of long-range vision plans to grow and improve. Last year, Zingerman’s expanded its original deli with a “sandwich line of our dreams” and three new dining rooms. Its sales are expected to top $50 million this year, up from $30 million in 2007.

The company’s success is Exhibit A for using vision writing as a means to grow a business. Zingerman’s training company, known as ZingTrain, will introduce the concept to mom-and-pop businesses, some mid-sized companies, as well as some university types (including those at neighboring University of Michigan).

In one sense, vision writing is like setting a series of very detailed 10- or 12-year goals for your career or business. Researchers have shown that setting moderately difficult goals can be useful in determining a company’s direction, improving productivity, and creating commitment to working toward critical outcomes. And the way goals are framed may improve results.

“Almost during the seminar itself, we started writing what our vision would be,” says James Clark, co-founder of Room 214, a digital marketing and social media company whose clients include Adobe, Forever 21, Vail Resorts, and Mr. Coffee.

Within two days of returning to Room 214’s offices in Boulder, Colo., the vision was “probably about 70% done,” with partners and directors contributing. They took it to the entire 28-employee company, read the vision out loud, and within two weeks had completed their vision, which called for a culture of employee development and training, small satellite offices aligned with new opportunities, and eventually a venue to unplug (a resort they plan to buy in Costa Rica).

Vision writing could be “a competitive advantage to firms that are bold enough to give it a try,” says Dorie Clark, an adjunct professor at the Fuqua School of Business at Duke University. Yet it’s used rarely in the corporate world, in part because of its New Age ties.

“There’s a fear that vision writing may connote a sort of self help ethos, not what serious business people do,” says Clark, who is the author of Reinventing You: Define Your Brand, Imagine Your Future. “If it could be rebranded as an innovation technique, which is what every company is looking for right now, that could … gain currency.”

Vision writing as a business tool has been around for decades, used by both Dale Carnegie and Napoleon Hill, author of Think and Grow Rich. It’s part of the 7 Habits developed by Stephen Covey — his “start with the end in mind” edict is crucial to good vision writing.

“It’s a written definition of success,” says Saginaw. “We didn’t know we would accomplish it, but we knew what we wanted … We talk about starting with the end in mind,” whether the end involves expanding the original deli at a cost of $10 million, improving deliveries at the coffee company, or planning a charity dinner.

Saginaw’s partner now teaches vision writing at ZingTrain and has written about it in some books — published by Zingerman’s Press. Weinzweig hopes that his adopted hometown will be a center for visioning and sees thousands of companies using it.

Vision writing is useful when you want to plan for something exciting and worthwhile, but it can’t be a fantasy. It must have some business underpinnings and measurable elements. The writing process gives the goal more power and clarity, as does sharing it with your entire organization.

“Write for something really inspiring and significant,” said Weinzweig in a webinar on the practice. Pick a date in the future — “get further out than you feel comfortable with,” Weizweig suggested, perhaps 10 to 13 years.

Zingerman’s vision writing documents are written in present tense — as if the company is already enjoying all that it has accomplished. Zingerman’s completed its first vision and added a half-dozen companies that create or sell high-quality food and drinks; its second vision document goes through 2020 and calls for “radically better food,” a focus on education and a fun environment, and growth to about 18 businesses, all of them in or near Ann Arbor, Mich.

So why does it work? Saginaw has an answer for that: The document, written in the future perfect tense, serves as a filter for opportunities, to help determine whether they will lead Zingerman’s in the right direction or distract it from its ideal future.

“Start with your wildest dreams,” said Saginaw. “When you share it, it will be honed in more rational thought.”

Sometimes the vision needs to be pulled out to remind senior managers of what they wanted in the first place. When Zingerman’s opened the Roadhouse, a bigger restaurant, many early customers had “a bad experience … We really sucked,” Saginaw recalled. So they returned to their vision of a place that makes and sells classic American food, like potato-bacon soup and many varieties of macaroni and cheese, and it has turned its act around. In fact, its executive chef won a James Beard award in 2011.

Yet some say a vision may make you blind to great opportunities. “One potential risk of … using vision writing is you’ll hit it. Maybe what you should be doing instead is exceeding it, or innovating in ways that sitting here in 2013 we can’t even possibly imagine,” Dorie Clark said.

Saginaw isn’t worried about that; he said most visions leave room for strategies to change and innovations to show up. “The vision is the what. The strategy is how we’re going to get there … We wanted to be pushed” to achieve something ambitious, something that leaves a legacy.

 

The Myth Of The Self-Made Man

The Myth Of The Self-Made Man

CULLEN ROCHEPRAGMATIC CAPITALISM

35 MINUTES AGO 0

Tom Perkins was on Bloomberg TV yesterday afternoon discussing  comments he made in a letter to the editors of the Wall Street Journal over the weekend.  In case you missed it, the letter explained how the 1% are a minority group being attacked by the majority.  And Perkins made a totally inappropriate comparison with the persecution of the Jews during WW2.  Not surprisingly, this set off a firestorm. Read more of this post

The rise of the collectorator; A new breed of buyer has taken over the auction world. Part-investor, part-interior decorator, they’re becoming known as ”collectorators”

The rise of the collectorator

January 29, 2014

James Cockington

A new breed of buyer has taken over the auction world. John Albrecht, managing director of Leonard Joel in Melbourne, has defined this part-investor, ”part-interior decorator” species as ”the collectorator”. Read more of this post

London Stunned By Spate Of Financial Worker Deaths

London Stunned By Spate Of Financial Worker Deaths

MICHAEL KELLEY

JAN. 28, 2014, 12:54 PM 31,626 44

A series of deaths among finance workers has shaken London and raised more concerns about stress levels of bankers, Ben Wright and David Enrich of The Wall Street Journal report. Read more of this post

How Yelling Can Hurt, and How to Stop It

Talking to Your Child After You Yell

How Yelling Can Hurt, and How to Stop It

SUE SHELLENBARGER

Updated Jan. 28, 2014 7:11 p.m. ET

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Many parents lose control because they take children’s misbehavior personally. What can help: learning to notice the warning signs in your body, having age-appropriate expectations for your child, and building a margin into daily routines to allow time to deal with mishaps. Robert Neubecker; Parents can turn a meltdown into an opportunity to learn by involving kids in finding solutions to the underlying problem. Apologizing can help repair the relationship after an outburst and set a positive example. Robert Neubecker Read more of this post

Holy cows and the politics of beef

January 28, 2014 3:34 pm

Holy cows and the politics of beef

By Victor Mallet in Ahmedabad

In much of India – and especially in Gujarat, where cow slaughter is forbidden – cows are not eaten

It is surprising how quickly you get used to them: after a few months in India, I barely notice the urban cows, whether they are standing meditatively in the middle of a highway inches from speeding vehicles, slumped on the pavement outside a department store or nuzzling their way into a discarded plastic bag in search of food. Read more of this post

How a Math Genius Hacked OkCupid to Find True Love

How a Math Genius Hacked OkCupid to Find True Love

BY KEVIN POULSEN

01.21.14

Chris McKinlay was folded into a cramped fifth-floor cubicle in UCLA’s math sciences building, lit by a single bulb and the glow from his monitor. It was 3 in the morn­ing, the optimal time to squeeze cycles out of the supercomputer in Colorado that he was using for his PhD dissertation. (The subject: large-scale data processing and parallel numerical methods.) While the computer chugged, he clicked open a second window to check his OkCupid inbox. Read more of this post

A Company Without Job Titles Will Still Have Hierarchies

A Company Without Job Titles Will Still Have Hierarchies

by Harrison Monarth  |   1:00 PM January 28, 2014

Radically flat. That’s the management goal that Tony Hseih, founder of e-commerce giant Zappos, aims to achieve by the end of 2014. To get there, Hsieh plans to toss out the traditional corporate hierarchy by eliminating titles among his 1,500 employees that can lead to bottlenecks in decision-making. The end result: a holacracy centered around self-organizing teams who actively push the entire business forward. Read more of this post

Qualcomm may face record US$1bil antitrust fines in China

Updated: Wednesday January 29, 2014 MYT 11:35:36 AM

Qualcomm may faces record US$1bil antitrust fines in China

BEIJING: Qualcomm Inc, the world’s biggest cellphone chip maker, may be hit with a record fine exceeding $1 billion in a Chinese antitrust probe, raising the specter of harsh penalties for foreign firms facing an increasingly aggressive regulator. Read more of this post

E-Commerce Booming in Indonesia, Survey Finds

E-Commerce Booming in Indonesia, Survey Finds

By Farid Firdaus

 on 10:43 am January 29, 2014.
Up to 76 percent of Internet users in Indonesia shopped online over the past year and spent Rp 5.5 million ($450) annually on average, a survey has revealed. Read more of this post

Online electricals retailer AO.com aims for £1bn valuation at listing

January 28, 2014 8:50 pm

AO.com aims for £1bn valuation at listing

By Andrea Felsted, Kate Burgess and Duncan Robinson

AO.com, the online electricals retailer, is aiming for a £1bn valuation when it floats on the London Stock Exchange later this year – more than treble the market capitalisation it was hoping to achieve just four months ago. Read more of this post

Answers to a Puzzling Deal at Alibaba Remain in the Shadows

JANUARY 28, 2014, 5:51 PM  Comment

Answers to a Puzzling Deal at Alibaba Remain in the Shadows

By STEVEN M. DAVIDOFF

The Chinese Internet giant Alibaba is looking to join the ranks of Google andMicrosoft

with an initial public offering that could give it a value of more than $100 billion. But the company’s recent acquisition of the Hong Kong-listed company Citic 21CN shows just how much we still don’t know about Alibaba and its business. Read more of this post

In China, the Coolpad Is Hotter Than Apple’s iPhone

In China, the Coolpad Is Hotter Than Apple’s iPhone

LORRAINE LUK and JURO OSAWA

Jan. 28, 2014 11:46 a.m. ET

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HONG KONG— Apple Inc. AAPL -7.99% and Samsung Electronics Co.005930.SE -0.23% are the dominant smartphone brands in the U.S. and in many other parts of the world. But in China, the world’s biggest smartphone market, there isn’t a clear winner yet.

Virtually unheard of outside China, several homegrown brands are gaining ground and seeking to challenge the technology giants’ duopoly. Working in their favor: advanced hardware at lower prices, strong relationship with Chinese carriers, as well as creative ways to build a fan base through social media and online forums. Read more of this post

Hynix warns of smartphone slowdown

January 28, 2014 1:21 pm

Hynix warns of smartphone slowdown

By Simon Mundy in Seoul

SK Hynix, the world’s second-largest producer of memory chips by sales, warned on Tuesday that it would be hit this year by slowing growth in smartphones, even as it announced record sales and earnings in 2013. Read more of this post

Drug company launches global hunt for ‘superhumans’; A pharmaceutical company hopes that finding people with extraordinary characteristics could lead to new medicines

Drug company launches global hunt for ‘superhumans’

A pharmaceutical company hopes that finding people with extraordinary characteristics could lead to new medicines

By Denise Roland

1:41PM GMT 28 Jan 2014

A drug maker has enlisted the help of the general public to track down people with extraordinary characteristics whose genetic make-up could form the basis of new medicines. Read more of this post

Apple’s China moment still frustratingly out of reach

Apple’s China moment still frustratingly out of reach

6:23pm EST

By Paul Carsten and Edwin Chan

BEIJING/SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) – Apple Inc may have to wait a little longer for its watershed moment in China.

A disappointing March-quarter revenue forecast, coupled with surprisingly weak holiday iPhone sales, suggest pundits may have over-estimated initial demand from China Mobile’s 700 million-plus subscribers, a key factor that has pushed its shares 18 percent higher in the fourth quarter. Read more of this post

IKEA’s Focus Remains on its Superstores; Visits to Website Increase by Nearly 20% but When it Comes to Furniture, Shoppers Still Want to ‘Touch the Fabric’

IKEA’s Focus Remains on its Superstores

Visits to Website Increase by Nearly 20% but When it Comes to Furniture, Shoppers Still Want to ‘Touch the Fabric’

JENS HANSEGARD and NICLAS ROLANDER

Updated Jan. 28, 2014 7:53 a.m. ET

In fiscal 2014, IKEA plans to spend €2.5 billion ($3.4 billion) on stores, factories and shopping centers. Here, a store in Malmo, Sweden. Getty Images

STOCKHOLM—IKEA expects its famous blue-and-yellow superstores to remain the lifeblood of an ambitious growth plan, even as visits to ikea.com increased nearly 20% in fiscal year 2013 while visits to physical stores modestly declined. Read more of this post

China Loses Manager of Its Cash Hoard

China Loses Manager of Its Cash Hoard

Zhu Oversaw $3.8 Trillion in Foreign-Exchange Reserves

LINGLING WEI And BOB DAVIS

Updated Jan. 28, 2014 2:07 p.m. ET

BEIJING—The invisible man behind China’s $3.8 trillion foreign-cash hoard is disappearing.

Zhu Changhong, a former star bond trader in the U.S. who was recruited by Chinese officials about four years ago from investment firm Pimco to manage the country’s foreign-exchange reserves, resigned unexpectedly, officials said Tuesday. The move comes as China grapples with boosting returns at a time of turbulence in global markets. Read more of this post

China’s Households “Massively” Exposed To Housing Bubble “That Has To Burst”

China’s Households “Massively” Exposed To Housing Bubble “That Has To Burst”

Tyler Durden on 01/28/2014 14:51 -0500

The topic of China’s real estate bubble, its ghost cities, and its emerging middle class – who now have enough money to invest and have piled into houses not stocks – and have been dubbed “fang nu” or housing slaves (a reference to the lifetime of work needed to pay off their debts); is not a new one here but, as Bloomberg reports, the latest report from economist Gan Li shows China’s households are massively exposed to an oversupplied property market. Read more of this post

China is biggest risk to emerging markets

January 28, 2014 8:21 am

China is biggest risk to emerging markets

By Henny Sender

Tight credit and slowing growth create ripple effect across EMs

Suddenly the prospects for emerging markets have dimmed further.

On Wall Street, wary traders speculate on which countries and securities will be under the greatest selling pressure, doubtless to get ahead of the anticipated wave of selling. Read more of this post

Why Harvey Norman has run out of steam

Why Harvey Norman has run out of steam

January 24, 2014

Nathan Bell

Hold your stones. What I’m about to write may sound like value investing heresy. I’m about to recommend you sell Harvey Norman – largely because it has a strong balance sheet and an owner manager.

We typically love these characteristics. They help companies maintain a long-term perspective, providing shelter to ride out short-term storms. But when a storm turns out to be a tsunami, then shelter may not do you much good; it would be better if you were a little less comfortable and were forced to seek higher ground. Read more of this post

Dee Hsu’s husband, Mike Hsu, and father-in-law charged with insider trading in Top Pot bakery case

Dee Hsu’s husband, Mike Hsu, and father-in-law charged with insider trading in Top Pot bakery case

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Wednesday, January 29, 2014 – 14:16

The China Post/Asia News Network

TAIPEI – The Taipei District Prosecutors’ Office concluded its investigation over the case of Top Pot Bakery, which involved alleged deceptive advertising and insider trading, and indicted four people including businessman Mike Hsu, the husband of talk show host Dee Hsu, on Tuesday. Read more of this post

Overheard In A Gold Vault In Singapore: “We Need Additional Capacity”, China’s Appetite Is “Insatiable”

Overheard In A Gold Vault In Singapore: “We Need Additional Capacity”, China’s Appetite Is “Insatiable”

Tyler Durden on 01/28/2014 15:21 -0500

Yesterday we covered the supply side of the gold market from the perspective of global mints, which were kind enough to advise that they “can’t meet the demand, even if we work overtime.” Today, courtesy of Bloomberg, we take a closer look at the demand aspect of the physical gold market, which as most know by now can be described with just one word: China. Read more of this post

Turkey tightens: implications of its aggressive rate rise

January 29, 2014 9:54 am

Turkey tightens: implications of its aggressive rate rise

By Daniel Dombey in Istanbul

In a moment of drama at midnight on Tuesday, Turkey’s central bank performed a volte face, increasing interest rates across the board where it had previously been reluctant to raise them. It more than doubled one key rate.

It was a striking move, given the political and financial backdrop: prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan has long made clear his opposition to high interest rates, while investors had become worried about Turkey and other emerging markets. Read more of this post

The rich stay rich while the poor struggle; Thanks to globalisation the centres of major cities now appear similar

January 28, 2014 4:59 pm

The world’s rich stay rich while the poor struggle to prosper

By John Kay

Thanks to globalisation the centres of major cities now appear similar

Dear Bill Gates,

We have never met, but your annual letter (coinciding with your Davos speech) seemed to be addressed directly to me. Your aim is to critique books with titles such as “how rich countries got rich and why poor countries stay poor”, and I did write a book with almost exactly that subtitle. You go on to say “thankfully these are not bestsellers because the basic premise is false”. I am afraid you are right to say my book is not a bestseller, but wrong to say its premise is false. Read more of this post

The challenges of a post-crisis world; Nations must nurture recovery and promote reform. Co-operation and communication should be the order of the day

January 28, 2014 7:19 pm

The challenges of a post-crisis world

By Martin Wolf

Nations must nurture recovery and promote reform. Co-operation and communication should be the order of the day

The consensus view of the world economy has become more optimistic, for good reason. The high-income economies seem at last to be taking off; this is particularly true for the US and UK. But significant challenges lie ahead, notably for the eurozone. For emerging countries, stronger growth in high-income countries brings benefits, but also costs. If euphoria is among the dangers to stability, 2014 should not see too much of it. Read more of this post

SEC Fights Turf War Over Asset Managers

SEC Fights Turf War Over Asset Managers

ANDREW ACKERMAN and RYAN TRACY

Updated Jan. 28, 2014 8:04 p.m. ET

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WASHINGTON—Senior U.S. officials are clashing over whether the asset-management industry poses risks to the financial system, setting up a fight over whether the industry should face tougher oversight. Read more of this post

Next-shoring: A CEO’s guide; Proximity to demand and innovative supply ecosystems will trump labor costs as technology transforms operations in the years ahead

McKinsey Quarterly

Next-shoring: A CEO’s guide

Proximity to demand and innovative supply ecosystems will trump labor costs as technology transforms operations in the years ahead.

January 2014 | byKaty George, Sree Ramaswamy, and Lou Rassey

When offshoring entered the popular lexicon, in the 1990s, it became shorthand for efforts to arbitrage labor costs by using lower-wage workers in developing nations. But savvy manufacturing leaders saw it as more: a decisive change in globalization, made possible by a wave of liberalization in countries such as China and India, a steady improvement in the capabilities of emerging-market suppliers and workers, a growing ability to transfer proven management processes to new locales, and increasingly favorable transportation and communications economics. Read more of this post

Marc Faber Warns “Insiders Are Selling Like Crazy… Short US Stocks, Buy Treasuries & Gold”

Marc Faber Warns “Insiders Are Selling Like Crazy… Short US Stocks, Buy Treasuries & Gold”

Tyler Durden on 01/28/2014 18:43 -0500

Beginning by disavowing Mario Gabelli of any belief that rising stock prices help ‘most’ people (“Fed data suggests half the US population has seen a 40% drop in wealth since 2007“), Marc Faber discusses his increasingly imminent fears of the markets in this recent Barron’s interview. Read more of this post