Why the sale of 160-store Rivers retail chain for just $5m is bad news for anyone trying to sell a business

James Thomson Editor

Why the sale of Rivers for just $5m is bad news for anyone trying to sell a business

Published 29 November 2013 08:36, Updated 29 November 2013 08:40

It sold for how much? That was the question flying around the Melbourne office of BRW yesterday after it was revealed that the owner of the 160-store Rivers retail chain had sold to ASX company Speciality Fashion Group for a paltry $5 million. What makes the deal even more surprising is that the business has revenue of $180 million a year, and underlying earnings of 5 per cent of revenue according to Speciality Fashion – around $9 million.SFG’s chief executive Gary Perlstein described Rivers former owner Philip Goodman as a “motivated seller” which must be some sort of understatement. On the surface, it makes absolutely no sense that anyone would sell for a percentage, rather than a multiple, of their annual profit.

But there could be a few more forces at play here.

Firstly, this is retail, and more specifically fashion. Even more specifically than that, it’s the cheap end of the fashion sector, where discounting is a way of life (as anyone who has seen Rivers’ el cheapo advertisements can attest) and margins are constantly under pressure.

Regardless of Goodman’s level of motivation, this surely must suggest that asset prices in retail are under as much pressure as margins are. A strong store footprint, good brand recognition and profitable operation aren’t even enough to let you sell on a good multiple.

Secondly, I wonder if Goodman’s poor price could be a signal that entrepreneurs hoping to exit are going to find things very, very tough.

For years we’ve been talking about a wave of business sales as a group of baby-boomer business owners try to turn their companies into a fat retirement cheque. The GFC delayed the wave, but anecdotally at least business advisers suggest improving market conditions have seen the would-be sellers start to stir.

A few weeks ago, Booktopia’s Tony Nash told BRW that he has had a number of entrepreneurs coming to him to investigate if Booktopia can buy them out.

While he is not really in the market for acquisitions, he said many of these business owners were likely to be disappointed

“They are looking for the payout they can possibly get,” Nash says. “I think a lot of them are going to end up saying ‘no buyer, we’re going to have to wind up’. Because they are never going to get the value they thought they would.”

Might Philip Goodman have been in this boat? Might other entrepreneurs face the same fate? These are interesting questions.

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Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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