S&P: Malaysia’s rising household debts may become ‘problematic’

Updated: Thursday December 12, 2013 MYT 8:10:46 AM

Malaysia’s rising household debts may become ‘problematic’

PETALING JAYA: Malaysia’s rising household debts, while still manageable in this current economic condition, would be “problematic” if the country’s growth rate slows, according to Standard & Poor’s (S&P).A study by the World Bank identified Malaysia and Thailand as having the largest household debts, as a share of gross domestic product (GDP), among Asia’s developing economies.

Household debts in Malaysia have now exceeded 80% of GDP, prompting the Government to introduce measures to curb credit growth.

S&P last month cut its credit outlook for four Malaysian banks on concerns that rising home prices and household debt are contributing to economic imbalances.

“Thailand and Malaysia economies are fine at this point in time,” S&P financial rating services’ managing director and lead analytical manager Ritesh Maheshwari said yesterday.

“But an unfavourable global economic event could affect Malaysia adversely, and this is why we have been highlighting in our reports that Thailand and Malaysia face risks,” he said in a teleconference on Asia-Pacific’s outlook for 2014.

Meanwhile, the firm has a “net negative bias” on Asia-Pacific corporate ratings in the chemicals, building materials, metals and mining, and the healthcare sector.

Net negative bias indicates the likelihood of ratings being downgraded.

S&P Asia-Pacific managing director and head of corporate research Terry Chansaid he continued to be negative on mining partly because of the expected slower growth in China moving forward on the backdrop of a sustained supply growth of minerals although it does see “some moderation” next year.

S&P has a “stable to negative” outlook for building materials due to a combination of a more steady packaging sector that largely caters to the food, beverage and the tobacco industries.

“But forest products are vulnerable particularly to potential demand for timber building materials and paper products,” Chan said.

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Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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