Over six out of 10 companies listed on the country’s main bourse are expected to face earnings shock in the fourth quarter due to weak domestic demand caused by the prolonged slump

2013-12-24 16:12

Six in 10 firms hit by earnings shock

By Yi Whan-woo
Over six out of 10 companies listed on the country’s main bourse are expected to face earnings shock in the fourth quarter due to weak domestic demand caused by the prolonged slump, data showed Wednesday.According to a report released by FnGuide, a financial information provider, Tuesday, 62.5 percent of 176 major companies listed on the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) are forecast to see their profits further deteriorate between October and December.
It has lowered the combined operating profit for the 176 companies to 31.93 trillion won ($30.09 billion) in its December report, down 1.3 percent from the previous month. The outlook is based on forecasts reports by securities companies.
“Weak domestic demand seems to have dealt a blow to large companies,” said Lee Jong-woo, managing director at I’M Investment & Securities. “And it is hard to predict when their business performance will get better despite the U.S. and other advanced economies will recover next year and could influence the KOSPI-listed companies positively.”
Global tech giant Samsung Electronics is likely to post an operating profit of 10.34 trillion won in the fourth quarter, according to FnGuide. The figure is down from 10.5 trillion won in its November outlook, it said.
The nation’s leading mobile carrier KT is also expected to see its operating profit fall by 11.8 percent to 216.2 billion won during the same time period.
The report also lowered the forecast for Kia Motors by 2.1 percent and LG Electronics by 3.4 percent. Each of the companies is a flagship affiliate of the country’s No. 2 conglomerate Hyundai Motor Group and third-ranked LG Group, respectively.
The country’s leading steelmaker POSCO and Korean Air, the nation’s largest flagship carrier, are forecast to see an additional decrease of 1.6 percent and 14.8 percent in their operating profit, respectively, compared to forecasts made in November, FnGuide said.
It predicted Nepes, an IT parts manufacturer, will suffer the highest fall in its operating profit outlook among the 176 companies as it lowered the figure by 64.4 percent to 3 billion won.
By industry, energy, telecommunications, and IT sectors are likely to be hit hard by earnings shock.
The energy sector is expected to see the biggest drop of 2.8 percent in operating profit during the fourth quarter, followed by 2.5 per

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Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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