Thai CEOs fault govt’s failure to halt economy’s decline

CEOs fault govt’s failure to halt economy’s decline

The Nation December 25, 2013 1:00 am

The majority of CEOs do not see parliamentary dissolution as the answer to the political stalemate, according to a survey.

Asked about Thailand’s political situation, 78.8 per cent of 306 CEOs said dissolution was not a way out. Rather, they believed in comprehensive reform to defuse the current political situation and to ensure long-term prosperity for Thailand. The survey, conducted jointly by Krungthep Turakij and Dhurakij Pundit University Research Centre (DPURC) was carried out from November 10-December 13. It aimed to find out the CEOs’ perspective on the current business and economic performance during November to December, a time when political strife is prevalent in Thailand.
The survey showed that the apparent decline in CEO confidence in Thailand is partly due to the government’s failure to prevent a further decline in the Thai economy. Other factors that influenced the index are the political instability, and the reduced purchasing power from rising living costs. The economic index has been in negative territory for the fourth consecutive month, at -27 in November. It is expected to fall further to -31 in December.
According to the survey, the five most important factors (on a scale to 5) affecting business performances in the past month are: overall political instability (4.5); Thailand’s economy (4.4); reduced demand (4.3); costs of raw materials (3.9); and the world economy (3.8).
The four business performance indices – which include revenue, cost, liquidity and employment – are pointing towards a rather pessimistic future.
The November revenue index is at -24, and expected to rise to -21 in December. The cost index fell to 33 in November, and is expected to fall even further to 27 in December. Though the reduced cost signifies an improvement, the fact that it remains positive indicates rising costs, though at a slower rate than October.
The liquidity index has improved slightly to -9 in November due to pessimistic outlooks for revenue and cost indices. It is expected to fall again to -10 in December, however. Additionally the liquidity index’s seventh consecutive monthly fall can make businesses more vulnerable to unexpected shocks. The employment index fell to -4, and is expected to rise slightly to -2 in December.

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Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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