As Japan’s Economic Pie Grows, Christmas Cakes May Shrink

December 25, 2013, 6:52 PM

As Japan’s Economic Pie Grows, Christmas Cakes May Shrink

ALEXANDER MARTIN

The size of Japan’s economic pie may be expanding, but a beloved staple of the year-end holiday season — the Christmas cake — may get smaller for many people as Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s economic program, or “Abenomics,” pushes up prices and weakens the yen. The “Super Christmas Tower” cake offered in 2012 by Patisserie Satsuki at the Hotel New Otani Tokyo.With few Christians, Japan attaches little religious significance to Christmas. But it does come with a powerful consumer drive, nurtured by decades of marketing. The fast-food chain Kentucky Fried Chicken has been especially successful in selling its signature chicken as a staple for the Christmas dinner table. And many young couples rush to make restaurant reservations for Christmas Eve, having been persuaded this is a major moment for lovers.

But before any of this there was the Japanese version of the Christmas cake. Typically, it has been a strawberry shortcake with a sponge base and whip cream frosting — although consumers can now choose from a variety of cakes with Christmas decorations.

The original Christmas cake in Japan was fruit cake introduced by confectioner Fujiya Food Service Co. in the 1910. Fujiya’s strawberry shortcakes rose to popularity in the 1970s, becoming synonymous with Christmas itself. Every year, convenience and department stores mount major advertising campaigns months before the actual date.

But with the weak yen pushing up prices of ingredients like wheat, milk and sugar, it has created headaches for confectionary makers like Fujiya.

“We’ve maintained the prices of our Christmas cakes this year, but the rise in prices of lard and dairy products, as well as imported items like cocoa beans and nuts, is a difficult issue we need to deal with,” a Fujiya spokeswoman said.

The 100-year old confectioner sold 440,000 Christmas cakes last year, the most popular being a Y2,900 ($28) strawberry shortcake. This year’s line-up was decided in summer, before prices of ingredients rose significantly.

But in October, the government raised the selling price of imported wheat by 4.1%. In the same month, big dairy companies raised milk prices due to higher feed prices for cows. And in November, major sugar producer Mitsui Sugar Co. raised sugar prices by 2%.

With the price rises coming late in the year, they didn’t have much effect on this year’s cake prices. Tokyo-based patisserie Ecole Criollo, for instance, kept its Christmas cake prices unchanged.

“But maybe not anymore. We are considering raising the prices of our products from January,” an Ecole Criollo spokeswoman said.

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Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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