Online shopping grows, with some growing pains

Online shopping grows, with some growing pains

NEW YORK — Americans waited until the last minute to buy holiday gifts, but retailers were not prepared for the spike.

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NEW YORK — Americans waited until the last minute to buy holiday gifts, but retailers were not prepared for the spike. Heavy spending in the final days of the mostly lackluster season sent sales up 3.5 per cent between Nov 1 and Tuesday (Dec 24), according to MasterCard Advisors SpendingPulse, which tracks payments but doesn’t give dollar figures.Online shopping led the uptick, with spending up 10 per cent to US$38 (S$48.20). 91 billion between Nov 2 and Sunday, research firm comScore said.

“We always have last-minute Charlies, but this year even people who normally complete shopping earlier completed shopping later,” said Mr Marshal Cohen, chief retail analyst at market research firm NPD Group.

The late surge caught companies off guard. UPS and FedEx failed to deliver some packages by Christmas due to a combination of poor weather and overloaded systems, leaving some unhappy holiday shoppers.

Mr Justin Londagin and his wife ordered their seven-year-old son a jersey of Russell Wilson of the Seattle Seahawks from NFL’s web site on Dec. 19. They paid US$12.95 extra for two-day shipping to get it to their Augusta, Kansas, home before Christmas, but it didn’t arrive in time.

“We had to get creative and wrote him a note from Santa to tell him that the jersey fell out of the sleigh and Santa will get it to him as soon as he could,” he said.

Amazon is offering customers with delayed shipments a refund on their shipping charges and US$20 toward a future purchase. And other retailers such as Macy’s said they are looking into the situation.

The last-minute surge this year solidifies the increasing popularity of online shopping, which accounts for about 10 per cent of sales during the last three months of the year. It also underscores the challenges that companies face delivering on the experience, particularly during the holiday shopping season that runs from the beginning of November through December.

Analysts say FedEx and UPS typically work closely with big retailers to get a sense of the volume of packages they’ll handle during peak times like the holiday season. Extra flights, trucks and seasonal workers can be added if the projections are large.

But this year, Mr David Vernon, a senior research analyst at Sanford C Bernstein, said weather played a role. The early December ice storms in Dallas could have hurt operations, he said, and packages can start to accumulate. And that got compounded by a late surge in shipments, he said.

“Clearly, as a group, (they) underestimated the demand for Internet retailing during the holidays,” Mr Vernon said.

Another problem was the growing popularity of retailers offering free shipping. Amazon, for one, has a two-day free shipping offer that comes with its US$79 annual Prime membership. The company said in the third week of December alone, more than 1 million people signed up for the membership.

“Frankly the right hand wasn’t talking to the left,” said Forrester analyst Sucharita Mulpuru. “The marketing teams of a lot of web retailers (offering free shipping) were not talking to the operations and supply chain teams.”

The resulting delayed shipments could be a problem for shippers. UPS and FedEx did not quantify how many packages were affected but said they were just a small fraction of total holiday deliveries.

“The central pillar of their business is a perception of reliability with their customers,” said Mr Jeremy Robinson-Leon, CEO of Group Gordon, a corporate and crisis PR firm. This year’s snafus “just really erodes trust among customers”.

Still, analysts say people will still shop online. “Consumers tend to have a short memory, especially if you fast forward to another year,” said Mr Andrew Lipsman, vice president of industry analysis for comScore.

Indeed, some shoppers are taking the delays in stride. Ms Traci Arbios, who lives in Clovis, California, did about 90 per cent of her shopping online. Most items included free shipping and everything arrived on time except one package she ordered from a seller on eBay that was sent first class by the US Postal Service on Dec 12. It still had not arrived yesterday.

“Everything arrived on time except this one item,” she said. “It’s not going to stop me from shopping online.” AP

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Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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