Gold Loses Luster in Fed Taper

Gold Loses Luster in Fed Taper

By Lewa Pardomuan on 2:53 pm December 28, 2013.
Singapore. Gold was little changed in thin trade on Friday, heading for its biggest annual loss in more than 30 years as hopes of a global economic recovery and rallies in equities dent its appeal as an alternative investment.Bullion has fallen more than 25 percent this year, hurt partly by the long-expected tapering of the US Federal Reserve’s bond-buying stimulus program, which has been a key driver of gold’s rally in recent years.

Gold hit an intraday low of around $1,208 an ounce before standing at $1,210.46 on Friday, steady from Thursday. The precious metal touched record highs above $1,900 in 2011, when a worsening debt crisis in Europe sparked a buying rush.

“Sentiment I think is bearish for next year,” said Ronald Leung, chief dealer at Lee Cheong Gold Dealers in Hong Kong, adding that declines in exchange-traded funds holdings could potentially drag down prices.

“Gold may have to test at least $1,180 and then after that, $1,100. Let’s see how the physical demand is and how the economy behaves.”

US gold eased 0.2 percent to $1,210.20 an ounce. SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.19 percent to 804.22 metric tons on Thursday from 805.72 metric tons on Tuesday.

In terms of ounces, holdings slipped to 25,856,464.05 ounces from 25,904,686.51 — their weakest since 2009. Dealers noted physical buying from Chinese consumers on Friday, but demand from Indonesia and Thailand had eased in recent weeks due to the countries’ weakening currencies.

Premiums for gold bars inched up to a high of $2 an ounce above spot London prices in Hong Kong, higher than $1.50 last week on some tightness at the end of the year as dealers awaited the arrival of fresh supply from Europe next month.

Premiums in Singapore, a center for bullion trading in Southeast Asia, were steady at $1.50 an ounce, with dealers watching the political drama in Thailand.

Thailand’s government rejected a call from the Election Commission on Thursday to postpone a February vote after clashes between police and anti-government protesters in which a policeman was killed and nearly 100 people were hurt.

“Indonesia has been quiet but it has exported a lot of gold in 2013 because of the weak currency,” said a physical dealer in Singapore. “I guess for Thailand, we will have to wait and see. I don’t think the protests will end unless there’s a consensus.”

In other markets, Asian markets struggled to match the performance of Wall Street on Friday even as Japan’s economic data impressed and the dollar tested the 105 yen barrier for the first time in five years.

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Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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