India generic drugmakers’ woes put new focus on quality over price

India generic drugmakers’ woes put new focus on quality over price

5:59pm EDT

By Bill Berkrot

(Reuters) – A spate of regulatory warnings for India’s generic drug manufacturers will add a new emphasis on the quality of such medicines in an industry long dominated by the ability to deliver treatments as cheaply as possible, analysts say.

In the short term, that is expected to benefit larger global competitors, such as Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd, Actavis Plc and Mylan Inc, which will be called upon to supply drugs no longer available from some of their rivals in India, they said.

Over the longer term, the trend will put a new premium on manufacturers who can demonstrate a strong quality record over time and limit supply disruptions, particularly as U.S. drugstore chains and pharmaceutical wholesalers make deals that consolidate their buying on a larger scale than ever.

“When you talk to companies they will tell you that this was an industry that used to be about nothing but price. Now the ability to supply the market and have a reliable supply, to be in good favor with the FDA, that’s starting to mean something to customers,” said Gabelli & Co analyst Kevin Kendra.

The biggest setback for India’s $14 billion a year generic drug industry came in January, when the FDA banned imports from all the Indian plants of Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd, India’s No. 1 drugmaker by sales, over repeated production quality lapses.

While generic drugmakers based in the United States and elsewhere have also been cited by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for quality control problems over the years, India’s industry has come under fresh scrutiny recently as the agency steps up its inspections there.

On a smaller scale, the U.S. health regulator banned medicines made at a Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd plant at Karkhadi.

Sun has said that plant accounts for less than 1 percent of its sales.

Wockhardt Ltd and Dr Reddy’s Laboratories Ltd have also run afoul of the FDA or been involved in recent major product recalls.

Some U.S. doctors say the headlines have raised new concerns about the quality of the generic drug supply.

Pharmacy chains including CVS Caremark Corp and Walgreen Co would not comment on whether they have altered their purchasing operations in any way.

Pharmacy benefits manager Express Scripts Holding Co, one of the largest purchasers of generic drugs, would not single out India, but said it has taken notice of quality concerns on a company-by-company basis.

“We have increased our surveillance throughout the supply chain,” said Express Scripts spokesman Brian Henry.

SHORT-TERM BENEFICIARIES

When products are temporarily removed from the U.S. market, “that has given some larger manufacturers the ability to take up pricing and pick up some share,” said RBC Capital Markets analyst Randall Stanicky.

Jason Kolbert, an analyst with Maxim Group, sees Teva, with its vast geographic reach and huge product portfolio, as a “direct beneficiary” of Indian drug company setbacks. It sells, for example, a version of the antibiotics made at the Sun plant under FDA sanctions.

“These companies have to spend six months or a year fixing a manufacturing quality control problem, so Teva is likely to pick up a little bit of growth because this is not their problem,” Kolbert said.

Morningstar analyst Michael Waterhouse said purchasers would likely make a distinction between Ranbaxy, which has repeatedly been cited by the FDA for lapses, against its Indian peers that have had more sporadic problems, not unlike companies elsewhere around the globe.

“The FDA overall is trying to raise the bar because it’s a brutal industry for a lot of these companies where the pricing pressure is so hefty,” he said.

Wockhardt, Ranbaxy and Dr. Reddy’s did not respond to requests for comment.

Piyush Nahar, an analyst with Jefferies India Private Ltd, said Indian drugmakers have increased their investment in compliance and some are considering investing in U.S. or European plants to overcome regulatory challenges.

Waterhouse expects those efforts to pay off.

“Ultimately you would think standards would be raised in India and they would still remain a formidable opponent,” he said.

 

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Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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