‘Target’ Funds Vulnerable to Rate Rise; “People think this is safe money. Losing money in bonds is a brutal way to lose money.”

Updated April 23, 2013, 8:04 p.m. ET

‘Target’ Funds Vulnerable to Rate Rise

LIAM PLEVEN and JOE LIGHT

Millions of workers saving for retirement risk losing part of their nest eggs if interest rates jump. The cause for concern: target-date mutual funds, designed for investors who lack the time or expertise to balance their investment portfolios. The funds typically increase their bondholdings with the approach of the target date, which is pegged to the investor’s expected retirement year. In theory, more bonds should make portfolios safer, because bonds tend to be less risky than assets such as stocks. But if yields rise and bond prices slump, as many experts predict, the funds could suffer losses.

“People think this is safe money,” said Dave Scott, chief investment officer of Sunrise Advisors, a registered investment adviser in Leawood, Kan. “Losing money in bonds is a brutal way to lose money.”

OB-XE901_Bettin_G_20130423201402MI-BV523_TARGET_NS_20130423180021 Read more of this post

Falling Yen Sets Stage for Profit Windfall

April 23, 2013, 3:00 p.m. ET

Falling Yen Sets Stage for Profit Windfall

By MAYUMI NEGISHI And DANIEL INMAN

TOKYO—When Japan’s biggest companies begin to report earnings this week, they are expected to forecast the highest profits in six years and higher capital spending, raising hopes that this time, the country’s corporate recovery could have staying power.

After years of belt tightening, the yen’s recent drop is expected to propel corporate earnings to new heights. At ¥100 to the dollar—around the current level—pretax profit at the top 200 Japanese companies is forecast to rise 75% to ¥16.09 trillion ($162.15 billion) in the fiscal year that started this month, according to Daiwa Securities.

AI-CA502_JEARNS_G_20130423135405 Read more of this post

Can Abenomics Heal Japan’s Two-Decade Trauma? (Infographics)

yens

How the Wheels Came Off for Electric-Car Firm Fisker; U.S. Loans Saddled It With Factory Never Used

Updated April 24, 2013, 4:09 a.m. ET

How the Wheels Came Off for Fisker

Untested Electric-Car Firm Was Ripe for the Times; U.S. Loans Saddled It With Factory Never Used

By YULIYA CHERNOVA and MIKE RAMSEY

OB-XE904_WrongT_G_20130423201406

For a few months in 2012, Bruce Simon, the chief executive of gourmet food retailer Omaha Steaks International Inc., drove a $100,000 plug-in hybrid electric car known as the Fisker Karma. No longer.

Mr. Simon says his car broke down four times over the span of a few months. Each time, Fisker Automotive Inc. picked it up and sent it by trailer from his home in Omaha, Neb., to a dealer in Minneapolis.

The Karma was “so vulnerable to software errors, and the parts used were of such poor quality that eventually I insisted they take the car back and return my purchase price, which they did,” he says. “It’s a real shame, the car itself was beautiful.”

The near collapse of the Anaheim, Calif., company—it missed a loan payment on Monday, earlier dismissed most of its staff and has hired bankruptcy advisors—comes as affluent buyers like Mr. Simon have turned away from the once promising startup and falling gasoline prices have chipped away at demand for electric cars. Read more of this post

Soros looking set to attack Asian currencies again

Soros looking set to attack Asian currencies again

Staff Reporter

2013-04-24

George Soros may be paying attention to Asian currencies again. The currency speculator recently paid a visit to China and Hong Kong, triggering concerns of his return to the region after his large bet against the Thai baht in the late 1990s.

The hedge fund billionaire has reportedly made more than U$1.2 billion betting against the Japanese yen since November of last year.

Early this month, Soros attended an annual convention in Hong Kong organized by the Institute for New Economic Thinking, a New York City-based nonprofit thinktank he co-founded.

At the conference on April 6, Soros joked that he was ready to attack the Hong Kong dollar, in response to a question from the audience on whether Soros might be shorting the currency as his next target after the yen. Read more of this post

Bond Bubble, Or Rational Expectations? Visualizing 220 Years Of Treasury Yields

Bond Bubble, Or Rational Expectations? Visualizing 220 Years Of Treasury Yields

Tyler Durden on 04/23/2013 22:09 -0400

Near multi-generational low bond yields, driven at least in part (and some think in full) by the undeniably large asset purchase program (Quantitative Easing (QE)) that the US Federal Reserve has been implementing in one form or another since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC), have pushed the question of whether or not the bond market is a bubble to the front of many people’s minds. However, while the chart below of over 220 years of 10-year treasury yields shows the extraordinarily low bonds yields, they have resulted from many fundamental and rational drivers (expectations of weak economic growth and safe haven flows amid the European sovereign debt crisis) in addition to Fed purchases. So while bond prices look expensive, there is nothing particularly bubbly about the bond market today.

20130423_10Y

Earnings Quality in Acquired and Non-Acquired Family Firms: A Socioemotional Wealth Perspective

Earnings Quality in Acquired and Non-Acquired Family Firms: A Socioemotional Wealth Perspective

Federica Pazzaglia University College Dublin

Stefano Mengoli University of Bologna – Department of Management

Elena Sapienza University of Padua – Department of Economics “M.Fanno”

April 17, 2013
Family Business Review, Forthcoming

Abstract: 
We develop a socioemotional wealth (SEW) explanation for the differences in earnings quality between family firms. We argue that the process by which families obtain ownership of firms is a key contingency affecting earnings quality. Specifically, firms acquired by families through market transactions display lower earnings quality due to lower identification of family owners relative to firms still owned by the families which created them. Acquired family firms benefit with respect to their earnings quality from having a nonfamily CEO while non-acquired family firms benefit from having a family CEO.

The Myth that Insulating Boards Serves Long-Term Value

The Myth that Insulating Boards Serves Long-Term Value

Lucian A. Bebchuk 

Harvard Law School; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI)
April 1, 2013
Columbia Law Review, Fall 2013, Vol. 113, Forthcoming

Abstract: 
This paper comprehensively analyzes – and debunks – the view that insulating corporate boards serves long-term value.
Advocates of board insulation claim that shareholder interventions, and the fear of such interventions, lead companies to take myopic actions that are costly in the long term – and that insulating boards from such pressure therefore serves the long-term interests of companies as well as of their shareholders. This claim is regularly invoked to support limits on the rights and involvement of shareholders and has had considerable influence. I show, however, that this claim has a shaky conceptual foundation and is not supported by the data.
In contrast to what insulation advocates commonly assume, short investment horizons and imperfect market pricing do not imply that board insulation will be value-increasing in the long term. I show that, even assuming such short horizons and imperfect pricing, shareholder activism, and the fear of shareholder intervention, will produce not only long-term costs but also some significant countervailing long-term benefits.
Furthermore, there is a good basis for concluding that, on balance, the negative long-term costs of board insulation exceeds its long-term benefits. To begin, the behavior of informed market participants reflects their beliefs that shareholder activism, and the arrangements facilitating it, are overall beneficial for the long-term interest of companies and their shareholders. Moreover, a review of the available empirical evidence provides no support for the claim that board insulation is overall beneficial in the long term; to the contrary, the body of evidence favors the view that shareholder engagement, and arrangements that facilitate it, serve the long-term interests of companies and their shareholders.
I conclude that, going forward, policy makers and institutional investors should reject arguments for board insulation in the name of long-term value.

Board Games: Timing of Independent Directors’ Dissent in China

Board Games: Timing of Independent Directors’ Dissent in China

Juan Ma 

Harvard Business School

Tarun Khanna 

Harvard University – Strategy Unit
April 18, 2013
Harvard Business School Strategy Unit Working Paper No. 13-089

Abstract: 
This paper examines the circumstances under which so-called “independent” directors voice their independent views on public boards in a sample of Chinese firms. Controlling for firm and board characteristics, we find that independent directors’ dissent is associated with breakdown of directors’ interpersonal ties with board chairpersons, who locate at the center of the board bureaucracy in China. In particular, independent directors tend to “time” their dissent into a restricted set of socially-appropriate circumstances, either when the board chairperson who appoints the independent director has left the board, or when the voting occurs at the end of board “games” that corresponds to a 60-day window prior to departure of the board chairperson or departure of the independent director herself. The endgame effect is particularly strong: 27% of the dissent was issued at board “endgames” which represent merely 4% of independent directors’ average tenure. While directors with foreign experience are more likely to dissent, we do not find that academics, accounting and law professionals are significantly more active. We also show that dissent is consequential, to the director and the firm. Although dissent has no significant marginal effect on the total number of board seats received subsequently by an independent director, it significantly increases the chance for a director to exit the director labor market. Firms suffer an economically and statistically significant cumulative abnormal return of -0.97% around announcement of dissent. Literature has suggested that dissent might be reflecting of diverse viewpoints, perhaps beneficial in and of itself through reducing variability of firm performance, however we do not find this offsetting beneficial effect to be strong.

How to Predict the Next Big Bailout; Real estate agents who help Chinese investors buy homes abroad say the easier it is for their clients to buy citizenship, the likelier it is for the country’s economy to tip over into crisis

April 23, 2013, 6:16 PM

How to Predict the Next Big Bailout

After Cyprus, who’s next to fall? Real estate agents in China have their own crude method for identifying the next domino. And it doesn’t involve number crunching banks’ balance sheets.

Real estate agents who help Chinese investors buy homes abroad say they can guess which country is facing financial ruin by the level of restrictions attached to their investment immigration programs. That is, the easier it is for their clients to buy citizenship, the likelier it is for the country’s economy to tip over into crisis.

OB-XC848_0418CR_G_20130418020456 Read more of this post

Drugs to Lift Depression in Hours Rather Than Weeks? “People come in urgently wanting to kill themselves”; drugs might be helpful in emergency rooms with patients who are actively suicidal

April 22, 2013, 6:25 p.m. ET

Drugs to Lift Depression in Hours Rather Than Weeks

By ANDREA PETERSEN

The hunt is on for a faster-acting, more effective antidepressant.

Current treatments for depression, including drugs like Prozac and Celexa, often take a month or more to give patients relief—and they don’t work for everyone. Now, researchers and several pharmaceutical companies are testing medications that early studies are showing can lift mood in just a few days or even within a couple of hours.

“You can control seizures and control hypertension within minutes and hours,” says Carlos A. Zarate, chief of the experimental therapeutics and pathophysiology branch in the intramural research program at the National Institute of Mental Health and a leading researcher in the search for new antidepressant medications. “That is what we should aim for [with depression],” he says. Read more of this post

Blood Test May Help Diagnose Autism

April 23, 2013, 10:41 a.m. ET

Blood Test May Help Diagnose Autism

By SHIRLEY S. WANG

To cut through some of the mystery of mental disorders, which are largely defined by how people behave, universities and medical-technology companies are seeking firmer biological clues lurking in blood and saliva.

The latest initiative is a clinical trial of a blood test that may distinguish between kids with autism and those with other developmental delays.

The 20-site, 660-patient study, expected to be launched Wednesday, is thought to the biggest multisite effort to date to study a biological marker for autism-spectrum disorders, which affect one in every 50 children in the U.S.

The test aims to speed the diagnosis of autism, a condition characterized by poor social interaction and repetitive behaviors that can be hard to recognize when a child is very young. The average age of diagnosis in the U.S. is about 4 years, older than is optimal, according to experts, because therapies are more effective when begun early. Read more of this post

Fab, ‘The World’s Alternative To Amazon And Walmart,’ Could Now Be A Billion-Dollar Company with $150 million revenue

Fab, ‘The World’s Alternative To Amazon And Walmart,’ Could Now Be A Billion-Dollar Company

Megan Rose Dickey | Apr. 23, 2013, 9:43 AM | 1,136 | 2

Fab is reportedly raising a massive round at a $1 billion valuation, just as it’s gearing up to announce its next pivot. The round is expected to be more than $100 million, TechCrunch’s Leena Rao and Alexia Tsotsis report. Fab has already raised $171 million in funding, but the highest valuation it received prior to this round was $600 million. Last year, Fab saw $150 million revenue, with sales growing nearly 300% from January 2012 to January 2013. Since it’s first pivot from a social network for gay men to a design flash sales site, Fab has grown to more than 11 million members. Fab also has great retention, with repeat buyers making up 67% of its daily sales. As Fab gears up to pivot, it will have a nice chunk of cash to fuel its next move. Fab’s previous investors include Andreessen HorowitzMenlo VenturesSoftTech VCFirst Round CapitalKevin RoseSV Angel, and many others. Business Insider has reached out to Fab CEO Jason Goldberg and a couple of Fab’s previous investors. We will update this story if we hear back.

Everyone wants to be a REIT; Restyled as Real Estate Trusts, Varied Businesses Avoid Taxes

April 21, 2013

Restyled as Real Estate Trusts, Varied Businesses Avoid Taxes

By NATHANIEL POPPER

A small but growing number of American corporations, operating in businesses as diverse as private prisons, billboards and casinos, are making an aggressive move to reduce — or even eliminate — their federal tax bills. They are declaring that they are not ordinary corporations at all. Instead, they say, they are something else: special trusts that are typically exempt from paying federal taxes. The trust structure has been around for years but, until recently, it was generally used only by funds holding real estate. Now, the likes of the Corrections Corporation of America, which owns and operates 44 prisons and detention centers across the nation, have quietly received permission from the Internal Revenue Service to put on new corporate clothes and, as a result, save many millions on taxes. The Corrections Corporation, which is making the switch, expects to save $70 million in 2013. Penn National Gaming, which operates 22 casinos, including the M Resort Spa Casino in Las Vegas, recently won approval to change its tax designation, too.

Read more of this post

How smaller rivals beat Wipro and Infosys and turned India’s IT sector upside down

How smaller rivals beat Wipro and Infosys and turned India’s IT sector upside down

By Nandagopal Jayakumar Nair April 23, 2013

Nandagopal Jayakumar Nair is a Knight-Bagehot fellow in economics and business journalism at Columbia University in New York. He previously worked for CNBC-TV18 in India.

The players in India’s $108 billion information-technology industry are realigning. Finally.

While pioneers like Infosys and Wipro have been caught wrong footed, agile rivals are banking on aggression and vision to grow their businesses.

Today, shares of India’s third largest software provider Wipro fell more than 8% as the management said revenue would grow 1.3%, at best, in the next quarter. Earlier in April, India’s second largest software exporter Infosys lost more than a fifth of its value in a single trading session after it gave a disappointing annual revenue growth forecast of 6-10%. While Wipro is optimistic about a turnaround later in the year, Infosys admitted that the tough macroeconomic conditions would hamper the company’s performance. “There is uncertainty all around us. I don’t believe that this is something we can wish away,” said Infosys CEO SD Shibulal.

But how then to explain Tata Consultancy Services? TCS, as it is better known, is decidedly bullish on its near future. India’s largest software exporter is confident of beating IT industry body Nasscom’s estimate of 12-14% revenue growth for 2013-14.  “The global economic environment is providing us with many new opportunities,” said CEO N Chandrasekaran. “We are going to have a better year this year.” Read more of this post

Infosys’s boss blames the economy but the source of its troubles is internal

Infosys’s boss blames the economy but the source of its troubles is internal

Apr 20th 2013 | MUMBAI |From the print edition

THERE was something humiliating about the latest results from Infosys, long an icon of India’s technology-outsourcing industry. On April 12th it released weak figures and said that it expected sales in the year to March 2014 to grow by 6-10%, far below the level number-crunchers had hoped for. To blame, it said, was an uncertain global economy. If true, that should have hurt all firms in the industry, but investors were having none of it. Infosys’s shares fell by 21% on the day, whereas those of its main competitors were largely stable. Lo and behold, five days later, TCS, Infosys’s main Indian rival, announced yet another sparkling set of results and said all was rosy in the world.

For Infosys’s chief executive, S.D. Shibulal (pictured), it must have been a painful moment. He is the fourth, and almost certainly the last, of the company’s founders to serve as boss, having finally got the top spot in 2011, three decades after Infosys was started in a flat. Inevitably there have been whispers that he is not up to the task and that letting the firm’s creators take turns ascending to the throne has proved disastrous. That is an overstatement. Infosys has been trounced by TCS, but over the past year its shares have underperformed India’s broader IT sector by a more modest 13%. Still, the firm clearly has problems.

One is its inability to give reliable guidance on its performance. Some 90 days before this most recent announcement Mr Shibulal said he was “cautiously optimistic” about the coming quarter. It now seems clear the firm was winging it, relying to an uncomfortable degree on new business still to be won and on squeezing more from existing contracts. Rajiv Bansal, the chief financial officer, admitted there had been “confusion”. Read more of this post