The Signals in the Noise: The Role of Reputable Investors in a Crowdfunding Market
May 9, 2013 Leave a comment
The Signals in the Noise: The Role of Reputable Investors in a Crowdfunding Market
Keongtae Kim University of Maryland – Robert H. Smith School of Business
Siva Viswanathan University of Maryland – Robert H. Smith School of Business
April 29, 2013
Abstract:
This paper examines the role of reputable investors in a crowdfunding market. Using a novel data set on individual investments in a crowdfunding market for mobile applications, we investigate whether early investments serve as signals of quality for later investors and if the value of these signals differs depending on the identity of early reputable investors. We find that reputable investors – app developer investors and experienced investors – tend to invest early. Both are likely to affect later investors, although their expertise determines their influence. App developer investors tend to have a better knowledge of the product and are found to be more influential for “concept apps” (apps that are in development), whereas experienced investors – investors with a better knowledge of market performance are found to be more influential for “live apps” (apps that are already being sold in the market). Our findings show that investors in this market, although inexperienced, are rather sophisticated in their ability to identify and exploit nuanced differences between various signals within the same market. In examining the ex-post performance of apps, we find that successful funding in the market is positively associated with ex-post app sales, providing some indication of rational herding among investors. Our study offers new insights for theories of opinion leadership and signaling, and also has practical implications for the design of crowdfunding markets.
