Sovereign wealth funds from resource-rich countries controlling more than $500bn of assets operate with no disclosure, limiting their accountability and increasing the risk of corruption, a leading transparency watchdog has said

May 15, 2013 11:48 pm

Watchdog raises fears over wealth funds

By Ed Crooks in New York

Sovereign wealth funds from resource-rich countries controlling more than $500bn of assets operate with no disclosure, limiting their accountability and increasing the risk of corruption, a leading transparency watchdog has said. The Revenue Watch Institute, a New York-based group backed by charitable foundations and rich-country governments, published research on Wednesday showing that eight large funds, including the investment authorities of Qatar, Kuwait and Libya, disclosed no details at all about their assets, transactions or investments. Those eight funds are estimated to have assets worth $539bn. Other funds, including Saudi Arabia’s, which controls an estimated $530bn, and Nigeria’s, have little disclosure or political accountability.

Read more of this post

Why Hedge Funds’ Criticism of the Fed May Be Right

MAY 15, 2013, 12:15 PM

Why Hedge Funds’ Criticism of the Fed May Be Right

By JESSE EISINGER

The economics world has been having a lot of fun with hedge fund managers.

After several such managers at a recent conference denounced the aggressive money-printing policies of Ben S. Bernanke, the Federal Reserve chairman, the economic blogosphere rose up to mock them.

Many hedge fund managers have been predicting that high inflation and fleeing creditors would send interest rates skyrocketing. Stanley Druckenmiller, Paul Singer, J. Kyle Bass and David Einhorn — all big names in the investing world — have warned against the supposedly runaway central banker. Mr. Druckenmiller said that Mr. Bernanke was “running the most inappropriate monetary policy in history.” Read more of this post

As Baht Rises, Thai Tycoons Spend

Updated May 15, 2013, 8:00 p.m. ET

As Baht Rises, Thai Tycoons Spend

By JAMES HOOKWAY

Dhanin Chearavanont, billionaire chairman of CharoenPokphandGroup, says the stronger baht isn’t good for exports, but it is “a good opportunity for change.”

BANGKOK—Fifteen years ago, Thailand and other Asian countries let their currencies slide, using cheap exports to help lift them out of a devastating economic slump. Today, Thailand’s currency is soaring, and some of its tycoons are going on a buying spree. As Japan has moved to drive down the yen to power up its own exports, billions of dollars in funds have flowed into Thailand and other emerging markets in search of higher yields. That is pushing up the value of local currencies against major global counterparts such as the U.S. dollar and Japanese yen. It also is giving businesses a new, and sometimes perplexing, opportunity: purchasing power. The Thai baht has risen as much as 6% against the dollar since the beginning of the year and many economists predict further gains, leading some businessmen to reckon the best response is to borrow heavily in dollars to expand their businesses. Chief among them is Dhanin Chearavanont, who turned a seed business into Thailand’s largest conglomerate, making himself the country’s richest man in the process. Read more of this post

Easy Money: Too Much of a Good Thing?

Updated May 15, 2013, 1:41 p.m. ET

Easy Money: Too Much of a Good Thing?

By DAVID WESSEL

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WSJ Global Economics Editor David Wessel joins the News Hub with a look at what we know and what we don’t know about central banks, easy money, asset purchases and bubbles. Photo: Getty Images.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has risen 14% since the Federal Reserve launched a third round of bond buying in September. The Stoxx Europe 600 index has climbed 22% since the president of the European Central Bank vowed in July to do “whatever it takes” to save the euro. Japan’s Nikkei has risen 22% since the Bank of Japan unveiled its big bond-buying initiative in April—and more than 50% since the election of a new government that campaigned on installing an aggressive central banker. There were, of course, other drivers behind the stock-market gains. But there’s little doubt that when central banks print lots of money (or hint they will), they push up stocks, bonds, houses and other assets. Indeed, that was part of the plan: Boost asset prices so businesses and consumers will spend more readily. Did the central banks’ efforts work? Did struggling economies get a lift? And has the Fed, which acted more forcefully than others, overdone it? Is it blowing another bubble already? Read more of this post

Asia’s biggest casino company SJM Executives to Sell Shares Worth as Much as $57M

SJM Executives to Sell Shares Worth as Much as $57M

Two senior executives of SJM Holdings Ltd. (880), Asia’s biggest casino company by revenue, are seeking to raise as much as HK$440 million ($57 million) in a share sale after the stock surged to a record. Chief Executive Officer Ambrose So and Chief Operating Officer Ng Chi Sing are offering 20 million shares at HK$21.50 to HK$22 each, a discount of 2.2 percent to 4.4 percent to yesterday’s close, terms for the deal show. Deutsche Bank AG (DBK) is joint book runner, according to the term sheet. Read more of this post

Malaysia Prime Minister Najib Cabinet Rewards Base as Chinese Sidelined: Southeast Asia

Najib Cabinet Rewards Base as Chinese Sidelined: Southeast Asia

Malaysia Prime Minister Najib Razak stocked his Cabinet with party stalwarts, after the ruling coalition’s biggest ethnic Chinese partner said it wouldn’t accept ministerial posts following its poor election showing.

Najib tapped leaders of his ruling United Malays Nasional Organisation for key positions before party polls later this year that will determine whether he stays on as prime minister. He also gave posts to the heads of Malaysia’s biggest bank, a corruption watchdog and a Hindu rights group. Two of the new line-up are Chinese, compared with more than a dozen previously.

“The Cabinet reflects a prime minister concerned about retaining the premiership and the presidency of UMNO,” said Edmund Terence Gomez, a professor at the University of Malaya in Kuala Lumpur. “I don’t see any move in the direction to talk about reconciliation and transformation and inclusivity in this cabinet.”

Najib’s coalition retained power in the May 5 election even after losing a majority of the popular vote for the first time since 1969, which the prime minister attributed to a loss of support from Chinese voters. Besides an ethnic divide, his administration faces a weakening economy, with Malaysia’s growth slowing to less than 5 percent for the first in seven quarters. Read more of this post

Euro-Style Bail-In Plan Means Bondholder Wipe-Out: Brazil Credit

Euro-Style Bail-In Plan Means Bondholder Wipe-Out: Brazil Credit

Brazil is drafting rules that would wipe out some creditors of failing banks in an effort to avoid taxpayer rescues, echoing European proposals to make bondholders shoulder more costs after three bailouts in as many years.

The central bank said May 6 it had prepared a draft of a “bail-in” proposal that would impose losses on holders of subordinated and unsecured bonds in case of insolvency and use their investments to revive the lenders. The measure would boost funding costs for the nation’s investment-grade banks, which currently pay a near record-low 3.77 percent on average to borrow dollars in the bond market, according to Carlos Thadeu de Freitas Gomes, a former central bank director.

The proposal, similar to one being considered by European Union lawmakers, comes after seven Brazilian banks became insolvent in the past three years and the deposit insurance fund spent 3.8 billion reais ($1.9 billion) to rescue Banco Panamericano SA. The rules would clarify risks for investors, save taxpayer money, and shield policy makers from political pressure to rescue lenders that took excessive risks, even as it pushes up costs for financial firms, said Freitas, now the chief economist at the National Commerce Confederation.

“It’ll help establish order and more transparency,” Freitas said in a telephone interview from Rio de Janeiro. “Investors know that, if there is a bankruptcy, they will have to cover the costs.” Read more of this post

U.S. 2 Percenters Trade Down With Post-Recession Angst

U.S. 2 Percenters Trade Down With Post-Recession Angst

Jennifer Prentice, a medical-equipment saleswoman in Minneapolis, once had no qualms about dropping $600 or more for Gucci purses. Now she spends $300 for Coach Inc. (COH) bags and is filling in her Burberry wardrobe with pieces from J. Crew.

“The things we went through over the last couple of years definitely have an impact on what I am doing,” Prentice, 45, said in an interview. “I tend to be less frivolous now.”

While good times keep rolling for the super-wealthy, many Americans at the bottom end of the privileged group with incomes of $250,000 or more are thinking twice. These “two-percenters,” unnerved by the most recent recession, are trading down to less-expensive offerings from Coach Inc. and Ralph Lauren Corp. (RL) rather than pricier goods from Prada SpA (1913) and Giorgio Armani SpA. Even with the stock and real estate markets rebounding, they’re not draining their wealth again, and the shift may prove challenging for the highest-priced brands that can no longer lean on credit card-fueled aspirational customers.

“The rich have lost their exuberance,” said Pam Danziger, president of Unity Marketing, a luxury research firm. “They do not feel as wealthy. They increasingly feel that their wealth is threatened, real or not.”

An increasing share of America’s “ultra-affluent” consumers view themselves as middle-class and are spending like “Henrys,” which stands for High Earner Not Rich Yet, Danziger said. People in the latter category earn $100,000 to $249,999 a year, putting them in the top 20 percent by income, Danziger said. Read more of this post

US Government Begins BitCoin Crackdown

US Government Begins BitCoin Crackdown

Tyler Durden on 05/15/2013 14:02 -0400

As we first noted here (regulation) and here (supervision), the US government has been gradually encroaching on the independence and freedom of the virtual currency. This week, as The Washington Post reports, the government escalated. The feds took action against Mt. Gox, the world’s leading Bitcoin exchange. Many people use Dwolla, a PayPal-like payment network, to send dollars to their Mt. Gox accounts. They then use those dollars to buy Bitcoins. On Tuesday, Dwolla announced that it had frozen Mt. Gox’s account at the request of federal investigators.

It’s the first federal action against the currency. CNet has confirmed that the asset seizure was initiated by Homeland Security Investigations (which among other things is responsible for enforcing the laws associated with money laundering and drug smuggling).

As this crackdown begins, many argue that “you can’t put the genie back into the bottle,” as far as shutting down the ‘network’ of open source transactions; but as one Bitcoin enthusiast added (sadly), “I hate to say it, but the Bitcoin community needs to start lobbying, it needs to start educating policymakers, lobbyists and influencers about the pros of Bitcoin and the impossibility or the difficulty in getting rid of all the bad uses.” Read more of this post

Will Fed “Taper” Talk Crush Chinese Property Prices?

Will Fed “Taper” Talk Crush Chinese Property Prices?

Tyler Durden on 05/15/2013 21:01 -0400

When the Fed extended its guidance for extremely low rates to 2014 and later, none of the Chinese government’s measures to deter property speculation could deter ‘homebuyers’ from bidding up prices. However, as the chart below shows, the disconnect between home prices (extreme highs) and home sales (near lows) has never been greater and with the Chinese looking to further control speculation at the same time as a Fed that is increasingly jawboning a slowing to its easy money policy, the prices of Hong Kong property has begun to drop in recent weeks. As Bloomberg notes, prices have fallen 4.2% from a record reached in mid-March, compared with a 77% contraction in sales from their post-global financial crisis peak in 2010.  The prices of property is explicitly deterring the ‘urban dream’ that we explained here, but any sustained drop in property prices (given the shadow lending and collateralization this bubble represents) leaves China once again between a bubble-pricking rock and an inflationary (social unrest harboring) hard place. The Hong Kong dollar’s peg to the U.S. counterpart has kept borrowing costs in the city at near-record lows, underpinning a 109% gain in home prices since the beginning of 2009, even as the government imposed several property curbs to cool demand. Hong Kong property prices relative to sales…

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5 Habits Of The Most Creative People

5 HABITS OF THE MOST CREATIVE PEOPLE

HOW DO THE MOST CREATIVE PEOPLE WORK? BRYAN CRANSTON, KENDRICK LAMAR, MAX LEVCHIN, AND OTHER CREATIVELY SUPERCHARGED FOLKS SHARE THEIR METHODS.

BY: DRAKE BAER

What do a startup king, a social network innovator, a hip hop prince, perhaps the best actor on television, and two absolutely hilarious dudes have in common? They’re all among the Most Creative People–and we can learn quite a bit from the way they work.

Max Levchin: Always be asking questions

We talked to PayPal founder Max Levchin about how he keeps snagging startup ideas. Turns out it’s a lot about controlling chaos in ways we’ve discussed about why ideas come at random and why you need to document everything.

Levchin’s method is like this: He talks to tons of random creative people, asks them questions about their craft, takes extensive notes of their quandaries, and then compiles–and reviews–all of his research. What comes out of it? Companies–like his new mobile payment solution Affirm–and loads of paper. Dude has a crate of 200 legal pads sitting in his garage.

Kirthiga Reddy: Go flat

The director of online operations for Facebook India, Kirthiga Reddy has helped growthe social network’s user base from 8 to 71 million users over two years. What did it? A little California import: the flat culture of Silicon Valley, so different than the hierarchical norm in India.

“You’re not here to do just what you’re told,” she says. “You’re here to see gaps and to act upon them.” Read more of this post

Harvard-for-Free Meets Resistance as U.S. Professors See Threat

Harvard-for-Free Meets Resistance as U.S. Professors See Threat

Professors across the U.S. are criticizing a rush to offer free online college courses, challenging a movement designed to spread knowledge and reduce higher-education costs.

Amherst College faculty voted last month against joining an initiative led by Harvard University and Massachusetts Institute of Technology. The provost at American University issued a moratorium this month on such massive open online courses, or MOOCs. At San Jose State University, the philosophy department refused to use a free Web course from a Harvard professor.

As college costs soar, professors are concerned that MOOCs may primarily become a way for universities to reduce expenses. Even at Harvard, some faculty members said at a meeting last week that the movement could damage higher education by leading institutions to cut face-to-face instruction. Read more of this post

Massive fund outflow challenges China’s forex management

Massive fund outflow challenges China’s forex management

Staff Reporter

2013-05-15

The influx of hot money and outflow of funds via various channels in China underscores the increasing challenge to the country’s foreign exchange management system, reports the Beijing-based China Economic Weekly. According to Jones Lang LaSalle, a multinational real estate service firm, overseas commercial property investments by Chinese investors have jumped by 33% last year to US$4 billion and may reach US$5 billion by the end of this year. The investments coincide with an increase of Chinese nationals choosing to emigrate, a group which totaled more than 150,000 people in 2011. The huge amount of funds flowing out of the nation via various channels are reportedly due to the official restriction on outward forex remittance, which is capped at US$50,000 per person a year. The People’s Bank of China, aware of the futility of efforts to stem the outflow of money, recently summoned representatives from a number of foreign banks, including HSBC, Citibank, Standard Chartered, and DBS, to discuss the establishment of a system governing offshore investments by Chinese nationals, the China Economic Weekly said. The government also discussed the issue during a meeting of the National People’s Congress Standing Committee on May 6, and will now aim to monitor cross-border fund movements, which currently evades government inspection. Liu Jinchuan, a financial expert, said that underground channels for fund outflows include underground financiers, assets transferred via trade and investment, money laundering via offshore casinos and offshore bank cards. There are many brokers for overseas investments in Shenzhen, on the border with Hong Kong, with many of them operating as local underground financiers, the paper said. Adi (pseudonym), a money broker, said that the State Foreign Exchange Administration, while capable of controlling the cross-border movement of large amounts of funds, is powerless to regulate the movement of smaller amounts of money, equivalent to several millions or tens of millions of renminbi. Adi said he can remit funds out of the country within half an hour of receiving notice from his clients, for which he charges a fee of 0.8%-1.5%, adding that the transfer of large-scale funds can be carried out in installments. Chinese investors have also been funneling funds abroad via foreign trade, such as bloating import prices or underreporting export prices, especially in the case of hi-tech products. The underground outflow of funds via foreign-trade channels explains in part the increase of Hong Kong’s export value, which shot up by 74.2% year-on-year to US$105.6 billion in the first quarter of this year, much higher than its import figures.

That sighing sound you hear from China… is strategists everywhere cutting their GDP forecasts

That sighing sound you hear from China

Kate Mackenzie

| May 15 09:45 | 1 comment Share

… is strategists everywhere cutting their GDP forecasts. Last week Standard Chartered’s China economist Stephen Green and his team slashed their 2013 forecast to 7.7 per cent from 8.3 per cent. Their 2014 forecast was cut to 7.5 per cent from 8.2 per cent. Today, BAML’s Ting Lu cut to 7.6 for both 2013 and 2014, from 8 per cent and 7.7 per cent, respectively. It seems that April data has dampened any hopes that the Q1 surprise of just 7.7 per cent growth was due to simple base effects such as a missed leap year day or variations in the Chinese New Year holiday. Here are charts of Green et al’s favoured indicators suggesting that this economy won’t be powering back to 8 per cent levels of growth: What went wrong? Green cites a slow and patchy real estate recovery and pressure on local government investment vehicle cash flows, plus slow land sales outside big cities. BAML’s Lu says that, unusually, the quarter-on-quarter rate will keep rising: To be sure, we continue to expect a recovery of sequential growth; however, we have decided to revise down quarterly year-over-year GDP growth as well as annual growth in 2013E. More specifically, we maintain the view that sequential growth (QoQ, seasonally adjusted but not annualized) could bounce from 1.6% in 1Q to around 1.9%-2.0% in 2Q-4Q this year, but we cut quarterly YoY growth to 7.7%, 7.6% and 7.5% in 2Q, 3Q and 4Q (vs 7.7% at 1Q13) from the previous 8.1%, 8.0% and 8.0% respectively. Interesting, but we’re not sure of the significance of the non-annualised quarter-on-quarter figures; it’s true the non-annualised figures have moved around a lot since they were first published a couple of years ago, but most countries give annualised figures so figures like 1.9 per cent growth probably aren’t going to float many people’s boats. Lu however argues that the focus on the year-on-year figures might leave investors overly spooked and, in turn, lead to a more bullish tone if/when the focus shifts. We’re a little more sceptical that the favoured data points change any time soon, considering China’s main quarterly GDP growth number is already quite unusual. Another bullish theory was that the surge in credit growth, particularly in March, might just take some time to generate more growth. Credit data for April however showed that even if that’s the case, it’s not a sustained surge anyway:  Finally, the chance of a renewed stimulus push looks ever less likely (not that many pundits have been openly expecting this anyway). From Bloomberg News: “To achieve this year’s targets, the room to rely on stimulus policies or government direct investment is not big — we must rely on market mechanisms,” Li said in a May 13 speech broadcast to officials around the country, according to a transcript published last night on the central government’s website. Relying on government-led investment for growth “is not only difficult to sustain but also creates new problems and risks,” he said. Incidentally, Green says big stimulus is unlikely unless unemployment begins to look like a problem. Makes sense.

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Trade between Hong Kong and Guangdong artificially skewed; Firms inflate trade data to cash in on currency exchange gains

Firms inflate trade data to cash in on currency exchange gains

Staff Reporter

2013-05-15

Many Chinese trading firms have been inflating their performance without the knowledge of the local banking system, Shanghai’s First Financial Daily has reported. The news comes in the wake of unusually high import and export data which was recorded during both March and April and prompted China’s State Administration of Foreign Exchange to issue a notice that it will enhance inspections of firms’ transactions and adjust policies for goods which leave the country. China’s bilateral trade with Hong Kong jumped 66% year over year for the first four months ending April 30. The mainland’s exports to Hong Kong grew 92.9% in March from the same period a year ago, which is the highest growth reported since March 1995. Many companies are found to have made up or adjusted their import data in order to receive foreign currency loans and increase their credit limit from local banks, the report said. Many banks in China offer currency clearing services for international firms as part of the central government’s policies to help domestic firms expand globally and to internationalize the renminbi. The special clearing service is a win-win for both the companies and the banks. The services generate certain revenue for trading firms, which helps them cut down on overall expenses, and also helps the banking sector earn service fees. Companies have to make a full down payment, which translates into sizable and virtually risk-free deposits for banks, said a risk manager at a bank in Shenzhen, who wished to remain anonymous due to the sensitive nature of the issue. The practice may result in the banks’ loose regulations on trading firms’ applications for the clearing service, he said. There is mounting speculation that the growing trading figures might be inflated by companies that routinely moved goods in and out of special trade zones to claim tax rebates. For the first four months ending April 30, exports from Guangdong province rose 35.6% from a year ago. Of that increase, Shenzhen’s share accounted for more than 90% of the growth due to the city’s special trade zones which allow for smoother processing for exports.

Trade between Hong Kong and Guangdong artificially skewed

Staff Reporter

2013-05-14

China’s total trade reached 6.12 trillion yuan (US$995 billion) in the first quarter of the year, marking year-on-year growth of 13.4%, after excluding the effects of foreign exchange. The country recorded an 8.4% increase in exports for the quarterly period ending March 31, the Guangzhou-based Southern Weekly reports. Read more of this post

Sham shampoo: China’s market for impersonal care products; A 400ml bottle passing itself off as Procter & Gamble’s Pert shampoo sells for 10 yuan (US$1.60) per bottle while the genuine article sells for US$5.30

Sham shampoo: China’s market for impersonal care products

Staff Reporter

2013-05-15

The market for personal care products is a breeding ground for knockoffs in China, with manufacturers cashing in on the low costs and high returns involved, reports Shanghai’s First Financial Daily.

Rural areas in Henan, Guizhou and Anhui provinces have become the epicenter for cheap imitations of personal care products. Mo Lei (pseudonym), an Anhui-based entrepreneur who primarily trades in counterfeit goods, said that there are knockoff factories everywhere in China and there are also wholesale markets that primarily deal with fakes.

A 400ml bottle passing itself off as Procter & Gamble’s Pert shampoo sells for 10 yuan (US$1.60) per bottle at local retailers, while the genuine article sells for 32.80 yuan (US$5.30) for the same amount. Read more of this post

Legend Holdings, which owns Lenovo Group, the world’s second-largest PC maker, is planting itself deeper into the agricultural sector with Joyvio Group

Legend puts down deeper roots in agribusiness

Staff Reporter

2013-05-15

Legend Holdings, which owns Lenovo Group, the world’s second-largest PC maker, is planting itself deeper into the agricultural sector with Joyvio Group, which specializes in investment in and operation of related businesses in the area of modern agribusiness, the Beijing-based The Economic Observer reports. By using satellite technology to manage its farms, Joyvio can immediately see the condition of its crops. It has installed GPS on its drug-injecting carts to monitor pesticide sprays. Read more of this post

Intel and ARM: New leaders, same battle

Intel and ARM: New leaders, same battle

By Michal Lev-Ram, writer May 14, 2013: 5:54 AM ET

Intel’s new CEO starts Thursday. Chipmaker ARM’s begins later this year. The only thing not changing? What they’re fighting for.

FORTUNE — Much has been made of the upcoming leadership transitions at chip rivals ARM (ARMH) and Intel (INTC). But it’s unlikely that the battle plan will change for either side. Both companies chose long-time insiders to take the helm—Intel COO Brian Krzanich will become CEO later this week, and ARM’s Simon Segars, currently the company’s president, takes over in July. So it’s hard to imagine sweeping changes in either camp. Besides, it’s not clear that ARM, which licenses its chip architecture to the likes of Qualcomm (QCOM) and Nvidia (NVDA), is in need of massive transformation. Though much smaller than Intel, the British chip designer isn’t dependent on the lackluster PC market. ARM-based chips power 95% of mobile phones, and the company is now trying to venture into new markets like lower-power serversFortunerecently caught up with Segars, ARM’s incoming CEO, to find out about his plans for the company, the rivalry with Intel and the state of Moore’s Law.

FORTUNE: You’re often viewed as head-to-head competitors with Intel, yet you have such a different model. Is it fair to constantly compare you to them?

Segars: Intel is a semiconductor company; we are not. Qualcomm, Samsung, Nvidia, Marvell, etc. are semiconductor companies. In the mobile device, the competition is between Intel and all those other guys. All those other guys use the ARM architecture and are dependent on us to keep that relevant. But at the business level it’s Intel competing against ARM’s customers. For our part we take that very seriously. It’s a competition for sockets among Intel and our licensees, and we can’t just sait there and say, “Sorry you lost that one.” Because if those sockets are lost, then it impacts our volumes and our royalties. So we need to be sure that we keep developing great microprocessor technology to help support our customers in creating products which deliver the best user experience.

Intel’s greatest asset is its fabs and manufacturing power. What’s yours?

I think it’s the partnership base. You can have great technology, but the best technology doesn’t always win out. For us it’s been the combination of great technology deployed through the business model that has made ARM successful, and it’s helped people build innovative devices at lower cost. I think the benefit of that has been greater diversity in the silicon that’s enabled greater diversity in the end product. It’s about enabling choice so that as a consumer you can go into a store and go, “I’ll have that one.” You’ve got a lot of choice there because there is money available through the supply chain for innovation to happen at different points, unlike PCs where two people have controlled it and the person that makes PCs runs on 2% profit margin and can’t afford to innovate in anything other than which shade of grey the plastic is. Read more of this post

Did some traders have advance knowledge of huge Sony revamp and make big money?

Published: Wednesday May 15, 2013 MYT 9:02:00 AM

Did some traders have advance knowledge of huge Sony revamp and make big money?

NEW YORK: A surge in option market bets on Sony Corp just before a large hedge fund investor announced a big stake and called for a major restructuring of the company has raised concerns that some traders may have had advance word of the news.

U.S.-listed shares of Sony Corp <6758.T> jumped 9.9 percent to close at $20.76 after Daniel Loeb’s Third Point hedge fund said on Tuesday it accumulated more than 6 percent of Sony’s shares – a stake worth $1.1 billion – making it the largest shareholder in Japan’s biggest electronics company.

But on Monday, the day before that announcement, trading volume in Sony options soared by more than seven times the average daily activity in the last three months. Volume in its stock rose to 6.1 million shares, more than doubling the average 2.7 million shares over the past 25 days. Read more of this post

Baba Is 35-Year-Old Billionaire With Zombie and Bear Apps

Baba Is 35-Year-Old Billionaire With Zombie and Bear Apps

Naruatsu Baba, the 35-year-old founder of Japanese smartphone game maker Colopl Inc. (3668), has become one of the youngest billionaires in the world as Colopl stock leaped sevenfold since its December initial share sale.

The Tokyo-based app maker produces games such as “Catastrophic Zombies” and “Kuma’s Digging Adventure.” Baba holds a 69 percent stake in the company valued at $2.2 billion, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. He has never appeared on an international wealth ranking.

Game app makers with hits in Japan have soared, contributing to an 86 percent advance in the JASDAQ Stock Index (JSDA) this year and minting billionaires in the world’s third-largest economy. Baba joins the ranks of GungHo Online Entertainment Inc. (3765) Chairman Taizo Son, whose bestseller “Puzzle & Dragons” generated first-quarter sales of $3.4 million a day. Son, the youngest brother of SoftBank Corp. (9984) President Masayoshi Son, is now worth $5.1 billion, up from $3.3 billion last week, according to the daily billionaires index.

“It’s a bubble market for mobile-game makers,” said Takashi Oka, an analyst at TIW Inc. in Tokyo, who rates Colopl stock “neutral plus.” “As a developer, president (Baba) probably developed games in the beginning, so with more developers it’s possible for the company to grow exponentially.” Read more of this post

How Can We Tell If ‘Abenomics’ Is Working?

How Can We Tell If ‘Abenomics’ Is Working?

Japan is in the midst of a grand experiment to revivify its economy through a three-pronged campaign of monetary easing, fiscal stimulus and structural reforms. The markets have noticed: The Nikkei stock index has gained more than 70 percent while the yen has become more than 22 percent cheaper relative to the dollar and the euro since mid-November. At the same time, the difference in yields between 5-year Japanese government bonds and their inflation-indexed equivalents has widened by more than a percentage point.

All of this has led some observers to declare that Japanese expectations about inflation and growth have been transformed, thereby leading to a resurgence of domestic spending, hiring and investment. It’s unclear, however, that this has actually happened.

Let’s start with the obvious: Wages, prices, retail sales and industrial production are all flat or falling. On the bright side, the earnings outlook for Japanese firms is much better than it was six months ago, both in absolute terms and relative to firms in other rich countries. Those forecasts, however, are predicated on the belief that the Japanese economy will live up to the hype. Read more of this post

Hipsters Flocking to Silicon Roundabout as Bankers Fade

Hipsters Flocking to Silicon Roundabout as Bankers Fade

Coffee houses hold a special place in London’s history. During the late 17th century, they were the birthplace of Lloyd’s of London and the London Stock Exchange — two institutions that helped make the square-mile City of London a global financial capital. Today, just north of where one of the City’s ancient gates once stood, the latest chapter in London’s economic history is being written in a new generation of coffeehouses, Bloomberg Markets will report in its June issue. At Shoreditch Grind on the Old Street roundabout, a gritty traffic circle, and at Ozone Coffee Roasters, a few blocks away, bearded young men and nose-ringed women huddle around laptops and discuss ideas for startup companies.

The surrounding offices, many of them in converted warehouses, are so crammed with technology startups — at least 300 — that the area has been dubbed, in mock seriousness, Silicon Roundabout. Increasingly, that nickname is losing its irony: Established technology players are moving in. Google Inc. (GOOG) recently opened Campus London, a kind of clubhouse for digital entrepreneurs, not far from the roundabout. Inside, techies hobnob in the bustling cafe and attend lectures and other free events; they can gain access to hot desks, printers and conference rooms operated by another company, TechHub, for a 375 pound ($560) annual fee. Springboard and Seedcamp Ltd., European tech incubators, rent space on two of Campus’s floors. Read more of this post

BMWs Cheaper Than Hyundais on Tariffs Imperil Korean Maker; “Customers who were loyal to the brand for over 20 years are breaking away. It shows that imported brands are now perceived as something accessible.”

BMWs Cheaper Than Hyundais on Tariffs Imperil Korean Maker: Cars

Lee Tack Young says Hyundai Motor Co. (005380)’s luxury vehicles are oversized, overpriced gas guzzlers. So he opted for a more modest alternative: a BMW 528i.

Foreign brands have seen their share of South Korea’s market for premium vehicles surge to 41 percent from 28 percent in the past two years, according to Korean industry groups, as lower tariffs make their cars cheaper and local buyers abandon a decades-long preference for domestic brands.

“I was looking for a quality car that wasn’t too big,” said Lee, president of Cosmetic Engineering, a packaging-machinery maker near Seoul. The 65-year-old’s last seven cars were all Korean, starting with a Hyundai Excel in the 1980s.

This time, he chose his 71 million won ($64,000) BMW over an 85 million won K9 from Hyundai affiliate Kia Motors Corp. (000270) “Unless Hyundai and Kia change and offer me more variety and better quality, I don’t see any reason to go back,” Lee said.

The shift has made South Korea a growth market for Bayerische Motoren Werke AG, Daimler AG (DAI)’s Mercedes-Benz, and Volkswagen AG (VOW)’s Audi. Their gains are coming at the expense of Seoul-based Hyundai and Kia, which count on sales of luxury vehicles in their home market for much of their earnings. Read more of this post

Chinese Suggestions for Improving Internet Disappear

Chinese Suggestions for Improving Internet Disappear

Chinese president Xi Jinping may claim to be interested in hearing the voice of his people, but it’s increasingly clear that this openness doesn’t always extend to people on the Internet.

On Sunday night, billionaire real-estate developer Pan Shiyi tweeted to his 15.3 million followers on Sina Weibo, China’s leading social-media platform: “Soon I might meet a top government Internet regulator,” he announced. “Anything you’d like me to pass along?” By 7:48 a.m. the next morning the tweet had been re-posted 3,455 times and generated 3,891 comments.

Few things irritate Chinese netizens as much as how their government acts on the Internet: blocking access to many foreign websites, censoring content and comments on Chinese websites and directing paid commentators to promote the government’s viewpoint. Over the past few days, the accounts of at least three prominent microbloggers were deleted, and one suspended, including accounts that belonged to Murong Xuecun, the pen name of Hao Qun, a novelist with 1.85 million followers on his Sina Weibo account when it was yanked. Read more of this post

China Corporate Debt to Overtake U.S. Within Two Years, S&P Says; China will need more than $8 trillion for refinancing during the five years, accounting for half of such needs in the Asia-Pacific region

China Corporate Debt to Overtake U.S. Within Two Years, S&P Says

Chinese corporate borrowing will probably exceed that of U.S. companies within the next two years, according to Standard & Poor’s.

Non-financial institutions from the world’s second-largest economy will need $18 trillion of debt during the five years ending 2017, the ratings company said in a report yesterday. That’s 34 percent of the $53 trillion in bonds and loans S&P estimates will be sought globally and compares with $13 trillion forecast for U.S. companies.

Chinese and Hong Kong borrowers sold $41.2 billion of U.S. dollar-denominated bonds since December, the busiest start to a year on record, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Cnooc Ltd. (883), the nation’s biggest offshore energy explorer, raised $4 billion this month with the largest offering out of Asia in a decade, as it looks to replace part of a loan used to acquire Canada’s Nexen Inc.

“High levels of investment, primarily in manufacturing, real estate, and infrastructure, have supported the country’s strong economic growth rate, particularly over the past five years – and credit is fueling this investment,” S&P said in the report. “While China is now on a lower growth trajectory than in the prior decade, the trajectory is still very high by global standards.”

China’s economic expansion unexpectedly slowed to 7.7 percent last quarter from a year earlier, losing momentum from the 7.9 percent expansion in the previous three months, according to the statistics bureau. Read more of this post

What You’re Really Meant to Do: A Road Map for Reaching Your Unique Potential

What You’re Really Meant to Do: A Road Map for Reaching Your Unique Potential [Hardcover]

Robert Steven Kaplan (Author)

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Publication Date: May 7, 2013

How do you create your own definition of success—and reach your unique potential?

Building a fulfilling life and career can be a daunting challenge. It takes courage and hard work. Too often, we charge down a path leading to “success” as defined by those around us—and ultimately, are left feeling dissatisfied.

Each of us is unique and brings distinctive skills and qualities to any situation. So why is it that most of us fail to spend sufficient time learning to understand ourselves and creating our own definition of success? The truth is, it can seem so natural and so much easier to just do what everyone else is doing—for now—leaving it for later to develop our best selves and figure out our own unique path. Is there a road map that will enable you to defy conventional wisdom, resist peer pressure, and carve out a path that fits your unique skills and passions?

Harvard Business School’s Robert Steven Kaplan, leadership expert and author of the highly successful book What to Ask the Person in the Mirror, regularly advises executives and students on how to tackle these questions. In this indispensable new book, Kaplan shares a specific and actionable approach to defining your own success and reaching your potential. Drawing on his years of experience, Kaplan proposes an integrated plan for identifying and achieving your goals. He outlines specific steps and exercises to help you understand yourself more deeply, take control of your career, and build your capabilities in a way that fits your passions and aspirations.

Are you doing what you’re really meant to do? If you’re ready to face this question, this book can help you change your life. Read more of this post

Designing the Corporate Center: How to Turn Strategy into Structure

Designing the Corporate Center: How to Turn Strategy into Structure

by Fabrice Roghé, Ulrich Pidun, Sebastian Stange, and Matthias Krühler

MAY 13, 2013

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If there is one overriding imperative for CEOs, it is to add value to the portfolio of businesses so that the whole is worth more than the sum of its parts. Such value creation requires steering by the corporate center—whether across businesses, across regions, or across functions. But whatever form that steering takes, the corporate center must not only choose its optimal parenting strategy but also design an organization that translates that strategy’s value-creation logic into practice. Many CEOs, however, struggle to translate strategic logic into action, and as a result, many corporate centers still fall short of their full value-creation potential. The pressure to improve the center’s value creation is unrelenting and comes from all quarters. The capital market demands constant value creation and is quick to penalize corporate shares—and CEOs—if they fail to deliver. Analysts and shareholders pay close attention to valuation discounts. They are also quick to sound the alarm when overhead cost controls appear to be weakening. They compare the corporation against competitors that demonstrate excellence and ask why the corporation can’t keep up. Just as intense are the internal demands for constant value creation. Boards look for quick results from mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and press for corporate strategies that add value to the combined enterprise. Business units complain that the center insists that they engage in activities that impose costs and operating constraints without seeming to provide offsetting benefits. In the worst cases, these conflicts can paralyze the whole organization. In their own ways, the markets, boards, and business units are all asking the same urgent question: What is the corporate parent doing to add value to the business units? It is no longer sufficient to assemble a corporate portfolio of good businesses. Corporate stakeholders have shifted their focus from the specific competitive advantages of individual units—such as market share, technology, or brands—to the competitive advantage at the corporate level; that is, to the parenting advantage. Effective parenting strategies add value in many different ways. Some promote excellence in key business functions through clear guidelines; some share competencies among business units. Others improve decision quality, attract game-changing talent, or build a high-performance culture in each unit. Read more of this post

In Asia, private-equity firms are cashing out of the Asian companies they own by adding debt to those businesses

May 14, 2013

In Asia, Private-Equity Buyers Borrow to Cash Out

By Fiona Law

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Some private-equity firms are cashing out of the Asian companies they own by adding debt to those businesses. The fact that borrowers can raise cheap funds and use the cash to pay dividends to shareholders is more proof that debt markets in Asia are booming. But by leaving the companies with more borrowings and less cash, the tactic also makes the debt riskier for investors who buy it. In a recent example, school operator Nord Anglia Education raised $475 million through two bonds sold this year and last year. One-third of the first $325 million issue was used to repay a loan to Baring Private Equity Asia, which owns the company. The second $150 million issue was used to finance Baring’s and Nord Anglia’s purchase of WCL Group Ltd., which runs international schools in the U.S., Spain and Qatar. In such deals, known as dividend recapitalizations, private-equity-owned companies raise cash by issuing debt. Part, or all, of the proceeds are distributed in the form of dividends to buyout groups. Bond buyers usually prefer that companies use funds raised by borrowing for projects that will generate cash, or to pay down existing debt.

Read more of this post

China’s Premier Li Keqiang said the economy is facing downwards pressure but warned that there is little room for stimulus or official investment to take up the slack

TUESDAY, MAY 14, 2013 – 19:26

China’s Li Warns Econ Under Pressure; Little Room For Stimulus

BEIJING (MNI) – China’s Premier Li Keqiang said the economy is facing downwards pressure but warned that there is little room for stimulus or official investment to take up the slack. He said the economic situation remains “complicated” and said market forces will be needed to support growth. Li’s comments were posted in a statement about reforming the structure of the State Council on the government’s main website late Tuesday.

Li Signals Reluctance on Stimulus to Boost China Growth

Chinese Premier Li Keqiang signaled policy makers are reluctant to use stimulus to counter a slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy because the risks outweigh the benefits. “To achieve this year’s targets, the room to rely on stimulus policies or government direct investment is not big — we must rely on market mechanisms,” Li said in a May 13 speech broadcast to officials around the country, according to a transcript published last night on the central government’s website. Relying on government-led investment for growth “is not only difficult to sustain but also creates new problems and risks,” he said.

The comments indicate China may be unlikely to boost government spending or follow central banks across Asia in cutting interest rates as Li tries to pare the state’s role in the economy. Bank of America Corp. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. this week lowered 2013 growth estimates to 7.6 percent after April industrial production and investment trailed forecasts. Read more of this post

Urban rail transit projects across China costing 800 billion yuan are going to weigh heavily on the already high level of local government debt.

More debt trouble is rolling along rails
Wednesday, May 15, 2013
Urban rail transit projects across the mainland costing 800 billion yuan (HK$1.01 trillion) are going to weigh heavily on the already high level of local government debt. The warning about funding challenges presented by subway projects in 24 cities is from the state’s China Economic Weekly. It follows on from US-based Fitch Ratings last month cutting China’s long-term local-currency debt rating, citing rising risks to financial stability given a lack of transparency in the increased borrowing of local governments. It estimated this debt was 12.85 trillion yuan at the end of 2012. On the rail projects, the fear is that 24 cities simply lack the means to pay for the schemes. Guo Tianyong, a professor at the Central University of Finance and Economies in Beijing, pointed to the projects as making the local debt crisis more acute. New projects on the move include Harbin, Changsha, Ningbo and Zhengzhou laying 387 kilometers of track, and eight cities are extending existing networks. Guangzhou Metro Corp executive Ye Zichuan said most subway operators can expect to see greater losses this year. CATHY WU