Amgen’s Onyx Takeover Is Symptom of Deeper Pharma Sickness

Amgen’s Onyx Takeover Is Symptom of Deeper Pharma Sickness

By Megan McArdle  Aug 26, 2013

Amgen, the world’s biggest biotechnology company, is spending $10.4 billion to buy Onyx Pharmaceuticals, it announced on Sunday. Derek Lowe sums up the industry insider take: Amgen isn’t buying Onyx for their research staff, or any of their people at all. As that Bloomberg story linked to above has it, “Amgen to Buy Onyx for $10.4 Billion to Gain Cancer Drug”.That’s Kyprolis (carfilzomib), their proteasome inhibitor, and that’s all they need from Onyx, who bought the compound anyway when they acquired Proteolix a few years ago. So since I don’t want to be a downer either, especially on Monday morning, I’d be interested to see if anyone can make another case…

I’d add that this represents two trends in pharma these days: endless agglomeration and oncophilia.

The serial mergers, like this one, are meant to plug holes in research pipelines. They do that — but you can also make a plausible argument that the resulting megafirms have lower research productivity than multiple smaller firms, because mergers are traumatic, and you end up with so many layers of management between the chief executive officer and the research bench.

The other trend is piling into cancer drugs, because you can charge a lot of money for modest results. For example, Kyprolis was approved because slightly fewer than 25 percent of the refractory multiple myeloma patients who received it had at least a partial response to the drug; the median duration of that response was just under 8 months. It costs $10,000 a month.

Higher cost doesn’t necessarily mean you make more money. Lipitor is one of the biggest blockbuster drugs in history, even though a month’s dose went for a tiny fraction of Kyprolis’s cost, because millions and millions of people took it. The problem for a statin developer now is twofold: millions of people are taking Lipitor (or Crestor, or another statin), so your new product faces stiff competition, and regulators will demand to see better efficacy, or side effects, or dosing schedules, than whatever is already on the market. On the other hand, we don’t have very good treatments for cancer, so your drug that produces modest improvement has a much better chance of getting approved — and purchased.

The merger, then, may be good news for Amgen. But what it tells us about the state of drug development is not happy.

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Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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