BlackBerry Investor Prem Watsa Famous for Making Contrarian Bets; The Head of Canadian Firm Fairfax Financial Is Often Compared to Warren Buffett

September 23, 2013, 7:30 p.m. ET

BlackBerry Investor Prem Watsa Famous for Making Contrarian Bets

The Head of Canadian Firm Fairfax Financial Is Often Compared to Warren Buffett

BEN DUMMETT and PAUL VIEIRA

blackberryriseandfall

The Canadian investor leading an effort to take BlackBerry Ltd. BBRY -2.38% private is famous for making big contrarian bets that often work out. Prem Watsa, who runs Toronto-based insurance firm Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd.FFH.T +0.49% and until last month served on BlackBerry’s board, is often compared with U.S. investment guru Warren Buffett. Mr. Watsa has over the years focused on beaten-up stocks—including at times, his own—and has long explained his choices in plainly written annual reports that are closely followed by many investors.BlackBerry could prove to be the most challenging investment yet for Indian-born Mr. Watsa, 63 years old. After joining the board in January 2012, Mr. Watsa publicly stood behind Chief Executive Thorsten Heins‘ attempts to turn around BlackBerry’s operations in the face of mounting competition from the likes of Apple Inc. and Samsung Electronics Co.

But BlackBerry has left a trail of disappointments, including the two new devices it staked its resurgence on. The devices didn’t take off, and last Friday, it said it would write down nearly $1 billion in unsold phone inventory this quarter.

Mr. Watsa’s approach to BlackBerry is far from a done deal. The letter of intent remains subject to several conditions, including due diligence.

It also comes at a time when Mr. Watsa has so far incurred a big paper loss on his BlackBerry investment. Earlier this year, he disclosed that he paid an average of $17 a share for his 10% stake, almost double the $9 a share the letter of intent contemplates.

Mr. Watsa’s rise as a major investor started in 1985 when he reorganized an ailing trucking-insurance firm, renaming the company Fairfax, short for “fair and friendly acquisitions,” and used it to acquire other troubled property-and-casualty insurers.

In 2003, the company struggled with surging claims costs from the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attack, natural disasters and debt accumulated from acquisitions made in the late 1990s. Fairfax’s stock tanked, but Mr. Watsa regrouped and ultimately restored the firm to good health.

His star rose again near the end of the last decade, as he bet against rising U.S. housing prices. Fairfax generated more than $2 billion in gains by acquiring credit-default swaps between 2003 and 2007 and then selling the protection to financial institutions seeking safety from the collapse of the subprime mortgage market in the U.S.

The success of a Fairfax-led consortium to acquire BlackBerry would remove a potential headache for the Canadian government, which might find itself under pressure to intervene if a foreigner makes a bid for what was once a national tech icon.

Even though BlackBerry’s woes are well documented, its success over the years was held up in this country as a sign of Canadian innovation and entrepreneurship. Over a year ago, Prime Minister Stephen Harper warned his Conservative government might not look too kindly on a foreign takeover of BlackBerry, as losing access to such a “critical technology” wouldn’t necessarily serve Canada’s best interests.

Unknown's avatarAbout bambooinnovator
Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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