Korea’s total debt to GDP ratio hit a record high to 289.2% in 2Q, with debt growing much faster than economic output

2013-09-23 16:11

Debt-to-GDP ratio hits record high

By Kim Rahn
The nation’s total debt to gross domestic product (GDP) ratio hit a record high in the second quarters of this year, with debt growing much faster than economic output.
Data from the Bank of Korea showed Sunday that combined debt held by households, companies and the government was 3.74 quadrillion won ($3.45 trillion) as of the end of June. This is 289.8 percent of GDP for the last one year, larger than the previous record during the height of the global financial crisis of 285.2 percent in the second quarter of 2009.
The debt to GDP ratio was around 220 percent in 2003. But it rose to 236.5 percent at the end of 2006, to 245.9 percent in 2007 and 273.7 percent in 2008.Debt held by central and local governments was 135.3 trillion won in the second quarter of 2003, but almost quadrupled over the last decade to 517.9 trillion won.
That at non-financial companies also jumped from 975.3 trillion won to 2.04 quadrillion during the same period, while debt at households and non-profit organizations more than doubled from 540.3 trillion won to 1.18 quadrillion won.
During the same period, however, GDP increased by only 1.74-fold, from 742.1 trillion won to 1.29 quadrillion won.
“It is worrisome that debt is growing in all sectors while the economy is losing vitality, with dull consumption and investment,” Lim Hee-jung, a researcher at Hyundai Research Institute, said.
“The government should make efforts to recover vitality and growth, as well as to improve the financial healthiness of all economic players,” he said.
Especially household debt has emerged as a serious issue, as households excessively borrowed money from banks to buy houses when the housing market was booming in the mid-2000s but the market has  since plunged and has not been recovering. High debt has been cited as one of causes for low domestic demand and economic growth.
Samsung Securities economist Lee Seung-hoon said households used to borrow money to invest in houses before the global financial crisis, but have borrowed for living costs or rent after the crisis as people have less disposable income.
“The chance for household debt to become a threat to the whole financial system is limited. But the nation will have to keep checking risk factors,” Lee said.

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Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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