India’s Emu Ranching Bubble Bursts, With a Grim Aftermath; The collapse of India’s emu business has reduced the size of the country’s flock from 2 million to 800,000

India’s Emu Ranching Bubble Bursts, With a Grim Aftermath

By Bruce Einhorn and Ganesh Nagarajan September 26, 2013

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In India’s countryside, where poor farmers must cope with droughts, floods, and other disasters, there’s a new scourge: the collapse of emu ranching. Native to Australia, the emu is a large, flightless bird that somewhat resembles its African cousin, the ostrich, and tastes (fans say) like beef. Farmers in Australia, the U.S., and other countries raise emus for their meat, eggs, and oil (rendered from their fat). About five years ago, Indian farmers started seeing these Australian fowl as their ticket to riches. The fad quickly spread across the country, as farmers “just did whatever the neighbors said,” says Vinay Sharma, a former banker in New Jersey with Merrill Lynch who now raises emus in Gujarat. Overcapacity—the bird population peaked at about 2 million in 2012—has led some to abandon their emus in the wild. “People are feeling this business is not doing well,” he says.Farmers are giving up because the economics quickly stopped making sense. In 2008, 1 kilogram of feed cost 9 rupees. With so many farmers rushing into the business, feed costs had nearly tripled by 2011. As the emu population mushroomed, the price of emu meat fell about 25 percent to between 250 rupees and 350 rupees per kilo. “There was a sudden explosion in the number of people entering this business, and there was an oversupply in the market,” says Purshotam Rao, a farmer in the southern state of Andhra Pradesh who is vice president of the Emu Farmers Welfare Association. For many hard-pressed farmers, killing the birds is the only option, he adds. “I have six emus,” Rao says, “and no one wants to purchase them.”

The emu bubble burst in part because of a highly publicized scandal in the southern state of Tamil Nadu. A local entrepreneur accepted deposits from thousands of investors to bankroll emu farming, promising returns as high as 76 percent. Early investors did get paid, but as the emu glut worsened and investors’ suspicions mounted, the payments stopped.

The state government arrested about 70 people and seized more than 12,000 birds. In January, Tamil Nadu auctioned off the confiscated emus at fire-sale prices, further depressing the market nationwide. A bird that would have fetched 12,000 rupees at the peak of the market sold for just 700 rupees. “People were lured into the emu business with schemes and promises that their investments would double in three to six months,” says Sami Tambatkar, a farmer in Maharashtra, near Mumbai, who had 1,700 birds but started pulling out of the business in 2011. “There is no business because of a few greedy men.”

Half of India’s 5,000 emu farmers have left the business. Only 800,000 birds are left in India, and even that population “will not be sustainable now,” says Surinder Kumar Maini, joint secretary of the farmers association. By January, he says, the number will be down to 350,000.

The picture isn’t completely grim. Sharma, the former banker, says his company, TallBird Emu and Agriculture, is doing well. TallBird has 20 employees, and Sharma expects sales to increase by 50 percent this year, to almost $1 million, and grow to $1.5 million in 2014. In October he plans on opening a plant to process emu oil, which is popular as a moisturizer and treatment for allergies and migraines.

Sharma says a shakeout that leaves emu ranching dominated by larger farms that are better able to invest is what the industry needs. “India should have around 100 farms with at least 1,000 birds in each,” he says.

The bottom line: The collapse of India’s emu business has reduced the size of the country’s flock from 2 million to 800,000.

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Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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