Disclosing Adverse Earnings News and Litigation: The Importance of Large Market Declines
February 26, 2014 Leave a comment
Disclosing Adverse Earnings News and Litigation: The Importance of Large Market Declines
Dain C. Donelson
University of Texas at Austin – McCombs School of Business
Justin Hopkins
University of Virginia – Darden Graduate School of Business Administration
January 27, 2014
Darden Business School Working Paper No. 2386099
Abstract:
This study examines the legal consequences of disclosing adverse news after hours or disclosing during large market declines. The probability of litigation rises to 0.28% (from 0.16%), and settlements increase 50% over the median (by $1.7 million) when disclosure occurs during a large market decline. Disclosures issued after hours are also more likely to trigger litigation (0.36% versus 0.17%), but this is because managers disclose more adverse news during this period. In supplemental tests, we find no evidence that the timing of firm disclosures affects dismissals, or that managers delay disclosures to avoid days with large market declines. The latter result could be attributable to managers not recognizing the legal consequences to disclosing adverse news on a day where the market declines significantly because legal standards suggest that broader market forces should have no bearing on the outcome of securities litigation.
