THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 6, 2014
Jeremy Grantham on Tesla, Fertilizer Wars
By JEREMY GRANTHAM | MORE ARTICLES BY AUTHOR
GMO’s famed investor also discusses peak oil and fracking. Plus, investing lessons learned over 47 years.
Fossil Fuels: Is Tesla a Tease or a Triumph?
In an earlier report, “The Race of Our Lives,” I finished on the unusually optimistic point (for me) that a combination of declining fertility and eventual declining population combined with unexpectedly strong progress in renewable energy might just save our modern civilization from a slow and, no doubt, irregular descent into dystopia. More recently, while still believing we are in this critical race, I have become increasingly impressed with the potential for a revolution in energy, which will make it extremely unlikely that a lack of energy will be the issue that brings us to our knees. Even in the expected event that there are no important breakthroughs in the cost of nuclear power, the potential for alternative energy sources, mainly solar and wind power, to completely replace coal and gas for utility generation globally is, I think, certain. The question is only whether it takes 30 years or 70 years. That we will replace oil for land transportation with electricity or fuel cells derived indirectly from electricity is also certain, and there, perhaps, the timing question is whether this will take 20 or 40 years. To my eyes, the progress in these areas is accelerating rapidly and will surprise almost everybody, I hope including me. Read more of this post
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