Li Ka-shing plays waiting game in China’s property market

Li Ka-shing plays waiting game in China’s property market

Staff Reporter

2014-03-05

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Li Ka-shing attends a press conference announcing Hutchison Whampoa’s annual financial report in Hong Kong, Feb. 28. (Photo/Xinhua)

Hong Kong tycoon Li Ka-shing, Asia’s richest man, recently expressed a more positive outlook for China’s property market, saying that the outlook is promising in the long-term based on Chinese buying habits, although current property prices remain too high, reports the Shanghai-based China Business News.

After booming growth in both volume and prices in 2013, China’s property market has approached a crossroads this year. Many observers believe Li’s comments can help stabilize the market, but more can be gleaned from his remarks, the paper said.

“The long-term outlook is good. If prices are reasonable,” according to Li. This indicates that the tycoon still considers the mainland’s property market a risk, but because Chinese tend to buy properties when they have excess money, the market is unlikely to collapse due to stable demand.

His recent comments suggest Li is playing a waiting game and he will return to the market when property prices fall to a reasonable level, the paper said.

Li sold an number of properties last year, prompting speculation that he was dumping his assets in Hong Kong and China to invest elsewhere. In an interview with Guangzhou’s Southern Metropolis Daily, Li explained the sales by saying “buying low and selling high has always been normal commercial behavior.”

Looking back over the past three years, the mainland’s property market hit bottom from the second half of 2011 until the first half of 2012 and then began to rebound. Wang Shi, chairman of leading Chinese property developer Vanke, said that Li began to retreat from the market in September 2013, selling properties in Beijing and Shanghai, which was a warning signal.

Wang said that the continuous rise in property prices in first-tier and second-tier cities is unsustainable and is similar to Japan’s extremely high property prices in the 1980s. “But Japan’s bubble burst. Remember the lesson,” he said.

Wang added that successful businesspeople always choose to sell properties when they are close to their peak.

 

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Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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