• The weekly insight is a teaser into the opportunities – and pitfalls! – in the Asian capital jungles.
• §  Get The Moat Report Asia – a monthly in-depth presentation report of around 30-40 pages covering the business model of the company, why it has a wide moat and why the moat may continue to widen, a special section on “Inside the Leader’s Mind” to understand their thinking process in building up the business, the context – why now (certain corporate or industry events or groundbreaking news), valuations (why it can compound 2-3x in the next 5 years), potential risks and how it is part of the systematic process in the Bamboo Innovator Index of 200+ companies out of 15,000+ in the Asia ex-Japan universe.
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This was the hissing sound made by Computer Associates’ Chairman and CEO Sanjay Kumar before he was later sentenced to 12 years in prison for his role in the $2.2 billion accounting fraud. The accounting disclosure of words — the level of disclosure (how much you say), its tone (what do you mean), and its transparency (how you say it) — can be an additional helpful tool for investors and regulators to ferret out the Asian Snake engaging opportunistically in accounting fraud.

As Buffett puts it wisely: “Under any rules, if the CEO, wants to obfuscate, they can do that; and if they want to make it clear, they can do that. If they want to provide you with fluff, they can do that. If they want to provide you with substance, they can do that. The CEO will look at any rules through his own particular glasses, and either look at them as a way to give his shareholders more information, or to do some kind of tap dance number.”

Despite the approximately 50/50 mix in preparing financial disclosures, the overwhelming focus is on accounting numbers. Significantly less time is spent looking at the context or the communication of these numbers. Opportunities are thus presented for investors and regulators to analyze not only the text of the Annual Report, Management Discussion & Analysis (MD&A) sections and IPO prospectuses, but also press releases, conference calls, and management interviews, etc. Investors may scrutinize the content for truthful revelation or opportunistic structuring of language in these situations by managers intent on hiding adverse information from investors. We will be examining and applying textual and unstructured data analysis tools – such as the FOG Index, the Narcissism Index, Tone Management, the 4Cs (Candor, Context, Complexity/ Confusion, Contradictions/ (in)Consistencies) etc – in different real-world western and Asian cases, including understanding their limitations.

Week 1 – Survival in the Asian Capital Jungle: Who Knows What When? (108 slides)

Week 2 – Western Tools to Catch An Asian Snake? (111 slides)

Week 3 – The Incentivized Asian “Wedge” Snake to Tunnel Corporate Wealth (revised to 105 slides from 86 slides)

Week 4-5 – Shedding of the Asian Snake’s Skin, The Opportunistic Tunneling of Corporate Wealth (157 slides)

Week 6 – Descend into the Asian Snake’s Lair, Occult Offshore Centers, Tax-Tunneling, and Consolidation Craftiness (89 slides)

Week 7-9 – The Asian Snake Charmer and Stock Manipulation Scheme  (112 slides)

Week 10 – The Accounting of Words & The Hiss of the Asian Snake (57 slides)

Warm regards,

KB

The Moat Report Asia

www.moatreport.com

http://accountancy.smu.edu.sg/faculty/profile/108141/KEE-Koon-Boon

A new monthly issue of The Moat Report Asia is now available!

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