Beware of ‘Bargain’ Stocks; Why a Low Share Price Alone Doesn’t Make for a Good Value

May 24, 2013, 6:14 p.m. ET

Beware of ‘Bargain’ Stocks

Why a Low Share Price Alone Doesn’t Make for a Good Value

By LIAM PLEVEN

Bargain hunters shopping for underpriced U.S. stocks in the ongoing rally could end up with less than they bargained for. The pool of large-company stocks with prices that are lower than they were at the end of 2012 is getting perilously small. All but 40 of the stocks in the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index are up so far this year. Just 35 others are up by less than 5%. The S&P 500 has jumped 16%, not including dividends, so far this year. U.S. stocks held firm Thursday despite a 7.3% drop in Japan, though the S&P lost 1.1% for the week. That so few stocks are in the red so far this year suggests the stragglers are unlikely to catch up to the overall market soon, experts say. For investors, that makes the discount bin a potentially risky place to buy. “I don’t believe the laggards are going to arise from the dead any time soon,” says Kim Forrest, a senior equity analyst at Fort Pitt Capital Group in Pittsburgh, which manages about $1.3 billion. Value investors like Ms. Forrest hunt for stocks of companies that are underappreciated and undervalued. It is an approach championed by Warren Buffettand many other bargain hunters. But a low share price isn’t the same thing as a good value, particularly if the weakness reflects some fundamental problem facing a company or its industry. Read more of this post

China’s consumers look for alternatives for their savings and their smartphones, at the expense of state firms

Updated May 24, 2013, 7:03 p.m. ET

China’s Consumers Fight Back, Explore Options

By TOM ORLIK And PAUL MOZUR

BEIJING—On a freezing winter evening, Philip Chow jumped a long taxi line at Beijing’s airport by using an app on his smartphone that signaled to drivers he would pay a tip for a quick pickup. The app, called Didi Dache—Honk Honk, Catch a Cab—is among the latest examples of a new force sweeping China: consumer power. Chinese households are signaling impatience with government controls that cut against their interests. They have started to win important victories, not just finding ways around artificially low fare levels that reduce the number of taxis on Beijing’s streets, but also alternatives to high cellphone costs by state-run telecom firms and low interest on their savings in state-run banks. Read more of this post

Guns and sugar: More governments are insisting that weapons-sellers invest in side deals to help them develop their industries. This is a bad idea

Guns and sugar: More governments are insisting that weapons-sellers invest in side deals to help them develop their industries. This is a bad idea

May 25th 2013 | NEW YORK |From the print edition

IMAGINE that Apple could sell iPhones in Brazil only if it ploughed 20% of its projected revenues there into local technology firms. That may sound absurd, but this is what happens when governments buy arms from foreign contractors. In procurement it is standard to supplement the main deal with a side contract, usually undisclosed, that outlines additional investments that the winning bidder must make in local projects or else pay a penalty. Welcome to the murky world of “offsets”.

The practice came of age in the 1950s, when Dwight Eisenhower forced West Germany to buy American-made defence gear to compensate for the costs of stationing troops in Europe. Since then it has grown steadily and is now accepted practice in 120 countries. It has its own industry newsletter and feeds a lively conference circuit. The latest jamboree, hosted by the Global Offset and Countertrade Association, was held this week in Florida. Defence executives, officials and middlemen gathered there amid forecasts that the industry could double in size over the next few years. Yet its very structure serves to mask a build-up in the unrecognised financial liabilities of companies. It also, critics argue, fosters corruption, especially in poorer parts of the world. Read more of this post

China’s SOEs face poor profit prospects

China’s SOEs face poor profit prospects

English.news.cn   2013-05-24

BEIJING, May 24 (Xinhua) — With China’s state-owned enterprises (SOEs) posting growth of just 5.3 percent from January to April this year, prospects for the SOEs’ profitability in 2013 remain poor, analysts said. The SOEs saw their total profit growth slow to 5.3 percent year on year to reach 689.13 billion yuan (111.32 billion U.S. dollars) in the first four months, according to the Ministry of Finance (MOF). The growth rate was lower than the 7.7-percent increase recorded for the first quarter and average growth of 5.8 percent in 2012, official data showed. The SOEs lost their position as the country’s most profitable sector in 2012, when China COSCO Holdings Co., the country’s largest shipping company, lost 9.56 billion yuan after a deficit of 10.45 billion yuan for 2011. Read more of this post

Phil Mathews, the Sydney-based hedge fund manager of Sabre Fund nominated by Barron’s as the best performing manager in the world, is under investigation by the corporate watchdog ASIC

Hedge fund manager under investigation by ASIC

PUBLISHED: 16 HOURS 9 MINUTES AGO | UPDATE: 4 HOURS 47 MINUTES AGO

Exclusive | Reclusive hedge fund manager Phil Mathews, who made his fortune punting on speculative energy stocks, is under commercial pressure and his trading practices are being investigated by the corporate watchdog.

Phil Mathews’ $1 billion oil win

Alan Kohler10 Jun 2008, 7:35 AM1

Phil Mathews, the Sydney-based fund manager nominated by Barron’s as the best performing manager in the world, seems to have made a billion dollars in May alone from oil futures. It looks like he is now personally worth as much as $2 billion as a result of his incredible oil bet. That would make him Australia’s 13th richest person, just ahead of Lang Walker and behind John Gandel, except the BRW rich list editors haven’t discovered him yet. His Sabre Fund ended April with $906 million; it is now worth around $2 billion. He has told me that the three funds he manages are now worth around $3 billion. About two-thirds of the money in the funds is believed to be in his name. Read more of this post

With almost two-thirds of Australia’s top 100 companies listed on the stock exchange have subsidiaries in tax havens or low-tax jurisdictions, there are fears the structures are being used to minimise tax

Island allure: The tax secrets of big business

May 25, 2013

Georgia Wilkins and Ben Butler

With many of Australia’s largest companies owning offshore subsidiaries in exotic locations, there are fears the structures are being used to minimise tax. ‘The rules… were developed for the industrial age’ said Assistant Treasurer David Bradbury. Very few Australians will have heard of Burdekin Investments, one of the thousands of low-profile post-box companies that makes its home at Ugland House, a resort-style office building in George Town, the capital of Caribbean tax haven the Cayman Islands. It keeps a much lower profile than its parent, Australia’s biggest company, Commonwealth Bank, whose logo is proudly borne by the group’s branches on shopping strips across the country. But thanks to tax authorities and governments desperate to plug budget gaps, tax-haven companies such as Burdekin are getting more attention. There have already been investigations into the tax paid by technology multinationals in Britain and Australia, and this week the US followed suit, with the powerful Senate permanent subcommittee on investigations inquiring into the tax affairs of Apple.

Read more of this post

Newstapa, also known as the Korea Center for Investigative Journalism (KCIJ), is at the center of a storm of controversy after it published the first list of 245 Koreans who own offshore front companies

2013-05-23 17:07

‘Newstapa’ rocks nation

By Kang Hyun-kyung

Newstapa, also known as the Korea Center for Investigative Journalism (KCIJ), is at the center of a storm of controversy after it published the first list of Koreans who own offshore front companies.

The independent Internet news provider is the only Korean media outlet which is part of the global project, “Secrecy for Sale: Inside the Global Offshore Money Maze,” spearheaded by the International Consortium for Investigative Journalism (ICIJ). Read more of this post

China Plans to Reduce the State’s Role in the Economy? Prime minister Li Keqiang’s speech to party cadres contains some of the boldest pro-market rhetoric they have heard in more than a decade

May 24, 2013

China Plans to Reduce the State’s Role in the Economy

By DAVID BARBOZA and CHRIS BUCKLEY

SHANGHAI — The Chinese government is planning for private businesses and market forces to play a larger role in its economy, in a major policy shift intended to improve living conditions for the middle class and to make China an even stronger competitor on the global stage.

In a speech to party cadres containing some of the boldest pro-market rhetoric they have heard in more than a decade, the country’s new prime minister, Li Keqiang, said this month that the central government would reduce the state’s role in economic matters in the hope of unleashing the creative energies of a nation with the world’s second-largest economy after that of the United States. Read more of this post

Myanmar’s currency has plunged more than 7% over the past month to the lowest since it was floated last year, raising concern about economic stability in Asia’s newest democracy

Saturday May 25, 2013

Kyat slumps as imports flood into Myanmar

YANGON: Myanmar’s currency has plunged more than 7% over the past month to the lowest since it was floated last year, raising concern about economic stability in Asia’s newest democracy.

The drop coincides with a construction boom in Myanmar’s commercial capital, Yangon, which is fuelling demand for dollars as builders import equipment and materials, part of a scramble by investors to tap one of the world’s last frontier markets after an easing of sanctions by Western countries.

Money changers such as Kyaw Naing say people are hoarding dollars, expecting further rises, in the first major bout of currency speculation since Myanmar emerged from military rule in March 2011 and introduced political and economic reforms. Read more of this post

“English Bay shouldn’t become a parking lot for supertankers”; Crude Landlocked as Canadians Join U.S. to Halt Pipelines

Crude Landlocked as Canadians Join U.S. to Halt Pipelines

British Columbia, the Canadian province whose official slogan to its own beauty is “Super, Natural,” is invoking another saying: “No more supertankers.”

That’s potentially big trouble in a nation where oil exports amount to $73 billion annually and the industry employs more than 550,000 workers. It’s also a bad omen for nations, notably China, that have invested billions in Canadian oil projects with expectations that they will one day be able to buy vast quantities of heavy Canadian crude.

To do that means not just pumping it from the vast tar sands — thought to hold as many as 170 billion barrels — lying mainly to the east in the neighboring province of Alberta. It also means building pipelines to carry that heavy oil, known as bitumen, west to the coast. From there, fleets of supertankers will be needed to ship it across the Pacific to Asian markets that desperately want cheap oil. Read more of this post

Olive Oil Displaces Debt at Heart of European Bottleneck

Olive Oil Displaces Debt at Heart of European Bottleneck

It had the same ingredients as Europe’s debt-crisis drama: a battle between north and south, British defiance, media jeering, and murky decision-making starring a cast of unidentified technocrats.

The conflict was put to rest yesterday: the European Union decreed that restaurants in its 27-nation market can continue to put refillable olive-oil bottles on tables, dropping a ban that was scheduled to take effect in 2014.

A week after a little-known committee endorsed the mandate, EU Agriculture Commissioner Dacian Ciolos scuttled it, pledging instead a regulation that “takes account of the lives of everyone, not only some, to avoid this sort of misunderstanding.” Read more of this post

Wal-Mart Plasters Stores With Green Dots to Stay Stocked

Wal-Mart Plasters Stores With Green Dots to Stay Stocked

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT) is turning up the pressure to keep its shelves adequately stocked by proposing to tie executive compensation to the issue — and has asked an outside auditor to alert workers which items to focus on by plastering U.S. stores with neon green dots.

Earlier this year, Bloomberg News reported that Wal-Mart had trouble keeping its stores stocked as it cut back on workers per store. That has cost sales and driven away frustrated shoppers. In April, Acosta Inc., a Jacksonville, Florida-based consulting firm, began the green-dot program in Wal-Mart’s U.S. stores after previously conducting shelf audits without telling workers what items would be monitored.

The effort Wal-Mart (WMT) is expending to fix its stocking issues is notable for a chain that became the world’s largest retailer in part by gaining mastery over its supply chain and logistics. Read more of this post

Soldiers Turn Entrepreneurs as One Million Exit Military

Soldiers Turn Entrepreneurs as One Million Exit Military

Robert Rummells, a U.S. Army Ranger for 22 years, says it was a natural transition when he opened a Mosquito Joe pest-control franchise in Richmond, Virginia, earlier this month.

“I’m an outdoor type of guy, and I didn’t want to be chained to my computer in an office, talking on the phone,” said the 49-year-old, who tried jobs such as installing equipment at a community college and simulated firearms training after retiring from the military in 2009. “I learned I needed to work for myself.”

As more former service personnel turn to entrepreneurship, they’re generating jobs that are helping to cut the unemployment rate for veterans to a four-year low of 6.2 percent in April, lower than the 6.9 percent rate for adult non-veterans. The boost to the labor market matters: More than a million Americans are projected by the White House to transition out of the military through 2015.

One growing option is franchising. Veteran-owned franchise openings reported last year increased by 11,469 compared with 6,081 in 2010, according to the International Franchise Association, a Washington-based trade organization. Read more of this post

Outrage Grows Over Scandal-Tainted Malaysia State Boss; Despite earning a civil servant’s salary for three decades, Taib Mahmud, the powerful chief minister of Sarawak, is reputed by critics to be one of Asia’s richest man with $15 billion

Outrage Grows Over Scandal-Tainted Malaysia State Boss

By Agence France-Presse on 7:16 pm May 23, 2013.

Kuching. Despite earning a civil servant’s salary for three decades, Taib Mahmud, the powerful chief minister of Malaysia’s Sarawak state, is reputed by critics to be one of Asia’s richest men. Taib, 77, and his family are accused of massive corruption and running Malaysia’s largest state like a family business, controlling its biggest companies with stakes in hundreds of corporations in Malaysia and abroad. A Rolls Royce and flashy jet cover his transportation, while a vast war chest has kept his political authority unrivaled in 32 years in charge of the resource-rich Borneo island state, which remains one of Malaysia’s poorest. “The amount of control he has is astounding. He has been able to dominate politics and society here for nearly four decades,” said Faisal Hazis, a political scientist with Universiti Malaysia Sarawak. But pressure is rising both at home and abroad for action against a man referred to by his harshest critics as the “thief minister” and viewed as the prime example of a culture of corruption fueling public disgust. Swiss-based activists Bruno Manser Fund (BMF), citing financial records, last year estimated the 77-year-old’s worth at $15 billion, which would make him Malaysia’s richest person. Such revelations are hugely embarrassing for Prime Minister Najib Razak, who faces a slide in support due in part to corruption blamed for bleeding the country of billions of dollars annually. Read more of this post

Shares in Britain’s biggest pawnbroker H&T slide as it warns that every 10% fall in the price of gold would wipe about £2m off its profits

Gold price collapse hits pawnbroker profits

Shares in largest British high street gold buyer H&T slide as it warns that every 10% fall in the price of gold would wipe about £2m off its profits

Rupert Neate

guardian.co.uk, Friday 24 May 2013 17.06 BST

Britain’s biggest pawnbroker on Friday warned the collapse in the goldprice will knock its profits. H&T, the largest British high street gold buyer, warned that every 10% fall in the price of gold would wipe about £2m off its pre-tax profits. The stock market warning sent the company’s shares tumbling more than 11% on Friday to 224p. Pawnbrokers have been surfing on the wave of soaring gold prices for the last few years with TV adverts and websites encouraging consumers to cash in their jewellery. But gold has lost almost a fifth of its value so far this year as some investors lose faith in the metal as a safe haven. Gold was trading at $1386 an ounce on Friday, significantly below the $1,600 an ounce price when H&T last updated investors. The company, which trades in 186 shops and a further 24 pop-up “GoldBar” kiosks in shopping centres, made a £12m profit from buying and selling gold last year, buying up more than £40m of gold from customers and selling it on for £52m. Those profits were down from “super-normal” profits of £17m in 2011, when it benefited from the “rising gold price environment”. H&T said it expected the collapse in the gold price would lead to more unwanted jewellery being resold to consumers rather than sold as scrap to metal dealers. “We sell as much as we can through shop windows, and anything that we can’t gets sold as scrap – but that is subject to the gold price,” a spokesman said. “As the price falls we expect more will be resold as jewellery rather than melted down.” Rival pawnbroker Albemarle & Bond has already warned investors that it has been forced to “revise down” its profit expectations because of the gold price collapse.

Malaysia’s newly elected government was locked in an increasingly tense political stand-off a day after several opposition figures were detained under the country’s colonial-era sedition law

May 24, 2013 12:58 pm

Malaysia on edge amid arrests and protest calls

By Jeremy Grant in Singapore

Malaysia’s newly elected government was on Friday locked in an increasingly tense political stand-off a day after several opposition figures were detained under the country’s colonial-era sedition law.

The arrests came less than three weeks after Malaysia’s bitterly contested election left the incumbent government of prime minister Najib Razak in power but the country divided. The opposition has called a mass rally on Saturday to protest the election result.

Opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim said on Friday the police action against the four detained men – including a senior official in his own party – was “tyranny writ large”. Read more of this post

ASEAN Economies Aim to Avoid the Mistakes of European Integration

ASEAN Economies Aim to Avoid the Mistakes of European Integration

24 MAY 2013 – AARON TIMMS

AS THE EURO ZONE HAS STAGGERED THROUGH MULTIPLE rounds of crisis over the past three years, the nations of Southeast Asia have been looking on with more interest than most. These countries have ambitions of closer economic integration that some liken to the European Union, but regional officials are keen to stress the differences. “It’s important to look at the example of Europe and make sure we don’t make the same mistakes they have made,” says Cesar Purisima, Finance secretary of the Philippines.

The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean), conceived in the late 1960s against a backdrop of regional disputes and an escalating war in Vietnam, has proven remarkably durable. Dismissed by many as an ineffective talking shop, the bloc has grown steadily in size and ambition, forging a free-trade area among ten nations with a combined population of 600 million. Read more of this post