Taiwan’s housing bubble is bigger than anyone admits

Taiwan’s housing bubble is bigger than anyone admits

Editorial 2013-07-03

Declining real income and surging housing prices in Taiwan continues to worsen, along with the stagnation in the country’s economy, even though the government has reiterated that it has taken stock and is trying to deal with the situation. Government data show that real income during first four months of this year dropped to a level comparable to 15 years ago, while the average unit price of new housing purchases in Taiwan’s six major metropolitan areas hit a record high of NT$245,000 (US$8,155) per ping (3.3 square meters) during the first quarter.Taiwan’s central bank warned about the housing bubble earlier this month, saying the estimated 1.43 million empty homes in 2012 were indicative of the unchecked surge in property prices.

Although the central bank also pointed out that the housing bubble has been created by easy credit availability in the market, it decided not to adopt further measures in response during a recent policy meeting held at the end of June.

Such a situation would act as a prelude to an economic disaster, as evident in the example of what has happened in Spain, Ireland and Greece in recent years.

But Taiwanese investors have chosen to indulge in the illusion of a booming housing market and have ignored the signs of a bubble forming in the market, while the government mistakenly views the property market as the main driver of the economy.

The central bank needs to introduce credit tightening measures to stop speculators from hoarding property and prevent the housing bubble from further ballooning. The government and the public must recognize the seriousness of the problem and extend their full support to the central bank.

Only by doing so can Taiwan pull itself out of the current stagnating economic scenario.

Unknown's avatarAbout bambooinnovator
Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

Leave a comment