Japan Salaries Extend Longest Fall Since ’10 in Threat to Abe

Japan Salaries Extend Longest Fall Since ’10 in Threat to Abe

Japan salaries extended the longest slide since 2010 in July, raising the stakes for Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s decision on whether to increase a sales tax. Regular wages excluding overtime and bonuses dropped 0.4 percent from a year earlier, marking a 14th straight month of decline, according to data released today by the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare. Bonus payments rose 2.1 percent, helping to lift total cash earnings 0.4 percent.Boosting workers’ incomes is key to the success of Abe’s efforts to resuscitate the economy after doses of fiscal and monetary stimulus helped weaken the yen and start a recovery, boosting corporate profits. With salaries sliding and consumer prices rising in July at the fastest pace since 2008 on higher energy costs, a sales-tax increase could squeeze households, threatening the success of the policies dubbed Abenomics.

“Companies aren’t confident enough on the sustainability of the economic recovery,” said Yoshimasa Maruyama, chief economist at Itochu Corp. (8001) in Tokyo. “If wages don’t improve much, it may pose a political risk” to Abe’s administration, he said.

Abe is set to decide by early next month on the sales tax, which under current legislation is set to rise to 8 percent in April and 10 percent in October 2015 from 5 percent now.

Economy Minister Akira Amari will today report the results of meetings of business leaders, academics and representatives of consumer groups who wrapped up week-long discussions over the weekend on the planned sales-tax increase, a key input for the prime minister’s decision.

Companies won’t increase workers’ basic salaries unless they are confident in the future, Amari said.

“We will make an environment in which they will have enough confidence” to raise wages, Amari said.

To contact the reporters on this story: Arran Scott in Tokyo at ascott101@bloomberg.net; Keiko Ujikane in Tokyo at kujikane@bloomberg.net

About bambooinnovator
Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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