Rise of China’s consumers drives tourist frenzy

October 3, 2013 7:40 am

Rise of China’s consumers drives tourist frenzy

By Simon Rabinovitch in Shanghai and Lucy Hornby in Beijing

With China’s highways snarled by traffic, thousands of tourists stranded at one of the country’s beloved national parks and millions more crushing into its most popular attractions, there is little question that the Chinese nation is once again on holiday. Early government estimates are that thisNational Day holiday week, which began on Tuesday, will be a record for the country in terms of domestic visitor numbers and tourism revenue, with both up about 20 per cent compared with the same period 12 months earlier.Tourism records have become par for the course in China: stronger numbers have been posted year after year over the past half decade. But economists say that the regularity of this phenomenon should in no way diminish its significance, because it underlines the strength of consumption growth and the resilience of consumer confidence in China.

Lu Ting, an economist with Bank of America Merrill Lynch, said the tourism frenzy suggested the Chinese economy was on solid footing despite concerns about a renewed downturn after weaker-than-expected manufacturing figures. With consumption holding up so well, China is “unlikely to see a sharp slowdown,” he said in a note to clients. Strong tourism numbers pointed to “stable employment, rising wages and robust consumer confidence”, he added.

Yet that is little consolation for Chinese visitors who have flocked to the nation’s main tourist destinationsonly to find them bursting to capacity – and beyond.

Many Chinese get most of their vacation time during the “golden weeks” when the whole nation is on holiday, and the press of crowds pushes up hotel rates and inevitably pressures infrastructure. With more people spending more money on travel every year, the crush has steadily got worse.

In Jiuzhaigou, a national park in the southwestern province of Sichuan, thousands of tourists were stuck in a 400-bus jam trying to make their exit. Frustrated by the delay, some stormed the park’s ticket office and demanded refunds. Paramilitary police were deployed to control the crowds and hundreds of tourists ended up walking out of Jiuzhaigou after dark.

A series of other parks also suffered severe overcrowding. The national tourism administration said there had been problems throughout China, from Laoshan in the northeastern province of Shandong to Fanjing mountain in the southwestern province of Guizhou and Yuntai mountain in the central province of Henan.

Scores of complaints from visitors prompted the tourism administration to issue a warning. “All scenic areas must strictly control crowds, strengthen contingency plans and step up their patrols,” it said. It also called on local officials to “protect the legal rights of tourists”.

All scenic areas must strictly control crowds, strengthen contingency plans and step up their patrols

– Tourism administration warning

It wasn’t just China’s mountains that were clogged. Nearly 1m people visited Beijing’s top tourist sites on Wednesday, with 175,000 of them crowding into the Forbidden City in the centre of old Beijing. In Hangzhou, just outside Shanghai, more than 1m people filled the promenades around West Lake on Wednesday, a single-day record.

Overall, there were 8.4m tourists at China’s 125 most-visited tourist sites over the first two days of the National Day holiday week, up 19 per cent from a year earlier, according to the national tourism administration. Revenue at these sites was up 27 per cent year on year, reaching Rmb437m ($71.4m).

Amid the frustration and anger at the overcrowding, there were at least improvements in some areas. On Tuesday, the first day of the holiday, the 110,000 people who visited Tiananmen Square left behind 5 tonnes of garbage. “Not a historic high,” commented the Beijing Youth Daily, which noted that last year, 8 tonnes of garbage were generated. The record was 20 tonnes, in 2010.

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Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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