Japan’s retailers struggle despite stimulus

Japan’s retailers struggle despite stimulus
Tuesday, October 8, 2013
By Ritsuko Shimizu, Reuters

TOKYO–Cashmere sweaters at Uniqlo. Gourmet coffee and ice cream at 7-Eleven. These incongruously premium offerings by two of Japan’s biggest retailers are part of a strategy to lift profit margins by enticing thrifty shoppers to splurge on little luxuries. Uniqlo brand owner Fast Retailing and Seven & I Holdings Co., Ltd. plans to boost spending per customer are being challenged as Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s aggressive economic stimulus has done little to loosen the purse strings of Japan’s traditionally frugal consumers.While Abe’s policies have lifted the stock market and spurred spending on luxury goods, overall retail sales have grown only tepidly since he was elected last year.

A sales tax increase could also dent consumer spending once it takes effect in April. After luring customers through discounts and promotions, Fast Retailing and Seven & I hope to counter a further slowdown in spending through their value-for-money offerings.

“When it comes to day-to-day spending, people are still in penny-pinching mode. We can’t see any impact from Abenomics,” Seven & I Holdings President Noritoshi Murata said after the company reported a record high operating profit for the first half.

“Japan has a lot of people with money to spend,” he added. “If we make things of quality, of value, and at a reasonable price, we can breathe some life into the market.”

Uniqlo in Japan accounts for two-thirds of the sales and 80 percent of the profit of Fast Retailing, which is expected to report a record high operating profit for the full-year to Aug. 31.

Profit margins, however, are likely to have been squeezed. Uniqlo, the company’s biggest brand, saw sales and customer traffic in Japan grow during the second-half at double-digit rates, but spending per customer fell more than 5 percent.

The cashmere V-necked sweaters and cardigans are aimed at changing this pattern. Priced at 5,990 yen (US$62) and 7,990 yen (US$82) respectively, the items are pricey by Uniqlo standards but come at a fraction of the cost of luxury designer wear.

Whether customers will buy, however, remains uncertain.

Taketo Yamate, a Credit Suisse analyst, believes shoppers accustomed to Uniqlo’s discounts will be unwilling to pay more for premium items.

“It’s possible that the pricing policies will face bigger challenges than the market’s optimism suggests,” said Yamate. He forecasts an 8 percent drop in Fast Retailing’s operating profit in the current financial year.

The success of Seven & I’s premium brands may have encouraged Fast Retailing. The operator of Japan’s biggest convenience store chain sells luxury home-brand food and drinks made by well-known firms such as Meiji Holdings Co. and Kirin Holdings Co.

It has also rolled out “Seven Cafe,” a freshly brewed coffee similar to the daily brew offered by Starbucks, that has boosted sales of accompanying sandwiches and snacks.

Seven & I estimates sales of its private brand, “Seven Premium,” will account for more than 10 percent of total sales this year and rise by 50 percent over the next two years.

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Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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