China Seen Widening Car-Purchase Limit to Fight Pollution; “More cities will introduce purchase restrictions. This is just the beginning of a long-term trend.”

China Seen Widening Car-Purchase Limit to Fight Pollution

China, the biggest emitter of greenhouse gases, plans to widen the number of cities curbing auto purchases to fight pollution and congestion, threatening vehicle sales, the government-backed car association said. Eight cities — Chengdu, Chongqing, Hangzhou, Qingdao, Shenzhen, Shijiazhuang, Tianjin and Wuhan — will probably introduce measures limiting auto purchases, Shi Jianhua, deputy secretary general of the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, said in a briefing in Beijing today, without being more specific about the timing. Such limitations could cut vehicle deliveries by 400,000 units, or 2 percent of nationwide sales, and undermine economic growth, Shi said. If introduced, the measures may triple the number of Chinese cities — Beijing and Shanghai have vehicle quotas — imposing curbs on automobiles as public anger grows over worsening congestion and air pollution.

“In the short term, the market will just jump in those cities,” said Yale Zhang, managing director of Autoforesight Shanghai Co. “Consumers will panic and will start to buy whatever they can before the measures.”

Local brands would suffer the most as restrictions would make car ownership more inconvenient and undermine the appeal of cheaper vehicles, he said.

More Restrictions

Shijiazhuang, one of China’s most polluted cities, proposed limiting vehicle ownership through a lottery, according to a Shijiazhuang Daily report on the local government’s website last month. The Zhejiang eastern province held discussions last month to limit the number of new vehicles in the provincial capital of Hangzhou and Xi’an, home of China’s terracotta warriors, discussed limiting vehicle ownership last year.

CAAM is opposed to the restrictions because they go against efforts to boost consumption, deprives people of the equal right to own a car and don’t do much to ease traffic jams, Shi said. The association has submitted a study on the impact of purchase limits to the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, which oversees the auto industry, he said.

The auto group said in February that the industry has become a “scapegoat” for the toxic smog that engulfed Beijing last winter when coal-fired power plants should bear the main responsibility for the pollution.

Passenger-vehicle sales rose 9.3 percent to 1.4 million units in June, the association said today, after dealers increased discounts to clear stock and meet half-year targets amid a cash crunch and concerns the economy is slowing. For the first half, passenger-vehicle deliveries increased 14 percent, while total vehicle demand, including buses and trucks, gained 12 percent, according to CAAM.

Cash Crunch

Expanding restrictions on vehicle purchases would follow a cash crunch that sent interbank borrowing costs to record levels last month and a slowing economy.

Official trade data today showed China’s exports and imports unexpectedly declined last month, underscoring the severity of the slowdown in the world’s second-biggest economy as Premier Li Keqiang reins in credit growth.

The cash squeeze has led to “psychological panic among dealers over access to financing,” Luo Lei, deputy secretary-general of the China Automobile Dealers Association, said in a phone interview from Beijing yesterday. “So far, it hasn’t caused any real damage to the industry, but if the cash crunch continues, the impact will spread to auto dealers.”

Banks are taking twice as long approving car loans after the cash crunch, which will hit mid-priced car sales the hardest, the Securities Daily reported today, citing interviews with auto dealers.

“More cities will introduce purchase restrictions,” said Ole Hui, a Hong Kong-based analyst with Mizuho Financial Group Inc. (8411) “This is just the beginning of a long-term trend.”

To contact Bloomberg News staff for this story: Tian Ying in Beijing at +86-10-6649-7571 or ytian@bloomberg.net

About bambooinnovator
Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: