Peter Zaldivar’s Hotel Shilla Pitch at Invest For Kids Chicago
October 31, 2013 Leave a comment
Peter Zaldivar’s Hotel Shilla Pitch at Invest For Kids Chicago
Posted: 29 Oct 2013 11:24 PM PDT
Peter Zaldivar’s Presentation at Invest For Kids Chicago
• International focus; looks for smaller underloved companies
• Hotel Shilla (008770)
• $2.4 billion market cap
• 2 hotels in Korea (10% of sales) and duty free shops (90% of sales)
• 6 locations generate $6 billion of sales
• Duopoly – 35% versus 50% Lotte (private)
• Fast growth of 15% and accelerating
• Barriers to entry are scale and government licenses
• Chinese are getting richer – number of rich Chinese are growing substantially
• Korea wants tourism and China is only 90 min away
• Cosmetic surgery – world center for plastic surgery
• Most important thing is that they sell luxury brands for less (as in 40% less than in mainland China)
• South Korea has a tourist police force that verify authenticity
• Chinese half of customer base and growing at 30% per year
• More Chinese are getting passports – still less than 10%
• Yet Hotel Shilla is trading at 17.2x 2014E earnings
• 28% upside in a base case
• 69% upside implied by a slight premium to comps
• Same P/E as European counterparts would imply a 60% gain