China GDP figures wrong by US$610bil: report

Updated: Wednesday October 30, 2013 MYT 5:51:58 PM

China GDP figures wrong by US$610bil: report

BEIJING: China’s economy would be at least 3.7 trillion yuan (US$610bil) bigger than Beijing thinks if the country’s local government statistics were to be believed, state media reported Wednesday. The Economic Information Daily tallied up gross domestic product (GDP) data from 28 of mainland China’s 31 provincial-level authorities, and arrived at 42.4 trillion yuan for the first nine months of the year. But the figure for the whole country, already announced by Beijing, is 3.7 trillion yuan lower. The discrepancy – which has been in place for more than two decades – has been widening rapidly in recent years, the Economic Information Daily said.The reliability of Chinese economic data has long been in doubt as local officials tend to massage the figures upwards in pursuit of promotion and the newspaper, which is run by the official Xinhua news agency, pointed to the same problem.

“Some regions may have inflated the statistics due to their distorted perception of achievements, given the fact that the performance assessment of local governments is often linked with GDP growth,” the report quoted an unnamed National Bureau of Statistics official as saying.

China’s Premier Li Keqiang said in 2007, when he was the governor of Liaoning province, that some Chinese data was “man-made”, according to a confidential memo released by the WikiLeaks website in 2010.

He told US diplomats that he focused on only three figures – electricity consumption, rail cargo volume and the amount of loans issued – to evaluate his region’s economy, the leaked document showed.

Chinese President Xi Jinping said in June that officials’ performance evaluations must not be based “simply on GDP growth rate” but take into account factors such as the environment and improving people’s well-being – AFP.

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Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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