New warning on overcapacity in China; Banks told not to lend to projects in five sectors

New warning on overcapacity

Updated: 2013-11-05 00:17

By Zheng Yangpeng (China Daily)Banks told not to lend to projects in five sectors

China’s central ministries on Monday sent a stern message about the implementation of a key State Council document aimed at tackling excess industrial capacity.

The ministries underscored the increasing urgency of containing the risks of the longstanding issue.

In a video conference, officials from the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the two bodies with primary responsibility for the problem, urged local governments to implement a directive from the State Council, which is the country’s cabinet.

“Local governments will be held accountable on this issue. Those who still violate discipline will be heavily punished. Officials should not bet on infringement without exposure,” Hu Zucai, deputy director of the NDRC, said during the meeting.

On Oct 15, the State Council issued “guiding opinions” on solving the capacity issue. The document ordered a halt to the construction of new capacity in sectors burdened by excess production facilities.

The council also said that projects on which construction hadn’t yet started should be canceled. Projects that were under construction at that point are to be halted unless they receive central government approval.

The document singled out five sectors — steel, flat glass, cement, electrolytic aluminum and shipbuilding — as having severe excess capacity, and it listed specific measures for each industry.

According to official data, the cement industry had the lowest capacity utilization rate, which was 71.9 percent at the end of 2012.

The rate for steel was 72 percent, while that for the glass industry was 73.1 percent.

A capacity utilization rate of 70 to 75 percent is regarded as a sign of “medium-level” excess capacity in manufacturing.

China’s excess capacity issue has become so severe that President Xi Jinping has made special comments on the issue four times this year.

“Increasingly, excess capacity has become a salient problem in the economy and the root cause of many issues,” Xi was quoted as saying at one point.

“If solved properly, China’s economic structural upgrading will make big progress. If not, new problems could arise and even trigger an economic crisis.”

“Excess capacity is not new to China. But the current level, given its scope, number and influence, is unprecedented,” Zhu Hongren, chief engineer of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, said during the meeting.

“Some local governments favored fast growth too much and relied on investment too much.

“They have tried all means, including offering cheap land, electricity and tax breaks, to attract investment. That strategy has exacerbated continued construction and capacity expansion,” said Zhu.

The NDRC said barriers to entry and environmental standards will be two key indicators for phasing out old capacity or adding new capacity.

On the same day, Shang Fulin, chairman of the China Banking Regulatory Commission, said during a meeting with bank executives in the eastern province of Fujian that banks should try to head off a rise in bad loans from industries with excess capacity.

He said banks should also step up efforts to write off some of the nonperforming loans on their books.

Shang said that any form of new credit is prohibited for new projects in industries with overcapacity, and banks shouldn’t extend loans or provide funds by issuing wealth management products to back projects that don’t have the relevant government approvals.

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Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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