Chinese Premier Warns over Money Printing as Deficit Enlarges

Chinese Premier Warns over Money Printing as Deficit Enlarges

11-05 16:08 Caijing

Short-term stimulus to prop up economic growth by enlarging fiscal deficits and money supply is not sustainable, Li said.

Chinese Premier Li Keqiang has recently warned that printing more money is likely to push up inflation in the world’s second largest economy as the government’s deficit accumulates fast. “M2, the broader measure of money supply in our country has exceeded CNY100trillion by the end of March, that is already twice of the GDP,” Li said in a speech at the 16th national congress of the All-China Federation of Trade Unions (ACFTU) on October 21st.  Full transcript of Li’s speech was published Monday on the Workers Daily supervised by the ACFTU.

There’s already too much money in the “pool”, Li said as he warned that hyper-inflation can sabotages markets, and create panic among the public as well.

Short-term stimulus to prop up economic growth by enlarging fiscal deficits and money supply is not sustainable, Li said, adding the government’s deficit has topped 2.1 percent, near the 3 percent EU limit.

The EU’s Growth and Stability Pact rules that deficit of its member states must not exceed 3 percent of GDP. However, many members have consistently substantially in excess of the figure.

Li’s speech marked Beijing’s first official acceptance of the limit.

Li acknowledged that the Chinese economy is facing downside pressures from complicated situations both home and abroad as the country’s GDP growth has slowed to 7.5 percent in the second quarter, compared with the double-digit growth in 2010.

Maintaining GDP is mostly about holding up employment, the premier explained, adding 1.3-1.5 million jobs could be created for every one percent growth in GDP.

“We care about jobs, and that’s why we care about GDP,” the premier noted.

Li suggested the government stick to the current fiscal deficit level without loosening or tightening up money supplies while improving government efficiency and cutting expenses.

The premier also vowed to support the service sector and narrow down the gap between the east and less-developed west.

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Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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