For the first time in at least 10 years, Tesco, Asda, Sainsbury’s and Morrisons are all losing market share

New landscape for ‘big four’ supermarkets

For the first time in at least 10 years, Tesco, Asda, Sainsbury’s and Morrisons are all losing market share

By Telegraph View

11:47PM GMT 19 Nov 2013

Britain’s supermarket industry has entered a new era. For the first time in at least 10 years, Tesco, Asda, Sainsbury’s and Morrisons are all losing market share, according to Kantar. This is not just a statistical anomaly, it is a reflection that the supermarket industry has become ex-growth. There are straightforward reasons for this. Between the 1950s and 2008, grocery retailers rushed to open new self-service stores and then out-of-town supermarkets across the country.The likes of Tesco and Sainsbury’s grabbed sales from local corner shops and created a new model, using their size to drive down prices with suppliers. It became a virtuous circle for the retailers and customers, where greater sales meant greater investment in prices and new stores across the country.

However, today there are no postcodes in the UK without a modern supermarket. The internet and convenience stores have also given consumers more choice, meaning many families now choose to shop at a variety of stores rather then conduct one weekly shop. Even Justin King, who has presided over 35 consecutive quarters of increased like-for-like sales, bemoans the fact that Sainsbury’s shoppers are “promiscuous”.

This is a challenge for the “big four” because, as Archie Norman, the former chief executive of Asda, has said: “There is no inherent reason why selling food should be a growth business.”

The leading grocery retailers are, in many ways, facing a similar challenge to the pharmaceutical industry.

After growth in the 20th century on the back of major innovations, GlaxoSmithKline and AstraZeneca are now finding it more difficult to develop new products and their previous discoveries are being copied by cheaper rivals.

For Tesco, and its chief executive Philip Clarke in particular, its size is more of a curse than a blessing when judging its performance in the market share data.

Its market share of 29.8pc, compared with Sainsbury’s 16.8pc, is partly a reflection of the number of stores it opened, compared with its rivals in the 1990s and early 2000s.

So, today, with customers now able to shop with anyone thanks to the internet and Tesco slowing down its store opening programme, Mr Clarke has little hope of protecting that share, let alone growing it. After all, is Tesco really almost twice as good at selling food as Sainsbury’s?

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Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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