The Fed is locked in a QE prison of its own making
US policymakers are caught in a trap – a seemingly inescapable dilemma that stems directly from the massive scale of QE
Last Wednesday, at its monthly meeting, the Fed’s monetary committee voted to keep QE going – ordering the purchase of another $40bn of mortgage-backed securities and another $45bn of Treasuries, so $85bn in total. Photo: AP
By Liam Halligan, Economic Agenda
6:30PM GMT 02 Nov 2013
Back in the spring, Ben Bernanke told the world that “tapering” would start “later this year”. The Federal Reserve Chairman was indicating, in other words, that America’s central bank would start to wind-down its $85bn-a-month money-printing habit by the end of 2013. Such an outcome now looks increasingly unlikely. My view, in fact, is that the Fed, could soon unleash more, not less, quantitative easing – ramping up the policy rather than tapering. Such an outcome, were it to happen, would be incredibly risky. Speeding up monetary stimulation, rather than slowing it down, could spook financial markets – and even cause a panic. Yet in recent weeks, I’ve heard several well-placed economists and policymakers, especially in the US, start to contemplate such action. Read more of this post