Scrambling to Win China’s Auto Prize

Scrambling to Win China’s Auto Prize

ABHEEK BHATTACHARYA

June 11, 2014 4:11 a.m. ET

When China’s car market was speeding up, it dragged everyone along for the ride. Now car makers have to fight among themselves to get ahead.

China sold 11% more passenger cars in the first five months of 2014 than the year before, a comedown from the nearly 15% growth over the same period in 2013. Some of the deceleration is because last year was in comparison to a weak year in 2012. It’s also possible that China’s broader economic problems are weighing down on consumption.

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The clearest losers are domestic car makers. They sold 38% of all locally made cars this year through May, down from nearly 42% in the same period last year, according to the industry association. Hong Kong-listed Geely has sold 32% fewer cars these five months, as consumers shun its poor technology and marketing.

Not all foreign car makers gain at the locals’ expense, though. After nationalist protests in late 2012 saw marauding crowds literally beat up Japanese cars, Toyota, Honda and Nissan clawed back some market share partly by launching new models, says Macquarie’s Janet Lewis. But Toyota’s market share at 4.9% so far this year is still below the 2011 level of 5.5%, according to data compiled by Ms. Lewis. These brands have ample animosity to overcome. In a Sanford C. Bernstein-led survey of 40,000 Chinese consumers this year, half said they would never consider a Japanese car, mostly out of nationalism.

Other foreign laggards are General MotorsGM -0.77% ‘ main passenger-car brands. The 8.2% market share its Buick and Chevrolet brands command this year has slumped from 8.6% last year. GM’s latest SUVs haven’t sold as well as hoped. In contrast, Ford, a relative newcomer to China, has made inroads with SUVs and sedans. Ford sold 4.1% of the cars made in the country between January and May, compared to 3.8% last year and just 2.2% in 2011.

Volkswagen remains on top of the totem pole. One of the earliest entrants in the market, VW has consolidated its grip with a 14.4% market share so far this year, from 13.4% last year, by offering everything from low-end sedans to sporty SUVs—and that’s not including its Skoda or Audi units. VW brand and pricing are so compelling that dealers barely offer discounts and still sell to a higher proportion of visitors than other brands, according to Ms. Lewis.

Should China’s car market slow further, how each brand positions itself will matter more. China’s first generation of car buyers are moving on to second cars. Brand loyalty is developing. The recipe for success won’t be just about showing up.

 

Unknown's avatarAbout bambooinnovator
Kee Koon Boon (“KB”) is the co-founder and director of HERO Investment Management which provides specialized fund management and investment advisory services to the ARCHEA Asia HERO Innovators Fund (www.heroinnovator.com), the only Asian SMID-cap tech-focused fund in the industry. KB is an internationally featured investor rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets who started his career at a boutique hedge fund in Singapore where he was with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus-old flagship Asian fund. He was also the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. Prior to setting up the H.E.R.O. Innovators Fund, KB was the Chief Investment Officer & CEO of a Singapore Registered Fund Management Company (RFMC) where he is responsible for listed Asian equity investments. KB had taught accounting at the Singapore Management University (SMU) as a faculty member and also pioneered the 15-week course on Accounting Fraud in Asia as an official module at SMU. KB remains grateful and honored to be invited by Singapore’s financial regulator Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to present to their top management team about implementing a world’s first fact-based forward-looking fraud detection framework to bring about benefits for the capital markets in Singapore and for the public and investment community. KB also served the community in sharing his insights in writing articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media that include Business Times, Straits Times, Jakarta Post, Manual of Ideas, Investopedia, TedXWallStreet. He had also presented in top investment, banking and finance conferences in America, Italy, Sydney, Cape Town, HK, China. He has trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy & business model innovation in Singapore, HK and China.

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