Wide Moat Investing Summit 2013, July 9-10, 2013 (Presentation by Bamboo Innovator on Jul 10, 8.30am EST)
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
R.E.S.-ilience in Value Creation 《竹经:经商经世离不得立根创新》
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
Frauds. Warren Buffett commented in the recent Berkshire Hathaway AGM 2013 that when he’s reading through financial statements, he’d find companies he was virtually certain are frauds. In response to a shareholder’s question on what did he find that made him so certain, both Buffett and Munger replied that “there isn’t a 40-point checklist” and that value investors need to understand the interaction between the underlying business model dynamics and the people running the enterprise when examining the numbers.
In Asia, with outbreaks of accounting frauds and corporate governance lapse erupting on a systematic basis at the firm level, how does a value investor go about generating sustainable outsized returns? To paraphrase Sherlock Holmes, to murder (to engage in earnings management) is easy, but to dispose the murdered body (to expropriate or tunnel out the cash and assets out of the company) is harder as it is detectable by the serious institutional investor with his or her keen observation of the various information signals and clues.
It would be premature to speak of “fundamental” analysis using possibly rigged accounting numbers due to propping and tunneling to fashion elaborate but “garbage-in-garbage-out” quant valuation models. Even “technical” analysis can be misleading given prices and volumes are often manipulated by the “insiders” (庄家) who establish the stock inventory (老鼠仓), luring investors in and then offloading in a pump-and-dump cycle. Such exploits by insiders is made easy as most stocks in Asia are still relatively small-cap and illiquid, given that the median market cap of the listed universe of 23,000 stocks in Asia is around $80 million and over 80% are under a billion dollar in market cap.
Thus, the use of “fundamental” or “technical” analysis, or its combination – without a Mungerian I-O accounting framework using the Bamboo Innovator way – can lead to a false sense of confidence that clever insiders exploit at your expense.
Course Highlights:
– Mr Kee Koon Boon, one of the few Asian fund managers being invited to speak at a number of top banking & finance conferences around the world alongside with renowned speakers such asPraveen Kadle, Chief Executive Officer of Tata Capital & Lauren Templeton, President of Lauren Templeton Capital Management
– Learn from an experienced & qualified instructor who has also taught in local Universities
Program Outline and Key Learning Points:
Understand more about the Instructor’s investment approach with the following published articles:
About the Instructor:
Koon Boon is the founder and managing director of the Singapore-based Bamboo Innovator Institute to establish the thought leadership of resilient value creators around the world. KB has been rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets. He was a fund manager and head of research/analyst at a Singapore-based investment management organization dedicated to the craft of value investing in Asia. He had been with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus flagship Asian fund. He was previously the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. He received his Masters in Finance (magna cum laude) and double degree in Accountancy and Business Management (both summa cum laude) from the Singapore Management University (SMU). He had taught accounting at his alma mater in SMU and at SIM University. He had published research in the Special Issue of Istanbul Stock Exchange 25th Year Anniversary of the Boğaziçi Journal, Review of Social and Economic Studies, as well as wrote articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media. He had also presented in top banking and finance conferences in Sydney, Cape Town, HK, Beijing and in the recent Emerging Value Summit 2013. He had trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy, macroeconomic and industry trends in Singapore, HK and China.
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
JUNE 3, 2013, 11:38 AM
The S.E.C. Is ‘Bringin’ Sexy Back’ to Accounting Investigations
In April 2003, a New York Times article discussed the push by federal prosecutors to crack down on accounting fraud in which one expert said, “These have become the hot, sexy cases.” What followed were the convictions of chief executives including Jeffrey K. Skilling of Enron, Bernard J. Ebbers of WorldCom and John J. Rigas of Adelphia Communications. The attraction seems to have worn off. The number of corporate accounting cases at the Securities and Exchange Commission has dropped to its lowest level in a decade, with only 79 such cases filed in the most recent fiscal year. In the past, the S.E.C. relied mainly on the market to flag accounting problems at companies that would lead to an investigation. Enron’s demise, for example, began when questions were raised about its complex reporting of various off-balance-sheet transactions amid a rapidly falling stock price, which led to the issuance of subpoenas to the company and its outside auditor, Arthur Andersen.
Today, the S.E.C. wants to be more proactive by using risk modeling to analyze corporate filings to identify companies that might be outliers in reporting their results. In a speech in December, Craig M. Lewis, director of the agency’s division of risk, strategy and financial innovation, talked about a new “accounting quality model” that could help the S.E.C. “assess the degree to which registrants’ financial statements appear anomalous.” Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
The Dictatorship of Data
Robert McNamara epitomizes the hyper-rational executive led astray by numbers.
By Kenneth Cukier and Viktor Mayer-Schönberger on May 31, 2013
Big data is poised to transform society, from how we diagnose illness to how we educate children, even making it possible for a car to drive itself. Information is emerging as a new economic input, a vital resource. Companies, governments, and even individuals will be measuring and optimizing everything possible.
But there is a dark side. Big data erodes privacy. And when it is used to make predictions about what we are likely to do but haven’t yet done, it threatens freedom as well. Yet big data also exacerbates a very old problem: relying on the numbers when they are far more fallible than we think. Nothing underscores the consequences of data analysis gone awry more than the story of Robert McNamara. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
June 3, 2013 7:44 pm
US funds left bruised by heavy bond losses
By Dan McCrum in New York
Every one of the most popular class of US mutual funds investing in bonds lost money in May, highlighting the risks for investors as interest rates rise. Bond yields around the world soared from some of the lowest levels in decades last month as investors anticipated an end to the extraordinary measures the Federal Reserve has used to stimulate the US economy. US funds that invest in higher-rated bonds with average maturities of under 10 years lost an average 1.8 per cent in May, marking their worst performance since the depths of the financial crisis in October 2008, according to Lipper, a research group. Such a broad decline has been rare for these funds. With more than $900bn in assets, these investment vehicles have attracted the lion’s share of inflows from savers in search of regular income and low risk since the crisis. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
June 3, 2013 8:10 pm
Inside business: Bond haircuts in fashion for banks
By Patrick Jenkins
Go back a decade and the only reason the Co-operative Bank was in the headlines was because it had raised a chunk more charity money or found a way to make cheque books out of recycled paper.
Today’s news agenda at the UK’s main ethically-minded lender is rather more existential. Over the weekend there was another spate of jitters over the Co-op. A few months after it first emerged that the bank faced a capital hole of up to £1bn, and three weeks on from its dramatic six-notch credit rating downgrade at the hands of Moody’s, there were fresh revelations. First the Financial Times reported that some institutional depositors had begun withdrawing funds. Then it emerged that the umbrella Co-op group, which spans supermarkets and funerals, was weighing some dramatic financial restructuring that would hurt bondholders. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
June 3, 2013
In the Pursuit of Longevity
By ABIGAIL ZUGER, M.D.
At some point between George Washington and Colonel Sanders, white hair and a cane turned from symbols of elegance to suggestions of decrepitude, and an industry was born. Not that the fountain of youth wasn’t always sought after. But to look young, think young, feel young — those are distinctly modern goals.
A giant how-to literature now attends them: As Lauren Kessler estimates in “Counterclockwise,” at the rate of a book a week it would take almost 160 years to read them all. That didn’t stop her from writing one more, of course. Still, she has a point. The field suffers from a dearth of intelligent consumer review.
Ms. Kessler, a no longer young but not quite old journalist who sneakily never does mention her chronological age, decided to test a host of popular techniques on herself. “I did everything,” she tells her readers, “so you don’t have to.” Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
Innovate or die: Blockbuster, Betamax and Kodak: three reasons why you should be scared of disruptive technologies
June 4, 2013, Anneli Knight
There is a significant difference between invention and innovation, and for a business to survive in this fast-moving landscape it is vital to not only understand the difference, but to also put the principles into practice.
US innovator and founder of the Business Innovation Factory Saul Kaplan is author of The Business Model Innovation Factory: How to stay relevant when the world is changing. He is in Australia this week to speak at the Amplify Festival, a gathering of leading innovators from across the globe. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
June 3, 2013
Device From Israeli Start-Up Gives the Visually Impaired a Way to Read
By JOHN MARKOFF
Liat Negrin, an employee at OrCam, wears a device made by the company that consists of a camera and a small computer
JERUSALEM — Liat Negrin, an Israeli who has been visually impaired since childhood, walked into a grocery store here recently, picked up a can of vegetables and easily read its label using a simple and unobtrusive camera attached to her glasses.
Ms. Negrin, who has coloboma, a birth defect that perforates a structure of the eye and afflicts about 1 in 10,000 people, is an employee at OrCam, an Israeli start-up that has developed a camera-based system intended to give the visually impaired the ability to both “read” easily and move freely. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
New apps give users a world of languages in their pocket
10:42am EDT
TORONTO (Reuters) – New apps are aiming to make traveling in a foreign country easier by putting translation tools in tourists’ pockets, makers of the devices said on Monday. A set of free apps for iOS devices from the language learning company Rosetta Stone give users short exercises so they can learn the basics of another language and commonly used phrases in French, Spanish, German and Italian. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
80% of Samsung’s microchip revenue comes from arch-nemesis Apple
By Christopher Mims @mims June 3, 2013
Here’s a stellar example of how to keep your enemies close: a multi-billion dollar division of Samsung that makes “logic integrated circuits”—basically, the brains of all mobile devices and PCs—is almost entirely propped up by business from Apple,reports Digitimes Research.
In 2012, 80% of Samsung’s business for its foundries, the specialized factories where microchips are made, came from Apple. In the same year, Samsung spent $7 billion to upgrade those foundries, one of which, in Austin, Texas, is the plant that manufactures Apple’s current latest-generation processor for iPads and the iPhone 5. That plant received at least $4 billion of investment from Samsung in 2012. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
Updated June 2, 2013, 12:44 a.m. ET
For Twitter, the Challenge Is to Keep It All Simple
Dick Costolo has been at the helm of Twitter Inc. since 2010. The microblogging service is one of the most popular social networks, and many are expecting an initial public offering soon. In a conversation with All Things Digital’s Kara Swisher, Mr. Costolo dodged questions about a potential IPO, but he did talk about Twitter’s current focus on TV and why he thinks simplicity is important. Read more of this post
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June 3, 2013 2:48 pm
Enterprise technology heads for the clouds in search for growth
By Richard Waters in San Francisco
When it comes to the sky-high prices being paid for the hottest new companies in business IT, there have been few starker examples than Nicira. A specialist in a field known as software-defined networking, the Californian start-up was sold to the much larger VMware last year for nearly $1.3bn.
Yet at the time, two people familiar with its finances now say, it had generated lifetime revenues of only about $5m.
Such deals barely raise an eyebrow on the consumer internet. But they represent something new in the more staid world of so-called enterprise technology: a hunger for growth at the expense of profits, and a race for strategic advantage amid a secular change in the IT landscape. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
June 3, 2013
The Distasteful Side of Social Media Puts Advertisers on Their Guard
By TANZINA VEGA and LESLIE KAUFMAN
As social media sites pursue advertising in a bid for new revenue, they are finding that they must simultaneously create a safe space for the advertisers they attract.
With the money, they are discovering, comes responsibility.
Facebook learned that the hard way last week. After failing to get the social network to remove pages glorifying violence against women, feminist activists waged a digital media campaign that highlighted marketers whose ads were found alongside those pages. Nissan and several smaller advertisers temporarily removed their ads from the site. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
No more Mr Nice Guy: Indian bankers suit up for war on debt defaulters
Sun, Jun 2 2013
By Swati Pandey
MUMBAI, June 3 (Reuters) – Fed up with a profitable textile company’s failure to repay its loan, India’s UCO Bank has taken its grievance public, placing newspaper ads last month that brand the industrialist owner of S. Kumar’s Nationwide Ltd a defaulter. State Bank of India (SBI), Bank of India Ltd and Bank of Baroda are also preparing to name and shame corporate borrowers which are not paying them back, bank executives told Reuters. This aggressive tactic for dealing with bad debt marks a major departure from the traditional laid-back approach of Indian state lenders. Weighed down by stressed loans of nearly $150 billion – equivalent to more than 10 percent of bank assets in the country – and against a backdrop of the slowest economic growth in a decade, Indian banks are bringing an unprecedented intensity to their recovery efforts. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
June 3, 2013, 3:43 p.m. ET
What Makes a Breakthrough Cancer Drug?
By PETER LOFTUS
CHICAGO—In the eyes of Richard Pazdur, a breakthrough cancer drug should be “transformative.”
His view is important because Dr. Pazdur is the head of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration’s office of hematology and oncology products, which helps decide whether experimental cancer drugs are sufficiently safe and effective to go on the market.
Under a new law that took effect last year, the agency has been designating certain drugs in development as “breakthroughs,” based on preliminary clinical evidence that suggests the drug could be a substantial improvement in treating serious or life-threatening diseases. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
2013-06-03
CJ chairman pledges to take responsibility
By Na Jeong-ju
CJ Group Chairman Lee Jay-hyun said Monday he will take full responsibility for the slush fund scandal that has engulfed the country’s 14th largest conglomerate and his family. “This firm is not mine. It’s yours. I will take all possible measures to protect your workplaces and help you keep dreaming,” Lee said in an email to CJ employees. “I will give up all my own interests. Your pride should not be hurt. My top priority is to help this firm maintain stable growth.” This was his first public statement since the prosecution launched an investigation into multiple suspicions surrounding him and his firm, ranging from tax evasion, stock price rigging to violations of fair competition rules. Lee’s remarks triggered speculation that he may make a strategic decision of giving up his chairmanship just as many other Korean conglomerate chiefs previously entangled in corruption have done. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
June 3, 2013 5:23 pm
Kraft changed its biscuits for China
By Srinivas Reddy and Kevin Sproule
The story. Kraft Foods’ flagship Oreo brand first went on sale in China in 1996. But sales were lacklustre and by 2005 it was clear that one of the world’s largest biscuit brands was falling far short of expectations in this fast- growing retail market. Shawn Warren, regional head of biscuits, and his team knew they had to take radical action or risk the distinctive black-and-white-layered round biscuits being pulled off the shelves in China.
The challenge. Growth was stalling at a time when the biscuit sector overall was experiencing record growth in China. Apart from a small rise in 2003, Oreo sales had been sluggish from the outset, and shipments into China were projected to drop by more than 10 per cent in 2005. To make matters worse, the company was losing money on each Oreo sold. Even a near-40 per cent rise in marketing spend yielded no boost in sales. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
06.03.2013 17:33
Debt on Local Gov’ Financing Platforms Forces Regulator into Balancing Act
CBRC forced to choose between stability of banking system and providing officials with the funding they need
By staff reporters Tian Lin and Huo Kan
(Beijing) – Local government financing platforms’ debts now total 9.3 trillion yuan, exceeding last year’s local government revenues by half, a China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) official recently said at an internal meeting.
By the end of 2015, nearly 3.5 trillion yuan of those debts will come due, exerting heavy pressure on local governments’ fiscal conditions, he said. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
Why wealthy Chinese buy their insurance in Hong Kong
Jun 3, 2013 12:42pm by Lydia Guo
Wealthy Chinese mainlanders famously love to go shopping in Hong Kong, hungry for items such as milk powder, gold and luxury shoes and handbags. But they also like to buy less high profile items, including insurance policies.
During the first quarter of this year, mainland visitors spent HK$2.8bn ($361m) on premiums for personal policies such as life insurance and annuities, or 12.5 per cent of the total for such premiums, according to Hong Kong’s Office of the Commissioner of Insurance. That is a 55 per cent increase over the amount they spent a year earlier.
Why would mainlanders put insurance policies on their shopping lists? One reason is their desire to transfer capital overseas. Others are diversifying their asset allocation, avoiding a proposed estate tax and the fact that usually premiums are lower but returns higher in Hong Kong compared with mainland China. And, of course, Hong Kong’s health service is generally better. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
Beijing Caps Home Prices to Control Demand: Mortgages
Beijing, which already has China’s strictest real estate curbs, is being forced to take additional steps to contain surging home prices as demands for record-high down payments fail to deter buyers.
The city has enforced citywide price caps since March by withholding presale permits for any new project asking selling prices authorities deem too high, according to developer Sunac China Holdings Ltd. (1918) and realtor Centaline Group. Local officials will need further tightening as they struggle to meet this year’s target of keeping prices unchanged from last year, said Bacic & 5i5j Group, the city’s second-biggest property broker. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
Volvo Becomes China Latecomer as Li Miscalculates Home Advantage
Three years after buying Volvo Cars, Chinese tycoon Li Shufu may get to compete with Volkswagen AG (VOW)’s Audi and Bayerische Motoren Werke AG on a more level playing field in his own country.
Volvo Cars, a unit of Li’s Zhejiang Geely Holding Group Co., will begin production this month at its first factory in China, allowing it to avoid the nation’s 25 percent import tariff. The company had so far brought in its cars from overseas or produced them in limited quantities at a Ford Motor Co. plant in Chongqing, China.
The three years it took to open the factory shows how Li, 49, miscalculated the edge he would have in his home country as the Chinese government subjected the Swedish brand to the same regulatory approval procedures as all foreign automakers. Still, the plant paves the way for Volvo to double sales to 800,000 by the end of the decade as China heads toward becoming the world’s largest market for premium vehicles. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
June 3, 2013
Elite in China Molded in Part by Tiananmen
By ANDREW JACOBS and CHRIS BUCKLEY
BEIJING — For four days, more than 400 of China’s brightest political minds gathered in smoke-clouded halls at a Beijing hotel, vigorously debating the nation’s future.
It was April 1989, and after a decade of economic transformation, China faced a clamor for political liberalization. Days later, protests erupted in Tiananmen Square, and the lives of those at the meeting took radically different turns. Several are now national leaders, including Li Keqiang, China’s prime minister. Others ended up in prison or exile, accused of supporting the demonstrations that shook the Communist Party and ended with soldiers sweeping through the city on June 4, shooting dead hundreds of unarmed protesters and bystanders. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
Swedish Students Go To College For Free And Still Wind Up With Five-Figure Debt
Matt Phillips, Quartz | Jun. 3, 2013, 3:35 PM | 1,779 | 2
Swedish colleges and universities are free. Yep. Totally free. But students there still end up with a lot of debt. The average at the beginning of 2013 was roughly 124,000 Swedish krona ($19,000). Sure, the average US student was carrying about 30% more, at $24,800. But remember: Free. College in Sweden is free. That’s not even all that common in Europe anymore. While the costs of education are far lower than in the US, over the past two decades sometimes-hefty fees have become a fact of life for many European students. Britain got them in 1998. Some German states instituted them after a federal ban on student fees was overturned in the courts. In fact, since 1995 more than half of the 25 OECD countries with available data on higher education have overhauled their college tuition policies at public institions, with many adding or raising fees. And yet, students in Germany and the UK have far lower debts than in Sweden. And 85% of Swedish students graduate with debt, versus only 50% in the US. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
Solar Thieves Evade German Police Hunted With Liquid DNA: Energy
At least 14 times this year, thieves raided solar parks in Germany’s Brandenburg state, carrying off tons of photovoltaic panels in a crime that’s forcing investors in the world’s biggest solar market to tighten security.
“Even thief-proof screws didn’t stop them,” Christian Linder, of plant developer Athos Solar GmbH, said by telephone on June 3 after 130 panels on the outskirts of Berlin were detached from their foundations and carted off. “We have security staff patrolling the park now.”
Solar theft in the eastern state between Berlin and Poland has increased from 16 cases in all of 2008, the region’s police department said. In the south, authorities in Bavaria released recommendations to help protect its 9.6 gigawatts of installed capacity. That’s enough to power about 2.3 million homes in a nation that invested about $15 billion in solar gear in 2012. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
June 4, 2013 12:04 am
UK high streets to lose 5,000 shops in next five years
By Hannah Kuchler
British high streets are forecast to lose another 5,000 shops in the next five years, as stores – caught between cautious consumers and competition from online and out-of-town rivals – lower the shutters for the last time.
Town centre shopping streets have lost 5 per cent of their outlets in the last two years, according to new research from the Local Data Company and the Saïd Business School. If this trend continues at the same rate, they project that high streets will shed another 13 per cent of stores by 2018. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
June 3, 2013 5:32 pm
Bond volatility threatens banks’ Value at Risk models
By Tracy Alloway in New York
Recent volatility in some of the world’s biggest bond markets could upend the complicated mathematical models that underpin large banks’ trading businesses, risk managers have warned.
“Value at Risk,” or VaR models, have been a key part of banks’ risk management toolboxes for the past two decades, despite being heavily criticised for failing to predict the large losses incurred during the recent financial crisis. Read more of this post
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June 3, 2013 4:10 pm
EM assets lose favour on fears of slowing Fed QE
By Robin Wigglesworth and Alice Ross
Nowhere did recent hints that the US Federal Reserve could cut back its bond-buying in the near future reverberate as loudly as in emerging markets.
Although the bond and stock markets of developing countries have rallied over the past decade on the back of fundamental fiscal and economic improvements, gains have recently been supercharged by the aggressive ‘quantitative easing’ of western central banks – primarily the Fed. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
June 3, 2013 11:34 pm
Call to press fund managers over fees paid by pension trustees
By Norma Cohen, Demography Correspondent
Fees collected by fund managers add up to a rising proportion of the returns they generate for pension trustees, with a vast divergence between what different investment groups charge for similar services, according to a report.
The fees paid by pension trustees have stayed flat while their returns have been subdued compared with past decades, adding to concern about the relative cost of fund managers’ services, says Lane Clark & Peacock, the actuarial consultants. Read more of this post
June 4, 2013 Leave a comment
Emerging Market Dominoes to Fall as SocGen Sees Rout
The worst month in a year for emerging-market currencies will prove to be more than a momentary bout of weakness to strategists at firms from UBS AG to Societe Generale SA who see the Federal Reserve weaning investors off its extraordinary stimulus.
South Africa’s rand led declines among the 24 developing-nation currencies tracked by Bloomberg last month, tumbling 11.3 percent. JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s Emerging Markets Currency Index (FXJPEMCI) fell 3.3 percent, the most since it slipped 7 percent in May 2012. Only China’s yuan gained, rising 0.51 percent.
“For these emerging-market currencies, this is the beginning of a trend that perhaps is going to be longer and deeper in terms of a correction,” Tom Levinson, a currency strategist in London at ING Groep NV, the largest Dutch financial-services firm, said in a May 31 phone interview. Read more of this post