A model for fighting fraud; SEC developing software “to sift language in financial reports for clues that executives might be misstating results”
June 8, 2013 Leave a comment
Saturday June 8, 2013
A model for fighting fraud
Optimistically Cautious by ERROL OH
WHAT if the regulators can extract information from a listed company’s annual report and feed it into a computer program to find out if there’s probably some financial sleight of hand going on? That sounds like a tremendous step forward for capital market supervision and enforcement. It also seems a bit far-fetched. But maybe it’s not. The Wall Street Journal reported on May 29 that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) was renewing its focus on accounting fraud and other problems relating to financial disclosures. The newspaper quoted agency officials as saying the SEC was already developing software “to sift language in financial reports for clues that executives might be misstating results”. The program, according to the article, would analyse the annual report section (usually called the management’s discussion and analysis) in which the companies talk in detail about their performance and prospects. Certain word choices, readers are told, may be red flags that warn of earnings manipulation. One SEC official said tests to determine if the analysis would have sniffed out previous accounting frauds “look very promising”. Here’s a couple of paragraphs from the story: “Firms that bend or break accounting rules tend to play a word shell game,’ said Craig Lewis, the SEC’s chief economist and head of the division developing the model. “Such companies try to deflect attention from a core problem by talking a lot more about a benign’ issue than their competitors, while underreporting important risks’.”